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Malvin vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 69-71
14-21 18-18 20-18 17-14
Position#4
Record17-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#2
Record16-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game82.6
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Malvin v Nacional
30 Mar 2026
MALV69
NACI71
14 Nov 2025
MALV82
NACI75
14 Jan 2025
MALV67
NACI88
04 Jan 2024
MALV83
NACI84
04 Jan 2023
MALV79
NACI73
03 Dec 2021
MALV90
NACI88
15 Nov 2019
MALV91
NACI86
05 Oct 2018
MALV66
NACI79
16 Feb 2018
MALV79
NACI86
15 Nov 2013
MALV77
NACI60
29 Oct 2012
MALV80
NACI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 74
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
78avg 74
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
53-79
53
79
-26
41avg 74
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 74
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 74
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 74
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 74
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
67-96
67
96
-29
58avg 74
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
86avg 74
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
64-88
64
88
-24
52avg 74
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
27-21
14-32
23-24
22-16
24-20
24-12
16-16
18-20
12-24
13-13
10-22
30-24
23-19
15-13
15-31
22-30
15-13
20-16
22-14
26-17
17-23
33-9
14-27
22-18
24-19
21-30
18-16
17-19
15-25
20-26
15-26
20-27
27-16
24-22
19-23
20-26
13-21
14-23
17-18
162.9Avg total
79.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.381.9163.1-0.663%
Season at home (14)81.179.0160.1+2.179%
Season away (13)81.584.9166.4-3.546%
Last 10 (10)79.383.6162.9-4.350%
Last 5 (5)79.286.2165.4-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.388.1165.4-10.825%
vs Similar (14)83.078.0161.0+5.079%
vs Weaker (4)90.087.0177.0+3.075%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
66avg 82
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 82
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 82
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 82
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
126-75
126
75
+51
120avg 82
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Paisas
#8
W
97-94
97
94
+3
86avg 82
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
97avg 82
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
113avg 82
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 82
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
72avg 82
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
17-24
21-19
24-14
21-27
24-18
33-24
11-10
24-38
14-15
18-16
17-13
19-31
22-17
22-20
18-23
29-22
37-27
36-10
24-16
25-25
28-26
26-23
18-20
22-17
22-19
30-17
22-22
34-13
27-23
28-29
22-15
27-20
16-27
22-24
23-19
20-17
20-17
21-21
19-13
172.5Avg total
91.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.482.6175.0+9.864%
Season at home (12)92.875.8168.6+17.183%
Season away (13)92.089.0181.0+3.046%
Last 10 (10)91.880.7172.5+11.170%
Last 5 (5)94.481.4175.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)92.279.9172.1+12.376%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
MalvinNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
84.9Avg total
42.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.284.4-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.841.283.0+0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)42.643.385.9-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.384.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.642.983.5-2.350%-
vs Similar (14)41.940.482.3+1.464%-
vs Weaker (4)48.246.594.8+1.850%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Paisas
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
90.2Avg total
46.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.041.888.8+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.438.285.6+9.179%-
Last 30 away (16)46.844.991.7+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)46.343.990.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.889.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.641.989.4+5.766%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.5
53.8%
53.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
33.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws14.99.9
66.4%
70.9%9.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.8
55.7%
53.3%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.9
32.6%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.115.7
71.0%
70.9%15.7
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWLWWWLLWL
Nacional
WLWWWWLLWW
#4
League position
#2
-4.9
Net rating
+12.4
94.2
Offensive rating
101.4
99.0
Defensive rating
88.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.0%
3-point %
32.6%
59.0%
Assist %
51.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 101.4Defence99.0 · 88.9Shooting54.6% · 53.1%3-point %37.0% · 32.6%Ball care15.3% · 12.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Malvin   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Malvin wins
5
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
24/03/26Nacional v Malvin88-90
03/02/26Nacional v Malvin79-53
14/11/25Malvin v Nacional82-75
31/03/25Nacional v Malvin82-85
14/01/25Malvin v Nacional67-88
05/11/24Nacional v Malvin84-67
05/01/24Malvin v Nacional83-84
10/11/23Nacional v Malvin84-79
04/01/23Malvin v Nacional79-73 OT
27/10/22Nacional v Malvin67-82
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26AAguada64-88
24/03/26ANacional90-88
19/03/26HPenarol67-96
17/03/26HDefensor85-83
12/03/26HHebraica y Macabi90-76
19/02/26HUnion Atletica79-73
11/02/26AHebraica y Macabi83-87
03/02/26ANacional53-79
30/01/26HUrunday86-64
26/01/26ABigua96-102
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26ADefensor80-68
24/03/26HMalvin88-90
19/03/26AHebraica y Macabi111-80
14/03/26HPaisas96-75
07/03/26APaisas97-94
19/02/26HCordon126-75
16/02/26AUnion Atletica81-91
12/02/26ADefensor73-82
08/02/26HFlamengo89-79
07/02/26AObras Sanitarias77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL63%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayLLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%79%46%
Points / game81.381.181.5
Allowed / game81.979.084.9
Point differential-0.6+2.1-3.5
Avg total163.1160.1166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%83%46%
Points / game92.492.892.0
Allowed / game82.675.889.0
Point differential+9.8+17.1+3.0
Avg total175.0168.6181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2622485%88.274.3+14.0
2 Aguada2619773%91.984.8+7.1
3 Nacional2516964%92.482.6+9.8
4 Malvin27171063%81.381.9-0.6
5 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi27151256%84.184.4-0.4
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor27121544%85.285.6-0.4
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin1418201769
Nacional2118181471
← all games of the day
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