Malvin vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 79-73 (OT)

15-14 21-24 20-18 14-14 9-3

Position#6

Record6-7

FormLLLWL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game80.9

Malvin 🏆

Nacional

Position#7

Record7-6

FormWWLLW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game78.4

Liga Uruguaya

Other2022-23

Meetings · Malvin v Nacional

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nacional winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malvin

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

67-62

H31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#10

103-108 OT

103

108

-5

A03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

73-68

H18/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

90-100

100

-10

A22/11

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

75-65

+10

H25/11

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

75-83

-8

A29/11

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#11

84-93

-9

H02/12

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#13

71-76

-5

A05/12

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

84-72

+12

H08/12

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#12

76-84

-8

H22/12

Liga Uruguaya

9-11

25-21

18-15

15-15

26-17

21-21

19-31

26-23

18-17

18-15

18-21

19-15

23-30

18-31

25-24

24-15

26-18

16-7

14-19

19-21

20-29

11-26

20-12

24-16

13-22

20-20

27-24

24-27

22-17

14-18

16-20

19-21

33-17

18-13

20-20

13-22

17-23

22-21

21-17

16-23

160.9Avg total

79.8Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.1	80.9	161.0	-0.8	46%
Season at home (7)	77.1	74.9	152.0	+2.3	71%
Season away (6)	83.5	88.0	171.5	-4.5	17%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	81.1	160.9	-1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	81.6	159.6	-3.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.0	81.8	159.8	-3.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	77.9	77.9	155.8	+0.0	53%
vs Weaker (7)	87.4	79.1	166.6	+8.3	71%

This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nacional

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Urunday

#12

85-82

A31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

77-63

+14

H03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

74-85

-11

A23/11

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#10

94-68

+26

H25/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

83-93

-10

H02/12

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

80-75

A05/12

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

100-75

100

+25

H09/12

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

71-91

-20

A12/12

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#11

92-94

-2

A16/12

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#13

83-64

+19

A23/12

Liga Uruguaya

18-21

20-18

24-21

23-22

22-12

22-19

11-16

22-16

26-22

16-24

19-18

13-21

24-18

30-13

19-26

21-11

19-34

23-23

22-16

19-20

26-22

19-13

20-17

15-23

23-24

30-11

27-15

20-25

22-20

20-24

15-24

14-23

29-30

17-28

25-19

21-17

26-20

21-15

10-15

26-14

162.9Avg total

83.9Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.5	78.4	158.8	+2.1	54%
Season at home (6)	82.0	73.3	155.3	+8.7	67%
Season away (7)	79.1	82.7	161.9	-3.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	79.0	162.9	+4.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	79.8	165.0	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	78.0	92.2	170.2	-14.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	79.8	79.5	159.2	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker (5)	83.6	68.0	151.6	+15.6	80%

This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MalvinNacional

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.9	20.4	44.3	+3.4	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.3	45.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	23.2	48.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	25.8	46.2	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.2	20.1	40.2	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.1	40.6	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	21.1	42.3	+0.0	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	19.6	36.0	-3.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	60%	-

MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

34-32

H31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#10

47-38

A03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

36-32

H18/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

41-61

-20

A22/11

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

42-25

+17

H25/11

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

31-55

-24

A29/11

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#11

33-42

-9

H02/12

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#13

36-35

A05/12

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

51-30

+21

H08/12

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#12

39-44

-5

H22/12

Liga Uruguaya

78.4Avg total

39.0Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	36.3	76.0	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	42.1	81.8	-2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.4	78.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.2	79.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.5	42.8	82.2	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.7	37.9	75.6	-0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.0	41.6	86.6	+3.4	71%	-

This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Urunday

#12

38-39

-1

A31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

44-31

+13

H03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

42-46

-4

A23/11

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#10

54-31

+23

H25/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

42-57

-15

H02/12

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

45-35

+10

A05/12

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

53-35

+18

H09/12

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

42-44

-2

A12/12

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#11

46-58

-12

A16/12

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#13

47-35

+12

A23/12

Liga Uruguaya

86.4Avg total

45.3Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.9	78.9	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.4	38.0	79.4	+3.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	41.1	86.4	+4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	41.4	88.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	45.4	82.2	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.6	35.8	79.4	+7.8	80%	-

