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Nacional vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 98-88
20-14 27-28 23-22 28-24
Position#4
Record11-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#1
Record15-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game71.8
UruguayLiga UruguayaRound 10
Other2019-20
Meetings · Nacional v Malvin
23 Mar 2026
NACI88
MALV90
03 Feb 2026
NACI79
MALV53
31 Mar 2025
NACI82
MALV85
04 Nov 2024
NACI84
MALV67
09 Nov 2023
NACI84
MALV79
27 Oct 2022
NACI67
MALV82
14 Feb 2022
NACI80
MALV81
22 Apr 2021
NACI89
MALV81
10 Mar 2020
NACI98
MALV81
28 Jan 2020
NACI98
MALV88
19 Mar 2019
NACI75
MALV73
15 Dec 2018
NACI80
MALV69
23 Mar 2018
NACI68
MALV75
05 Dec 2017
NACI79
MALV81
08 Jan 2013
NACI75
MALV79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#6
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H30/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#12
W
106-72
106
72
+34
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Capitol
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#6
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
15-18
18-23
22-22
25-27
18-18
17-20
25-25
27-20
26-15
25-19
28-18
12-17
17-12
28-22
26-20
22-28
23-18
19-18
21-22
18-21
21-15
18-16
17-20
22-10
21-20
27-21
16-22
22-21
18-15
24-20
28-18
17-23
11-13
24-26
22-13
14-16
15-21
18-28
20-22
159.8Avg total
82.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.579.2161.7+3.458%
Season at home (9)86.476.6163.0+9.978%
Season away (10)79.081.5160.5-2.540%
Last 10 (10)82.177.7159.8+4.450%
Last 5 (5)78.676.2154.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.076.6146.6-6.629%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.377.4154.7-0.250%
vs Weaker (5)90.278.6168.8+11.680%
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#2
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#12
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Atenas
#13
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Capitol
#11
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
104-84
104
84
+20
A21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-17
16-23
16-12
18-21
11-17
21-22
24-18
12-15
16-18
14-9
19-14
29-17
30-18
13-20
20-14
–
–
–
–
19-22
23-15
19-12
25-34
13-12
20-18
16-14
26-23
18-13
11-16
28-23
20-19
34-20
21-17
29-29
20-18
21-20
17-15
18-20
26-16
139.5Avg total
74.4Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.971.8147.8+4.175%
Season at home (10)80.376.7157.0+3.690%
Season away (10)71.567.0138.5+4.560%
Last 10 (10)74.465.1139.5+9.390%
Last 5 (5)84.875.2160.0+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.175.9154.0+2.171%
vs Weaker (11)74.868.0142.8+6.873%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
NacionalMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H30/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#12
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Capitol
#11
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
74.0Avg total
37.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.873.2-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.136.173.2+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)35.637.673.2-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.274.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.636.072.6+0.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.336.772.0-1.444%-
vs Weaker (5)40.238.478.6+1.840%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#12
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Capitol
#11
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#9
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
73.9Avg total
39.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.334.771.0+1.655%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.835.372.1+1.556%-
Last 30 away (13)35.734.069.7+1.754%-
Last 10 (9)39.334.673.9+4.867%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.673.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.537.066.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.635.673.2+2.159%-
vs Weaker (10)35.432.868.2+2.660%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nacional wins
6
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
16/11/19Malvin v Nacional91-86 OT
20/03/19Nacional v Malvin75-73
15/12/18Nacional v Malvin80-69
06/10/18Malvin v Nacional66-79
23/03/18Nacional v Malvin68-75
16/02/18Malvin v Nacional79-86
05/12/17Nacional v Malvin79-81
15/11/13Malvin v Nacional77-60
08/01/13Nacional v Malvin75-79
29/10/12Malvin v Nacional80-63
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/20AAguada67-87
17/01/20AOlimpia Kings74-75
13/01/20HHebraica y Macabi92-74
08/01/20HDefensor86-73
20/12/19AUrunday74-72
13/12/19AGoes85-86
09/12/19HCapitol83-71
06/12/19HSayago106-72
02/12/19HTrouville85-90
30/11/19HUrunday69-77
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/20HUrunday82-71
21/01/20ADefensor104-84
17/01/20HGoes77-71
13/01/20ACapitol75-67
07/01/20HTrouville86-83
20/12/19AAtenas20-0
16/12/19HSayago92-69
11/12/19AAguada61-56
02/12/19ABigua74-78
27/11/19HOlimpia Kings73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%78%40%
Points / game82.586.479.0
Allowed / game79.276.681.5
Point differential+3.4+9.9-2.5
Avg total161.7163.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game75.980.371.5
Allowed / game71.876.767.0
Point differential+4.0+3.6+4.5
Avg total147.8157.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Kings2116576%80.474.9+5.5
2 Malvin2015575%75.971.8+4.0
3 Trouville2115671%84.878.0+6.8
4 Hebraica y Macabi2012860%83.081.5+1.6
5 Nacional1911858%82.579.2+3.4
6 Aguada2112957%76.571.1+5.4
7 Goes22121055%81.881.4+0.5
8 Defensor20101050%84.082.9+1.1
9 Urunday21101148%86.582.5+4.0
10 Bigua21101148%79.579.7-0.1
11 Capitol2151624%74.283.1-8.9
12 Sayago2141719%72.181.8-9.7
13 Atenas2021810%48.662.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2027232898
Malvin1428222488
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