PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Malvin vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-84
14-29 24-15 25-18 20-22
Position#5
Record7-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#3
Record9-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game83.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Malvin v Nacional
30 Mar 2026
MALV69
NACI71
14 Nov 2025
MALV82
NACI75
14 Jan 2025
MALV67
NACI88
04 Jan 2024
MALV83
NACI84
04 Jan 2023
MALV79
NACI73
03 Dec 2021
MALV90
NACI88
15 Nov 2019
MALV91
NACI86
05 Oct 2018
MALV66
NACI79
16 Feb 2018
MALV79
NACI86
15 Nov 2013
MALV77
NACI60
29 Oct 2012
MALV80
NACI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 77
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 77
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 77
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 77
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
92-70
92
70
+22
90avg 77
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
99-105 OT
99
105
-6
no box
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
78-62
78
62
+16
76avg 77
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
60avg 77
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
103-70
103
70
+33
105avg 77
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 77
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-25
21-22
19-20
24-17
17-18
19-16
18-25
18-24
17-17
18-15
20-19
27-26
20-19
21-22
17-20
18-21
26-22
25-13
23-14
14-12
22-23
17-20
20-18
24-18
16-17
18-13
20-14
15-15
19-23
16-18
11-23
25-14
23-17
32-25
23-14
24-21
14-28
18-20
19-20
162.2Avg total
82.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.180.4163.4+2.750%
Season at home (7)84.373.7158.0+10.671%
Season away (7)81.987.0168.9-5.129%
Last 10 (10)82.779.5162.2+3.250%
Last 5 (5)83.281.0164.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.483.7164.1-3.329%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.886.2173.0+0.647%
vs Weaker (8)85.876.8162.5+9.075%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
71avg 84
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
104avg 84
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 84
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
107-99
107
99
+8
100avg 84
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 84
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 84
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
99-91
99
91
+8
82avg 84
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 84
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
89avg 84
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 84
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
14-24
17-21
21-11
21-19
21-28
29-15
27-30
29-25
13-19
18-14
17-10
34-35
24-18
24-22
25-24
24-21
26-19
22-18
19-20
27-23
22-22
27-32
18-24
29-33
23-28
18-13
29-17
30-20
17-26
18-22
12-29
17-8
26-23
21-24
12-21
18-18
24-13
13-28
23-27
176.9Avg total
89.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.283.5174.6+7.782%
Season at home (6)84.578.3162.8+6.283%
Season away (5)99.289.6188.8+9.680%
Last 10 (10)89.487.5176.9+1.970%
Last 5 (5)87.491.8179.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.881.3159.2-3.542%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.980.5161.4+0.564%
vs Weaker (7)95.183.3178.4+11.986%
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
MalvinNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.784.8+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.185.4+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.842.484.2-0.660%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.141.984.0+0.371%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.443.086.4+0.453%-
vs Weaker (8)43.239.282.5+4.062%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A18/12
Champions League Americas
91.6Avg total
47.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.083.8+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.040.984.9+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.741.182.8+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)47.144.591.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.889.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.640.880.4-1.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.840.983.7+1.955%-
vs Weaker (7)48.141.689.7+6.686%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.5
50.7%
51.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
71.7%12.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.0
52.8%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
33.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.114.5
68.7%
71.7%14.5
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWLWLWLLWW
Nacional
LWLWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+4.4
Net rating
+2.2
105.1
Offensive rating
110.6
100.8
Defensive rating
108.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.2%
3-point %
37.0%
64.3%
Assist %
66.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 110.6Defence100.8 · 108.3Shooting50.4% · 53.8%3-point %33.2% · 37.0%Ball care16.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.0% · 28.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Malvin   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Malvin wins
5
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
10/11/23Nacional v Malvin84-79
04/01/23Malvin v Nacional79-73 OT
27/10/22Nacional v Malvin67-82
15/02/22Nacional v Malvin80-81
04/12/21Malvin v Nacional90-88
23/04/21Nacional v Malvin89-81
10/03/20Nacional v Malvin98-81
28/01/20Nacional v Malvin98-88
16/11/19Malvin v Nacional91-86 OT
20/03/19Nacional v Malvin75-73
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23ABigua75-89
13/12/23HLarre Borges103-70
09/12/23AUrupan61-79
05/12/23HCordon78-62
02/12/23AHebraica y Macabi99-105 OT
29/11/23HTrouville92-70
24/11/23AAguada85-87
21/11/23HDefensor73-75
18/11/23AGoes78-76
14/11/23HPenarol83-82
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23AQuimsa78-86
17/12/23ASao Paulo89-84 OT
13/12/23HPenarol77-97
09/12/23ADefensor99-91
27/11/23ABigua94-101
24/11/23HUrupan91-78
21/11/23AHebraica y Macabi107-99
18/11/23HAguada77-68
13/11/23AGoes98-92
10/11/23HMalvin84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game83.184.381.9
Allowed / game80.473.787.0
Point differential+2.7+10.6-5.1
Avg total163.4158.0168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game91.284.599.2
Allowed / game83.578.389.6
Point differential+7.7+6.2+9.6
Avg total174.6162.8188.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1210283%86.271.8+14.3
2 Nacional119282%91.283.5+7.7
3 Aguada1310377%85.978.5+7.4
4 Defensor137654%80.177.9+2.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi137654%82.580.5+2.1
6 Malvin147750%83.180.4+2.7
7 Bigua157847%84.284.9-0.7
8 Cordon125742%72.474.9-2.5
9 Trouville125742%81.384.5-3.2
10 Goes135838%81.885.0-3.2
11 Urupan1441029%76.485.6-9.2
12 Larre Borges1421214%76.290.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin1424252083
Nacional2915182284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.