PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Malvin vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 75-73
15-17 7-28 25-10 28-18
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game76.0
Malvin 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Malvin v Penarol
28 Oct 2026
MALV76
PENA101
19 Mar 2026
MALV67
PENA96
15 Dec 2025
MALV67
PENA89
11 Dec 2025
MALV v PENA
upcoming
07 Nov 2024
MALV75
PENA73
13 Nov 2023
MALV83
PENA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
80avg 75
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
74-99
74
99
-25
68avg 75
A19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 75
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 75
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
79avg 75
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
88avg 75
A08/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 75
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 75
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
58avg 75
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
21-20
20-21
22-20
19-21
21-31
20-20
23-20
10-28
24-19
18-11
13-19
22-19
25-17
13-28
18-29
11-17
21-21
15-19
27-24
18-19
27-31
15-32
29-18
24-19
24-13
20-15
20-28
22-17
26-16
26-8
14-21
19-26
18-27
15-17
15-26
19-14
149.5Avg total
74.0Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.376.0155.3+3.367%
Season at home (1)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)76.578.5155.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)74.075.5149.5-1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.882.2165.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.287.8162.0-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.084.7169.7+0.343%
vs Weaker (17)76.868.4145.2+8.482%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
W
80-61
80
61
+19
80avg 74
A24/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
103-66
103
66
+37
110avg 74
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 74
H03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
79avg 74
A07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
85avg 74
H11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 74
A15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
58avg 74
H18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 74
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
82avg 74
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 74
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
18-18
15-12
24-13
30-14
21-20
24-23
28-9
26-17
11-9
16-28
12-12
23-32
25-21
24-18
18-26
23-29
23-19
24-18
25-12
21-25
19-26
19-14
15-23
18-10
22-35
19-16
12-27
12-22
22-20
25-15
12-21
24-10
20-24
20-14
7-23
21-17
23-24
18-18
15-14
158.4Avg total
81.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.076.0154.0+2.067%
Season at home (3)78.076.0154.0+2.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.277.2158.4+4.050%
Last 5 (5)75.880.8156.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.580.2158.7-1.636%
vs Weaker (19)81.273.4154.6+7.868%
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
MalvinPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A08/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
81.7Avg total
41.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.541.283.8+1.239%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.238.884.0+6.346%-
Last 30 away (15)40.243.383.5-3.133%-
Last 10 (9)41.040.781.7+0.333%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.750.088.7-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.743.686.3-0.929%-
vs Weaker (15)43.936.780.6+7.360%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
83.5Avg total
42.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.480.8+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.338.980.2+2.344%-
Last 30 away (12)41.640.081.6+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.840.580.4-0.736%-
vs Weaker (19)42.338.781.0+3.653%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.2
54.3%
51.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.5
31.9%
33.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.213.3
73.1%
71.7%13.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.8
53.2%
51.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.5
30.6%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.5
74.4%
71.7%12.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWWLLLWLWW
Penarol
WWLLLWLLWW
#4
League position
#3
-3.6
Net rating
+6.2
105.9
Offensive rating
108.5
109.5
Defensive rating
102.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.9%
3-point %
30.6%
54.5%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 108.5Defence109.5 · 102.3Shooting51.9% · 49.9%3-point %31.9% · 30.6%Ball care17.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Malvin   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Malvin wins
1
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Penarol v Malvin82-58
14/11/23Malvin v Penarol83-82
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24ANacional67-84
01/11/24HTrouville85-71
24/10/24ABigua86-73
08/05/24AAguada95-100
02/05/24HAguada81-83
30/04/24AAguada67-91
21/04/24HUrupan77-68
19/04/24AUrupan74-99
17/04/24HUrupan88-86 OT
06/04/24HGoes20-0
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24HCordon77-73
28/10/24HAguada86-77 OT
25/10/24HUrupan71-78
18/06/24HAguada71-88
15/06/24AAguada74-88
11/06/24HAguada95-78
07/06/24AAguada90-97
03/06/24HAguada65-66
28/05/24HDefensor103-66
24/05/24ADefensor80-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game79.385.076.5
Allowed / game76.071.078.5
Point differential+3.3+14.0-2.0
Avg total155.3156.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%33%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional220100%99.565.5+34.0
2 Hebraica y Macabi330100%91.380.3+11.0
3 Cordon32167%85.072.3+12.7
4 Bigua32167%82.376.0+6.3
5 Urunday32167%82.778.7+4.0
6 Malvin32167%79.376.0+3.3
7 Penarol32167%78.076.0+2.0
8 Aguada31233%81.383.7-2.3
9 Trouville31233%76.080.7-4.7
10 Urupan41325%75.282.0-6.8
11 Defensor2020%83.090.0-7.0
12 Welcome4040%72.5103.5-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin157252875
Penarol1728101873
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.