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Malvin vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 67-96
17-19 15-25 20-26 15-26
Position#4
Record16-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#1
Record20-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game74.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Malvin v Penarol
28 Oct 2026
MALV76
PENA101
19 Mar 2026
MALV67
PENA96
15 Dec 2025
MALV67
PENA89
11 Dec 2025
MALV v PENA
upcoming
07 Nov 2024
MALV75
PENA73
13 Nov 2023
MALV83
PENA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
W
89-72
89
72
+17
76avg 74
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
79avg 74
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 74
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
78avg 74
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
53-79
53
79
-26
41avg 74
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 74
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 74
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 74
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 74
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
17-15
12-17
28-20
23-21
20-20
19-16
24-26
27-25
22-13
18-28
18-10
32-25
27-21
14-32
23-24
22-16
24-20
24-12
16-16
18-20
12-24
13-13
10-22
30-24
23-19
15-13
15-31
22-30
15-13
20-16
22-14
26-17
17-23
33-9
14-27
22-18
24-19
21-30
18-16
162.7Avg total
83.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.280.8163.0+1.567%
Season at home (13)82.277.7159.9+4.585%
Season away (11)82.384.4166.6-2.145%
Last 10 (10)83.279.5162.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)78.079.6157.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.287.6168.8-6.536%
vs Similar (14)83.078.0161.0+5.079%
vs Weaker (5)93.084.8177.8+8.280%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
77-58
77
58
+19
83avg 83
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
71avg 83
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
107-74
107
74
+33
114avg 83
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 83
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 83
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 83
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
94avg 83
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
100avg 83
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 83
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
79avg 83
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
20-10
19-11
19-21
17-18
23-12
19-19
20-20
27-15
25-18
24-24
31-17
20-25
21-21
19-20
20-25
26-15
28-15
17-19
24-27
24-24
24-18
22-13
14-26
31-19
18-22
19-15
30-20
23-28
23-21
28-19
26-15
20-22
19-30
25-14
16-20
20-25
23-20
20-18
25-17
166.2Avg total
88.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.574.0161.6+13.583%
Season at home (12)91.875.4167.2+16.3100%
Season away (12)83.372.7156.0+10.767%
Last 10 (10)88.877.4166.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)90.081.2171.2+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)86.676.1162.7+10.477%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
MalvinPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
85.8Avg total
45.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.485.4+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.885.2+1.662%-
Last 30 away (14)42.643.085.6-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.385.8+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.342.683.9-1.445%-
vs Similar (14)41.940.482.3+1.464%-
vs Weaker (5)50.247.297.4+3.060%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
84.5Avg total
45.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.183.8+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.938.683.5+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)44.439.684.1+4.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.139.484.5+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.890.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)44.739.183.8+5.663%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.7
57.3%
53.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.9
36.2%
33.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.611.4
68.7%
70.9%11.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.0
54.9%
53.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.2
37.2%
33.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.612.2
62.2%
70.9%12.2
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
WWWLLWLWWW
Penarol
WLWWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#1
+3.7
Net rating
+12.6
101.8
Offensive rating
98.2
98.1
Defensive rating
85.6
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.2%
3-point %
37.2%
58.5%
Assist %
64.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 98.2Defence98.1 · 85.6Shooting55.9% · 55.3%3-point %36.2% · 37.2%Ball care14.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds35.5% · -Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Malvin   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Malvin wins
5
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
16/12/25Malvin v Penarol67-89
17/10/25Penarol v Malvin89-79
28/03/25Penarol v Malvin82-73 OT
25/01/25Penarol v Malvin79-70
07/11/24Malvin v Penarol75-73
13/01/24Penarol v Malvin82-58
14/11/23Malvin v Penarol83-82
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26HDefensor85-83
12/03/26HHebraica y Macabi90-76
19/02/26HUnion Atletica79-73
11/02/26AHebraica y Macabi83-87
03/02/26ANacional53-79
30/01/26HUrunday86-64
26/01/26ABigua96-102
20/01/26HDefensor85-76
15/01/26AGoes86-83
08/01/26HAguada89-72
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HDefensor88-80
10/03/26AAguada80-86
19/02/26AUrunday100-83
09/02/26HBigua98-76
04/02/26ADefensor84-81
30/01/26HGoes95-76
27/01/26AAguada80-91
20/01/26HWelcome107-74
14/01/26HHebraica y Macabi79-69
10/01/26ACordon77-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %67%85%45%
Points / game82.282.282.3
Allowed / game80.877.784.4
Point differential+1.5+4.5-2.1
Avg total163.0159.9166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%23%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game87.591.883.3
Allowed / game74.075.472.7
Point differential+13.5+16.3+10.7
Avg total161.6167.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%83%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2420483%87.574.0+13.5
2 Aguada2417771%91.985.9+6.0
3 Malvin2416867%82.280.8+1.5
4 Nacional2214864%92.383.1+9.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi25151060%84.182.9+1.2
6 Bigua26141254%89.287.7+1.5
7 Union Atletica26131350%83.383.2+0.2
8 Defensor25121348%86.185.4+0.7
9 Urunday25111444%89.485.5+3.9
10 Goes2581732%82.989.4-6.5
11 Cordon2652119%81.194.6-13.5
12 Welcome2642215%80.895.7-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin1715201567
Penarol1925262696
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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