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Maia vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-80
24-18 19-22 18-15 26-25
Position#4
Record12-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game73.0
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#8
Record11-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game79.6
PortugalProligaRound 10
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maia v Ginasio
28 Mar 2026
MAIA87
GINA80
03 Jan 2026
MAIA96
GINA66
25 Apr 2025
MAIA88
GINA74
19 Oct 2024
MAIA86
GINA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
96-66
96
66
+30
96avg 73
H03/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
106-59
106
59
+47
98avg 73
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
63avg 73
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 73
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 73
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 73
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
65avg 73
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
93-69
93
69
+24
96avg 73
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
84-49
84
49
+35
80avg 73
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
54avg 73
A21/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
27-17
27-15
18-20
23-11
30-21
29-14
24-13
23-12
16-24
14-20
20-28
23-17
21-24
21-19
10-19
17-24
20-8
27-18
17-25
29-19
13-21
6-19
26-19
27-22
12-25
21-16
16-22
25-11
26-26
16-15
26-17
21-12
19-15
17-9
27-13
21-15
20-19
12-18
16-20
154.3Avg total
82.7Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.573.0154.6+8.555%
Season at home (10)85.069.3154.3+15.780%
Season away (12)78.776.2154.8+2.533%
Last 10 (10)82.771.6154.3+11.150%
Last 5 (5)79.270.6149.8+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.281.7157.8-5.550%
vs Similar (11)77.077.3154.3-0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.367.7154.0+18.677%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
66-96
66
96
-30
47avg 67
A03/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
66-93
66
93
-27
51avg 67
H10/01
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 67
H24/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
66avg 67
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
61avg 67
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
82-67
82
67
+15
71avg 67
H21/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
65-77
65
77
-12
59avg 67
A01/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
92-65
92
65
+27
85avg 67
H07/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
88avg 67
A14/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 67
H21/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
17-27
15-27
20-18
19-23
18-25
16-26
13-19
12-17
15-13
20-19
25-29
22-24
17-25
18-20
16-25
18-21
33-22
7-18
20-27
19-19
27-12
20-16
16-20
27-34
12-21
18-7
8-15
26-17
19-14
25-17
22-17
22-24
28-23
22-27
19-15
18-27
20-25
25-18
23-25
161.3Avg total
77.1Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.579.6157.2-2.150%
Season at home (11)78.074.7152.7+3.364%
Season away (11)77.184.5161.6-7.536%
Last 10 (10)77.184.2161.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)83.278.6161.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.186.6166.7-6.535%
vs Similar (6)76.779.0155.7-2.333%
vs Weaker (7)78.171.7149.9+6.471%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
MaiaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H03/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/03
Proliga
79.4Avg total
43.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.776.5+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.335.776.0+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.437.576.9+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.735.779.4+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.079.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.042.379.3-5.333%-
vs Similar (11)37.237.875.0-0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.333.176.4+10.285%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A03/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H10/01
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H24/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H21/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A01/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A14/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H21/03
Proliga
84.0Avg total
40.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.481.3+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.337.478.6+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.183.6-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.784.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.744.184.8-3.429%-
vs Similar (6)41.839.281.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker (7)40.632.673.1+8.086%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.021.2
46.1%
50.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
30.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.415.7
70.1%
67.4%15.7
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.121.6
49.0%
50.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.4
33.9%
30.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.911.3
66.9%
67.4%11.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWWLLWLLWW
Ginasio
LWWLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#8
+12.2
Net rating
-8.2
89.0
Offensive rating
88.6
76.8
Defensive rating
96.8
47.9%
Effective FG%
49.6%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
33.9%
52.0%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 88.6Defence76.8 · 96.8Shooting47.9% · 49.6%3-point %34.3% · 33.9%Ball care17.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.5% · 22.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Maia   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Maia wins
2
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Maia v Ginasio96-66
08/11/25Ginasio v Maia84-75
25/04/25Maia v Ginasio88-74
01/03/25Ginasio v Maia66-85
14/12/24Ginasio v Maia101-66
19/10/24Maia v Ginasio86-79
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AIlliabum69-72
15/03/26HImortal B84-49
07/03/26HGinasio Olhanense93-69
01/03/26ACD Povoa76-85
21/02/26APortimonense74-78
14/02/26ACAB Madeira81-75
31/01/26HIlliabum75-79
25/01/26AImortal B73-84
10/01/26ASangalhos106-59
03/01/26HGinasio96-66
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HCAB Madeira86-95
14/03/26APortimonense91-89
07/03/26HIlliabum92-65
01/03/26AImortal B65-77
21/02/26HGinasio Olhanense82-67
15/02/26ACD Povoa78-88
31/01/26ACAB Madeira73-94
24/01/26HPortimonense72-78
10/01/26HIlliabum66-93
03/01/26AMaia66-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game81.585.078.7
Allowed / game73.069.376.2
Point differential+8.5+15.7+2.5
Avg total154.6154.3154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLWWL64%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game77.578.077.1
Allowed / game79.674.784.5
Point differential-2.1+3.3-7.5
Avg total157.2152.7161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2422292%85.266.6+18.7
2 CAB Madeira2219386%83.973.3+10.6
3 Portimonense2316770%81.375.9+5.4
4 Lusitania2315865%82.375.7+6.6
5 Illiabum2415962%75.970.8+5.1
6 Galomar2314961%84.779.4+5.3
7 Imortal B23131057%77.879.9-2.1
8 Maia22121055%81.573.0+8.5
9 Ginasio22111150%77.579.6-2.1
10 Ginasio Olhanense2291341%77.978.6-0.7
11 Sampaense2391439%68.877.0-8.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B2381535%71.773.6-1.9
13 Santo Andre2371630%73.777.9-4.2
14 CB Queluz2361726%69.881.0-11.2
15 Sangalhos2341917%71.086.3-15.3
16 Academica2332013%63.878.6-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2419182687
Ginasio1822152580
← all games of the day
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