Malvin vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 83-82

20-15 23-25 21-22 19-20

Position#5

Record2-2

FormLWWLL

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game82.5

Malvin 🏆

Penarol

Position#2

Record2-1

FormLWW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game80.0

Liga Uruguaya· Malvin

Other2023-24

Meetings · Malvin v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malvin

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMalvin

Date

Competition

Urupan

77-88

-11

no box

A12/04

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

99-83

+16

no box

H15/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

89-66

+23

no box

A18/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

82-88

-6

no box

H21/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

64-84

-20

no box

A25/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

76-87

-11

no box

H02/05

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

88-73

+15

88avg 77

H26/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#13

96-89

81avg 77

A31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

73-84

-11

60avg 77

H04/11

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

79-84

-5

78avg 77

A10/11

Liga Uruguaya

13-18

32-12

17-34

15-24

28-22

24-25

24-17

23-19

22-21

25-16

28-12

14-17

24-12

19-18

16-29

23-29

23-25

15-29

13-13

13-17

17-23

11-18

27-26

21-20

25-21

30-9

13-23

20-20

19-22

21-24

29-18

27-25

20-30

21-21

20-11

12-22

23-32

24-14

21-17

11-21

164.9Avg total

82.3Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	84.0	82.5	166.5	+1.5	50%
Season at home (2)	80.5	78.5	159.0	+2.0	50%
Season away (2)	87.5	86.5	174.0	+1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	82.6	164.9	-0.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	83.4	165.8	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	79.3	84.7	164.0	-5.4	29%
vs Similar (19)	86.5	84.6	171.1	+1.9	53%
vs Weaker (4)	86.2	83.2	169.5	+3.0	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Aguada

76-77

-1

63avg 76

A28/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

90-73

+17

88avg 76

A02/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

92-90 OT

no box

H08/11

Liga Uruguaya

14-19

23-19

16-17

23-22

24-19

26-16

11-8

29-30

16-20

20-24

21-25

26-14

166.0Avg total

86.0Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	86.0	80.0	166.0	+6.0	67%
Season at home (1)	92.0	90.0	182.0	+2.0	100%
Season away (2)	83.0	75.0	158.0	+8.0	50%
Last 10 (3)	86.0	80.0	166.0	+6.0	67%
Last 5 (3)	86.0	80.0	166.0	+6.0	67%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	76.0	77.0	153.0	-1.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	91.0	81.5	172.5	+9.5	100%

This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MalvinPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	21.7	44.9	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	23.2	44.1	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	25.6	46.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	23.4	22.1	45.6	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.5	22.7	44.2	-1.3	37%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (19)	22.4	19.7	42.1	+2.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.2	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	24.5	17.5	42.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	50%	-

MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Urupan

45-30

+15

A12/04

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

52-47

H15/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

47-37

+10

A18/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

43-30

+13

H21/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

38-54

-16

A25/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

28-41

-13

H02/05

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

55-30

+25

H26/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#13

40-46

-6

A31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

41-51

-10

H04/11

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

47-46

A10/11

Liga Uruguaya

84.8Avg total

43.6Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	42.6	86.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	42.1	86.9	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	43.2	85.0	-1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	41.2	84.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.8	85.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	42.1	43.4	85.6	-1.3	57%	-
vs Similar (19)	43.8	42.5	86.3	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.8	41.8	85.5	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada

37-38

-1

A28/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

50-35

+15

A02/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

36-44

-8

H08/11

Liga Uruguaya

80.0Avg total

41.0Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	36.0	44.0	80.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	43.5	36.5	80.0	+7.0	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	43.0	39.5	82.5	+3.5	50%	-

