On 7 November 2026 the Proliga will see Maia host Vasco Da Gama, with the Pythia model designating Maia as the favourite at 75% to 25% due to their 2-2 record, 82.8 points per game and 85.0 allowed, and a perfect 2-0 home record with 93.5 points scored and 86.5 allowed; Vasco Da Gama, meanwhile, sits 2-3, 82.8 points per game and 86.0 allowed, with a 0-2 road record, 80.0 points scored and 92.5 allowed. Maia's last five games include a 82-77 home win over Lusitania, a 59-72 away loss to Santo Andre and a 85-95 away defeat to Barreirense, while Vasco's recent slate features a 76-93 away loss to Ginasio Olhanense, an 82-91 away loss to Galomar and an 82-72 home win over Barcelos. The teams have met six times, splitting the series 3-3, with Maia's most recent victory 78-76 on 21 December 2024. Pythia projects a 91-84 scoreline, 175.2 total points, a -3.5 home line with a 66% chance of covering, a 167.5 total line with a 67% over probability, and a 4% overtime likelihood. The game will conclude with Maia's 91-point performance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 82.8 | 85.0 | 167.8 | -2.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 93.5 | 86.5 | 180.0 | +7.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 72.0 | 83.5 | 155.5 | -11.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.6 | 81.0 | 167.6 | +5.6 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.8 | 82.6 | 165.4 | +0.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 77.5 | 82.5 | 160.0 | -5.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 79.8 | 78.7 | 158.4 | +1.1 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 87.2 | 70.6 | 157.8 | +16.5 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 82.8 | 86.0 | 168.8 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Season at home (3) | 84.7 | 81.7 | 166.3 | +3.0 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 80.0 | 92.5 | 172.5 | -12.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.9 | 93.8 | 176.7 | -10.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.8 | 86.0 | 168.8 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 82.3 | 97.7 | 180.0 | -15.3 | 26% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 87.0 | 82.8 | 169.8 | +4.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 82.0 | 72.0 | 154.0 | +10.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.1 | 36.3 | 78.4 | +5.7 | 77% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.0 | 36.2 | 79.2 | +6.8 | 80% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.1 | 36.5 | 77.6 | +4.7 | 73% | 27% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.2 | 38.2 | 81.4 | +5.0 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 41.0 | 85.2 | +3.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 37.0 | 40.2 | 77.2 | -3.2 | 50% | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 40.6 | 38.1 | 78.7 | +2.4 | 67% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 44.1 | 34.5 | 78.5 | +9.6 | 88% | 29% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.4 | 48.3 | 89.8 | -6.9 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.3 | 48.0 | 89.3 | -6.7 | 31% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.6 | 48.7 | 90.3 | -7.1 | 36% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.4 | 49.5 | 91.9 | -7.1 | 20% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 47.6 | 87.4 | -7.8 | 20% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 40.7 | 50.1 | 90.8 | -9.4 | 26% | 65% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 43.7 | 41.8 | 85.5 | +1.8 | 67% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 45.0 | 47.0 | 92.0 | -2.0 | 0% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia over 85.5 | 72.3% | 1.71 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.48 | - | - | +22.3pp | Won |
| Maia over 86 | 71.4% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +18.8pp | Won |
| Maia (regulation) | 73.0% | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +17.5pp | Lost |
| Maia win | 75.4% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.56 | +16.7pp | Won |
| Maia +1.5 | 77.5% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Won |
| Maia over 84.5 | 75.5% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Maia over 83.5 | 78.5% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| Maia +2.5 | 80.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Maia over 82.5 | 81.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Vasco Da Gama under 89.5 | 71.6% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 95.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 20.4 | 52.8% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 8.9 | 30.4% | 26.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.4 | 18.6 | 67.0% | 18.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.8 | 19.2 | 52.8% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.8 | 8.2 | 30.4% | 24.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.6 | 12.9 | 67.0% | 12.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/12/24 | Maia v Vasco Da Gama | 78-76 |
| 26/10/24 | Vasco Da Gama v Maia | 82-77 |
| 13/01/24 | Maia v Vasco Da Gama | 78-74 |
| 05/11/23 | Vasco Da Gama v Maia | 85-67 |
| 14/01/23 | Maia v Vasco Da Gama | 94-92 OT |
| 05/11/22 | Vasco Da Gama v Maia | 98-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Barreirense | 85-95 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Lusitania | 82-77 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Santo Andre | 59-72 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Ginasio Olhanense | 105-96 |
| 01/05/26 | A | Ginasio Olhanense | 83-73 |
| 25/04/26 | H | CD Povoa | 75-73 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Portimonense | 73-63 |
| 04/04/26 | H | CAB Madeira | 108-100 OT |
| 29/03/26 | A | Ginasio | 109-81 |
| 28/03/26 | H | Ginasio | 87-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Galomar | 82-91 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Ginasio Olhanense | 76-93 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Barcelos | 82-72 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Galitos Aveiro | 84-92 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Sampaense | 90-82 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Benfica | 70-103 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Vitoria | 96-89 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Imortal | 79-95 |
| 04/04/26 | H | Sporting CP | 81-112 |
| 28/03/26 | A | Oliveirense | 89-109 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWL | 50% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 82.8 | 93.5 | 72.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.0 | 86.5 | 83.5 |
| Point differential | -2.2 | +7.0 | -11.5 |
| Avg total | 167.8 | 180.0 | 155.5 |
| Over 169.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 40% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 82.8 | 84.7 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.0 | 81.7 | 92.5 |
| Point differential | -3.2 | +3.0 | -12.5 |
| Avg total | 168.8 | 166.3 | 172.5 |
| Over 169.5 | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 75.0 | 60.5 | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 75.4 | 70.4 | +5.0 | |
| 3 | Santo Andre | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 78.7 | 76.2 | +2.5 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 74.3 | 73.0 | +1.3 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.2 | 69.0 | +8.2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 87.6 | 81.6 | +6.0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 79.0 | 73.2 | +5.8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 71.0 | 71.0 | +0.0 | |
| 9 | Maia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 82.8 | 85.0 | -2.2 |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 82.8 | 86.0 | -3.2 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 70.0 | 74.6 | -4.6 | |
| 12 | Barcelos | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 69.6 | 74.6 | -5.0 |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.6 | 83.8 | -5.2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 84.7 | 88.7 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 67.7 | 80.7 | -13.0 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 79.2 | 86.0 | -6.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia | 14 | 23 | 31 | 22 | 13 | 103 |
| 24 | 22 | 27 | 17 | 11 | 101 |
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