This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	18.6	39.1	+2.0	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	17.4	39.4	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	14.6	36.4	+7.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.1	40.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.7	32%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	19.2	40.2	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.2	24.6	43.8	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.8	78.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	36.9	77.3	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	40.4	80.2	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	40.1	79.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.6	39.2	78.7	+0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.4	37.6	80.0	+4.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.8	80.8	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.1	36.5	79.6	+6.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.8	44.0	81.8	-6.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	37.9	76.5	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.4	77.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.2	46.8	88.0	-5.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.8	41.4	81.2	-1.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.0	32.2	72.2	+7.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Malvin wins

Nacional wins

Date	Game	Score
27/10/22	Nacional v Malvin	67-82
15/02/22	Nacional v Malvin	80-81
04/12/21	Malvin v Nacional	90-88
23/04/21	Nacional v Malvin	89-81
10/03/20	Nacional v Malvin	98-81
28/01/20	Nacional v Malvin	98-88
16/11/19	Malvin v Nacional	91-86 OT
20/03/19	Nacional v Malvin	75-73
15/12/18	Nacional v Malvin	80-69
06/10/18	Malvin v Nacional	66-79

Malvinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/22	H	Urunday	76-84
08/12/22	H	Penarol	84-72
05/12/22	A	Olimpia Kings	71-76
02/12/22	H	Larre Borges	84-93
29/11/22	A	Goes	75-83
25/11/22	H	Defensor	75-65
22/11/22	A	Bigua	90-100
18/11/22	H	Aguada	73-68
03/11/22	A	Trouville	103-108 OT
31/10/22	H	Hebraica y Macabi	67-62

Nacionallast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/22	A	Olimpia Kings	83-64
16/12/22	A	Larre Borges	92-94
12/12/22	A	Aguada	71-91
09/12/22	H	Goes	100-75
05/12/22	A	Defensor	80-75
02/12/22	H	Bigua	83-93
25/11/22	H	Trouville	94-68
23/11/22	A	Hebraica y Macabi	74-85
03/11/22	H	Urupan	77-63
31/10/22	A	Urunday	85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin

Liga Uruguaya 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	46%
Home	WWLWL	71%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	46%	71%	17%
Points / game	80.1	77.1	83.5
Allowed / game	80.9	74.9	88.0
Point differential	-0.8	+2.3	-4.5
Avg total	161.0	152.0	171.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

Nacional

Liga Uruguaya 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	54%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	LWLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	54%	67%	43%
Points / game	80.5	82.0	79.1
Allowed / game	78.4	73.3	82.7
Point differential	+2.1	+8.7	-3.6
Avg total	158.8	155.3	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	67%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bigua	13	10	3	77%	85.7	81.2	+4.5
2	Goes	14	9	5	64%	84.1	81.2	+2.9
3	Hebraica y Macabi	13	8	5	62%	85.4	79.9	+5.5
4	Aguada	13	8	5	62%	83.2	79.3	+3.8
5	Penarol	13	8	5	62%	79.4	77.8	+1.6
6	Nacional	13	7	6	54%	80.5	78.4	+2.1
7	Trouville	13	7	6	54%	85.8	89.5	-3.7
8	Malvin	13	6	7	46%	80.1	80.9	-0.8
9	Larre Borges	13	6	7	46%	81.5	82.5	-1.0
10	Urupan	13	4	9	31%	80.7	81.8	-1.2
11	Urunday	13	4	9	31%	77.1	79.3	-2.2
12	Defensor	13	4	9	31%	75.2	80.6	-5.4
13	Olimpia Kings	13	4	9	31%	71.8	78.2	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Malvin	15	21	20	14	9	79
Nacional	14	24	18	14	3	73

← all games of the day

Malvin vs Nacional Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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