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Malvin vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 67-88
12-20 19-26 16-27 20-15
Position#4
Record8-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#1
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game77.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Malvin v Nacional
30 Mar 2026
MALV69
NACI71
14 Nov 2025
MALV82
NACI75
14 Jan 2025
MALV67
NACI88
04 Jan 2024
MALV83
NACI84
04 Jan 2023
MALV79
NACI73
03 Dec 2021
MALV90
NACI88
15 Nov 2019
MALV91
NACI86
05 Oct 2018
MALV66
NACI79
16 Feb 2018
MALV79
NACI86
15 Nov 2013
MALV77
NACI60
29 Oct 2012
MALV80
NACI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 75
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
58avg 75
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 75
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
86-60
86
60
+26
87avg 75
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 75
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
56avg 75
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 75
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 75
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
68avg 75
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 75
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
26-8
14-21
19-26
18-27
15-17
15-26
19-14
15-17
7-28
25-10
28-18
23-11
28-10
22-12
13-27
21-20
26-20
23-27
22-16
16-20
10-23
18-21
23-17
25-25
16-22
20-13
15-14
24-17
33-16
17-21
12-19
26-20
17-17
14-13
19-19
16-16
23-20
24-24
12-22
153.5Avg total
78.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.274.8154.0+4.473%
Season at home (6)80.077.2157.2+2.867%
Season away (5)78.272.0150.2+6.280%
Last 10 (10)78.575.0153.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)76.075.8151.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.487.8163.2-12.40%
vs Similar (7)84.480.4164.9+4.071%
vs Weaker (18)76.668.0144.6+8.689%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 77
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 77
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
87avg 77
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 77
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
81avg 77
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
76avg 77
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
83avg 77
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
97-82
97
82
+15
98avg 77
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
76avg 77
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
101-88
101
88
+13
90avg 77
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
26-18
13-24
21-17
19-21
21-21
24-17
16-19
34-17
19-17
18-26
27-23
17-17
25-29
23-21
27-15
14-27
24-23
23-24
29-14
23-18
23-15
26-26
17-16
30-18
21-18
22-23
17-13
27-18
25-20
22-13
23-31
21-18
20-20
26-20
21-20
21-30
25-22
32-17
23-19
170.7Avg total
91.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.577.2169.8+15.2100%
Season at home (7)94.976.7171.6+18.1100%
Season away (5)89.278.0167.2+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)91.179.6170.7+11.5100%
Last 5 (5)93.079.0172.0+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)88.486.9175.3+1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.575.4159.9+9.181%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
MalvinNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
78.1Avg total
41.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.639.782.3+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.038.681.6+4.450%-
Last 30 away (14)42.140.882.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.078.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.047.082.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (7)43.440.483.9+3.057%-
vs Weaker (16)44.637.181.7+7.462%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
85.9Avg total
46.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.784.9+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.941.886.8+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)43.439.482.8+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)46.139.885.9+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.239.486.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)45.644.389.9+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.639.182.8+4.562%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.0
45.5%
51.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.7
35.0%
33.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.412.8
69.6%
71.7%12.8
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.0
51.6%
51.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.2
33.9%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
71.7%13.5
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWWWLWWWLW
Nacional
WWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+5.1
Net rating
+13.7
101.5
Offensive rating
111.0
96.4
Defensive rating
97.3
48.4%
Effective FG%
51.3%
41.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
33.9%
56.7%
Assist %
64.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 111.0Defence96.4 · 97.3Shooting48.4% · 51.3%3-point %35.0% · 33.9%Ball care14.9% · 13.0%Off. rebounds24.4% · 28.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Malvin   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Malvin wins
6
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24Nacional v Malvin84-67
05/01/24Malvin v Nacional83-84
10/11/23Nacional v Malvin84-79
04/01/23Malvin v Nacional79-73 OT
27/10/22Nacional v Malvin67-82
15/02/22Nacional v Malvin80-81
04/12/21Malvin v Nacional90-88
23/04/21Nacional v Malvin89-81
10/03/20Nacional v Malvin98-81
28/01/20Nacional v Malvin98-88
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HBigua75-82
19/12/24ACordon76-69
16/12/24HDefensor86-73
10/12/24AUrupan76-74
05/12/24HAguada67-81
14/11/24HHebraica y Macabi92-83
10/11/24AWelcome86-60
07/11/24HPenarol75-73
05/11/24ANacional67-84
01/11/24HTrouville85-71
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HHebraica y Macabi101-88
08/01/25ADefensor88-78
03/01/25HBigua97-82
19/12/24AUrunday90-72
16/12/24HUrupan89-75
13/12/24AAguada90-88
10/12/24AHebraica y Macabi92-82
07/12/24HCordon98-83
13/11/24HPenarol80-78
07/11/24ATrouville86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game79.280.078.2
Allowed / game74.877.272.0
Point differential+4.4+2.8+6.2
Avg total154.0157.2150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.594.989.2
Allowed / game77.276.778.0
Point differential+15.2+18.1+11.2
Avg total169.8171.6167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%86%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional12120100%92.577.2+15.2
2 Penarol129375%84.271.4+12.8
3 Aguada129375%90.579.3+11.2
4 Malvin118373%79.274.8+4.4
5 Hebraica y Macabi137654%86.488.5-2.2
6 Urunday126650%78.281.3-3.1
7 Defensor125742%86.283.2+3.0
8 Bigua125742%83.885.0-1.2
9 Cordon135838%83.885.8-2.0
10 Urupan123925%81.086.5-5.5
11 Trouville1331023%71.583.3-11.8
12 Welcome121118%76.295.4-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin1219162067
Nacional2026271588
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