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Maia vs Sangalhos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.8
Maia
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Sangalhos
Portugal
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game61.1
PortugalProligaRound 22· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maia v Sangalhos
06 Mar 2027
MAIA v SANG
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
MAIA110
SANG66
01 Nov 2024
MAIA86
SANG83
25 Nov 2023
MAIA75
SANG71
22 Jan 2022
MAIA52
SANG53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sangalhos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
96avg 77
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 77
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 77
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 77
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
67avg 77
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 77
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 77
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
85-95
85
95
-10
83avg 77
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
28-18
8-26
25-15
21-18
28-20
23-23
11-23
23-29
14-24
23-22
31-27
22-17
17-15
23-18
8-24
17-29
167.4Avg total
83.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.287.8171.0-4.750%
Season at home (3)96.791.3188.0+5.3100%
Season away (3)69.784.3154.0-14.70%
Last 10 (10)83.883.6167.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)78.886.2165.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.381.3153.7-9.033%
vs Similar (9)84.781.9166.6+2.867%
vs Weaker (15)87.771.6159.3+16.173%
This opponent (Sangalhos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SangalhosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSangalhos
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#14
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 64
A18/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
61-94
61
94
-33
41avg 64
H25/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
55-100
55
100
-45
47avg 64
A02/05
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
74-52
74
52
+22
no box
H03/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 64
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
W
74-56
74
56
+18
66avg 64
H17/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
69-47
69
47
+22
58avg 64
A24/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
96-67
96
67
+29
98avg 64
H31/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
57-56
57
56
+1
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
18-22
18-22
13-17
19-21
12-19
23-30
7-24
14-21
19-27
11-22
11-30
16-11
10-11
22-19
26-11
21-21
18-18
21-22
20-24
17-14
14-13
15-11
28-18
15-9
22-23
18-6
14-9
32-14
17-18
14-17
33-18
19-21
17-19
9-6
12-10
15-17
18-23
24-8
29-17
142.2Avg total
71.2Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.661.1137.7+15.486%
Season at home (4)82.560.0142.5+22.5100%
Season away (3)68.762.7131.3+6.067%
Last 10 (10)71.271.0142.2+0.260%
Last 5 (5)76.458.2134.6+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)70.791.2161.9-20.55%
vs Similar (3)77.369.3146.7+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.661.1137.7+15.486%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
MaiaSangalhos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.878.7+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.479.9+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.377.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.537.574.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (9)41.239.881.0+1.467%-
vs Weaker (15)44.434.879.2+9.687%-
This opponent (Sangalhos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SangalhosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#14
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A18/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A02/05
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H03/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H17/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A24/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H31/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/11
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/11
Proliga
71.3Avg total
34.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.841.777.5-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.839.776.4-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)34.744.078.7-9.314%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.971.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.271.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.145.580.6-10.410%-
vs Similar (3)40.336.376.7+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.933.169.0+2.757%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
52.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
67.3%18.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sangalhostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sangalhos: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.1
52.6%
52.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.3
28.3%
30.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.815.1
63.4%
67.3%15.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWLWLWWWWW
Sangalhos
WWWWWLWLLL
#10
League position
#1
+5.7
Net rating
-6.6
91.8
Offensive rating
82.5
86.2
Defensive rating
89.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.5%
3-point %
28.3%
63.8%
Assist %
54.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 82.5Defence86.2 · 89.1Shooting50.8% · 48.1%3-point %35.5% · 28.3%Ball care17.5% · 19.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Maia   ■ Sangalhos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Maia wins
5
Sangalhos wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Sangalhos v Maia86-65
10/01/26Sangalhos v Maia59-106
15/11/25Maia v Sangalhos110-66
28/12/24Sangalhos v Maia88-86
01/11/24Maia v Sangalhos86-83
27/01/24Sangalhos v Maia70-67
25/11/23Maia v Sangalhos75-71
22/01/22Maia v Sangalhos52-53
13/11/21Sangalhos v Maia89-73
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASangalhos65-86
07/11/26HVasco Da Gama103-101 OT
31/10/26ABarreirense85-95
24/10/26HLusitania82-77
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT
Sangalhoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMaia86-65
07/11/26AGalomar57-56
31/10/26HGinasio Olhanense96-67
24/10/26ABarcelos69-47
17/10/26HGalitos Aveiro74-56
10/10/26ASampaense80-85
03/10/26HGalitos Barreiro74-52
02/05/26ABenfica Lisboa B55-100
25/04/26HSanto Andre61-94
18/04/26ACB Queluz60-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.296.769.7
Allowed / game87.891.384.3
Point differential-4.7+5.3-14.7
Avg total171.0188.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Sangalhos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game76.682.568.7
Allowed / game61.160.062.7
Point differential+15.4+22.5+6.0
Avg total137.7142.5131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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