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Malvin vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 67-89
19-24 11-25 19-27 18-13
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#1
Record10-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game71.3
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Malvin v Penarol
28 Oct 2026
MALV76
PENA101
19 Mar 2026
MALV67
PENA96
15 Dec 2025
MALV67
PENA89
11 Dec 2025
MALV v PENA
upcoming
07 Nov 2024
MALV75
PENA73
13 Nov 2023
MALV83
PENA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
95-94
95
94
+1
85avg 74
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
82-94
82
94
-12
65avg 74
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 74
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
79avg 74
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 74
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 74
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
52-61
52
61
-9
33avg 74
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
67avg 74
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
82avg 74
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
26-34
21-16
20-21
22-25
23-29
21-21
16-19
15-28
14-24
28-17
27-11
23-23
16-20
22-16
31-17
19-24
26-19
26-23
19-23
15-22
13-16
23-15
25-17
24-10
21-21
23-20
14-24
17-20
14-14
12-13
9-14
16-12
22-20
15-14
25-26
27-20
19-23
16-18
29-16
161.0Avg total
82.2Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.279.6161.8+2.675%
Season at home (6)81.379.5160.8+1.883%
Season away (6)83.079.7162.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)82.278.8161.0+3.480%
Last 5 (5)75.871.0146.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.989.1175.0-3.250%
vs Similar (8)77.073.1150.1+3.975%
vs Weaker (12)86.278.1164.3+8.267%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
W
90-59
90
59
+31
95avg 81
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
101avg 81
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
38avg 81
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
102-80
102
80
+22
108avg 81
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
103-89
103
89
+14
100avg 81
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 81
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-69
86
69
+17
84avg 81
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
83avg 81
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 81
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 81
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
26-16
18-15
24-8
30-9
24-24
29-24
19-26
26-21
18-27
–
–
37-23
19-18
28-15
18-24
20-21
29-24
25-26
29-18
20-19
26-16
18-21
17-32
26-15
14-25
27-17
19-12
22-27
21-20
20-18
22-7
15-21
28-14
22-10
20-13
21-16
19-16
17-22
25-15
157.5Avg total
86.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.371.3157.7+15.083%
Season at home (6)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
Season away (6)81.767.7149.3+14.067%
Last 10 (10)86.071.5157.5+14.580%
Last 5 (5)83.871.2155.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar (3)79.776.0155.7+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.875.7161.4+10.181%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
MalvinPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
82.7Avg total
40.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.884.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.084.9+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.684.3-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.782.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.673.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)45.043.488.4+1.650%-
vs Similar (8)34.837.872.5-3.038%-
vs Weaker (12)46.443.289.6+3.258%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
85.5Avg total
46.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.782.3+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.638.379.9+3.359%-
Last 30 away (13)46.339.285.5+7.177%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.285.5+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (3)34.737.772.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.738.883.5+5.969%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.7
47.8%
53.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.4
34.4%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.514.3
66.5%
70.9%14.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.7
59.3%
53.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.4
36.5%
33.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.712.0
67.8%
70.9%12.0
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
WWLWWWWWLW
Penarol
WWWWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+2.5
Net rating
+23.4
104.3
Offensive rating
117.9
101.8
Defensive rating
94.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
57.5%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
36.5%
49.5%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 117.9Defence101.8 · 94.6Shooting49.4% · 57.5%3-point %34.4% · 36.5%Ball care16.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds28.8% · 36.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Malvin   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Malvin wins
4
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
17/10/25Penarol v Malvin89-79
28/03/25Penarol v Malvin82-73 OT
25/01/25Penarol v Malvin79-70
07/11/24Malvin v Penarol75-73
13/01/24Penarol v Malvin82-58
14/11/23Malvin v Penarol83-82
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25ACordon91-77
06/12/25AUnion Atletica78-72
18/11/25HHebraica y Macabi52-61
14/11/25HNacional82-75
11/11/25AUrunday76-70
07/11/25HBigua90-89
05/11/25ADefensor92-76
31/10/25HGoes84-80
25/10/25AAguada82-94
20/10/25HWelcome95-94
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25HNacional82-69
04/12/25HUrunday85-58
21/11/25HDefensor85-72
18/11/25ABigua86-69
12/11/25AGoes81-88
08/11/25HAguada103-89
03/11/25AWelcome102-80
29/10/25AHebraica y Macabi44-48
23/10/25HCordon102-83
20/10/25AUnion Atletica90-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game82.281.383.0
Allowed / game79.679.579.7
Point differential+2.6+1.8+3.3
Avg total161.8160.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game86.391.081.7
Allowed / game71.375.067.7
Point differential+15.0+16.0+14.0
Avg total157.7166.0149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1210283%86.371.3+15.0
2 Nacional129375%90.682.2+8.3
3 Malvin129375%82.279.6+2.6
4 Hebraica y Macabi139469%82.177.7+4.4
5 Aguada106460%95.288.9+6.3
6 Bigua127558%88.187.9+0.2
7 Defensor116555%87.486.0+1.4
8 Urunday126650%91.284.6+6.6
9 Union Atletica135838%82.184.2-2.1
10 Goes123925%82.791.1-8.4
11 Cordon1321115%83.295.2-12.0
12 Welcome120120%80.0100.2-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin1911191867
Penarol2425271389
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