This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.7	40.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	29%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	16.0	16.7	32.7	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	13.5	12.5	26.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	16.0	16.7	32.7	-0.7	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	16.0	16.7	32.7	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.8	40.8	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	22.2	45.5	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	26.0	14.0	40.0	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	27.5	22.0	49.5	+5.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.0	81.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	40.6	80.9	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	41.6	81.7	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.4	80.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.6	80.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.1	41.3	78.4	-4.1	43%	-
vs Similar (19)	40.9	40.8	81.7	+0.1	37%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	41.5	84.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	42.0	38.7	80.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	47.0	39.0	86.0	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	42.0	38.7	80.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	42.0	38.7	80.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	39.0	39.0	78.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	43.5	38.5	82.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 83.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	21.8	58.8%	51.0%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	10.2	31.5%	33.3%	30.8
🏀 Free throws	12.2	9.2	75.5%	71.7%	9.2

They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 81.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.5	51.3%	51.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	11.0	36.1%	33.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	9.0	69.2%	71.7%	9.0

They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	20.5	52.6%	51.0%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.5	31.9%	33.3%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	22.5	18.5	82.2%	71.7%	18.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.5	53.0%	51.0%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	9.5	30.6%	33.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	14.0	11.5	82.1%	71.7%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	20.5	52.6%	51.0%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.5	31.9%	33.3%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	22.5	18.5	82.2%	71.7%	18.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.5	53.0%	51.0%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	9.5	30.6%	33.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	14.0	11.5	82.1%	71.7%	11.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/2 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Malvin

LLWWLLLWWL

Penarol

WWL

League position

+1.9

Net rating

+8.1

108.1

Offensive rating

108.8

106.1

Defensive rating

100.8

53.4%

Effective FG%

52.6%

50.8%

Opp. effective FG%

49.6%

17.1%

Turnover %

13.5%

27.8%

Off. rebound %

26.7%

0.18

Free-throw rate

0.19

31.5%

3-point %

36.1%

54.7%

Assist %

59.0%

40%

Form (last 10/3)

67%

Profile

■ Malvin ■ Penarol

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Malvin wins

Penarol wins

No previous meetings.

Malvinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/23	A	Nacional	79-84
04/11/23	H	Bigua	73-84
31/10/23	A	Larre Borges	96-89
26/10/23	H	Urupan	88-73
02/05/23	H	Hebraica y Macabi	76-87
25/04/23	A	Hebraica y Macabi	64-84
21/04/23	H	Hebraica y Macabi	82-88
18/04/23	A	Hebraica y Macabi	89-66
15/04/23	H	Urupan	99-83
12/04/23	A	Urupan	77-88

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/23	H	Bigua	92-90 OT
02/11/23	A	Hebraica y Macabi	90-73
28/10/23	A	Aguada	76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin

Liga Uruguaya 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLL	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	84.0	80.5	87.5
Allowed / game	82.5	78.5	86.5
Point differential	+1.5	+2.0	+1.0
Avg total	166.5	159.0	174.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Liga Uruguaya 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWW	67%
Home	W	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	86.0	92.0	83.0
Allowed / game	80.0	90.0	75.0
Point differential	+6.0	+2.0	+8.0
Avg total	166.0	182.0	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	33%	100%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nacional	5	5	0	100%	91.6	76.8	+14.8
2	Aguada	5	4	1	80%	82.2	77.2	+5.0
3	Penarol	3	2	1	67%	86.0	80.0	+6.0
4	Defensor	5	3	2	60%	79.2	73.4	+5.8
5	Malvin	4	2	2	50%	84.0	82.5	+1.5
6	Urupan	4	2	2	50%	78.0	82.2	-4.2
7	Trouville	5	2	3	40%	83.4	81.8	+1.6
8	Hebraica y Macabi	5	2	3	40%	73.0	74.4	-1.4
9	Bigua	5	2	3	40%	79.8	84.8	-5.0
10	Cordon	5	2	3	40%	72.8	80.0	-7.2
11	Goes	5	1	4	20%	81.2	87.8	-6.6
12	Larre Borges	5	1	4	20%	81.0	89.4	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Malvin	20	23	21	19	83
Penarol	15	25	22	20	82

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Malvin vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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