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Manisa vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-82
21-26 18-25 21-16 18-15
Position#11
Record9-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#1
Record23-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game79.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 28· Muradiye Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Manisa v Fenerbahce
24 Apr 2026
MAI78
FEN82
10 Nov 2024
MAI82
FEN90
19 Nov 2023
MAI69
FEN82
22 Oct 2022
MAI58
FEN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
105-112
105
112
-7
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
20-19
15-26
28-15
22-13
27-23
16-11
29-29
24-20
24-30
22-15
23-12
13-19
19-22
24-21
20-23
19-24
28-23
28-24
17-25
29-18
23-21
23-18
17-21
10-26
17-25
21-23
22-28
25-30
31-26
25-32
24-24
23-30
26-17
20-23
31-26
16-22
19-34
19-20
33-24
179.7Avg total
88.8Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.686.5168.1-4.933%
Season at home (13)83.286.0169.2-2.846%
Season away (14)80.286.9167.1-6.721%
Last 10 (10)88.890.9179.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)90.897.6188.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.891.1169.9-12.28%
vs Similar (14)86.683.6170.1+3.057%
vs Weaker (3)91.776.3168.0+15.3100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A24/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H27/03
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A01/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A07/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H09/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A16/04
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-32
23-15
23-22
25-22
19-27
18-17
20-26
19-16
13-23
24-26
19-10
12-25
18-18
30-24
16-18
27-14
24-19
12-25
19-11
17-25
21-26
18-24
24-20
21-19
13-21
24-14
11-20
25-20
21-20
23-16
20-17
24-16
24-26
22-8
11-26
18-23
23-16
31-31
21-20
166.1Avg total
82.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.779.4168.1+9.385%
Season at home (14)90.680.9171.5+9.893%
Season away (13)86.577.8164.4+8.777%
Last 10 (10)82.483.7166.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)82.481.6164.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.0104.0191.0-17.00%
vs Similar (13)82.981.4164.3+1.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.577.6162.1+6.981%
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
ManisaFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
90.0Avg total
43.1Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.987.2-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.044.088.0+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.786.5-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.146.990.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.849.893.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.946.287.2-5.323%-
vs Similar (14)44.742.687.3+2.171%-
vs Weaker (3)47.739.787.3+8.0100%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A24/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/03
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A01/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H09/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A16/04
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.0Avg total
40.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.480.8+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.977.8+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)41.741.783.4+0.038%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.384.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.048.094.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (13)42.141.683.7+0.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.437.177.6+3.356%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.6
55.0%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.0
35.3%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
76.0%14.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 62.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.2 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.413.6
66.7%
54.0%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.9
35.9%
35.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws6.75.2
77.6%
76.0%5.2
They take 48.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manisa
LWLLWLLWWL
Fenerbahce
WWWLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#1
-2.4
Net rating
+3.7
99.5
Offensive rating
53.1
101.8
Defensive rating
49.4
54.2%
Effective FG%
59.3%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
20.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.14
35.3%
3-point %
35.9%
68.4%
Assist %
72.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 53.1Defence101.8 · 49.4Shooting54.2% · 59.3%3-point %35.3% · 35.9%Ball care14.5% · 20.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Manisa   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Manisa wins
7
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Fenerbahce v Manisa93-79
15/03/25Fenerbahce v Manisa77-73
10/11/24Manisa v Fenerbahce82-90
16/03/24Fenerbahce v Manisa98-82
19/11/23Manisa v Fenerbahce69-82
05/03/23Fenerbahce v Manisa92-78
22/10/22Manisa v Fenerbahce58-93
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26APetkim Spor87-100
12/04/26HTofas100-96
06/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.105-112
27/03/26HBesiktas70-102
22/03/26HKarsiyaka92-78
14/03/26ATrabzonspor92-96
09/03/26HAnadolu Efes76-85
13/02/26AMerkezefendi93-77
08/02/26HBursaspor94-76
01/02/26AEsenler Erokspor79-87
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HTrabzonspor93-90
16/04/26ALyon-Villeurbanne81-76
13/04/26AAnadolu Efes89-73
09/04/26HReal Madrid69-74
07/04/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv80-95
04/04/26HMerkezefendi82-69
01/04/26ABayern76-85
29/03/26ABursaspor83-89 OT
27/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-92
24/03/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLWLW46%
AwayLWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%46%21%
Points / game81.683.280.2
Allowed / game86.586.086.9
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.7
Avg total168.1169.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%23%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW85%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %85%93%77%
Points / game88.790.686.5
Allowed / game79.480.977.8
Point differential+9.3+9.8+8.7
Avg total168.1171.5164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%43%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas2723485%87.276.8+10.4
2 Fenerbahce2723485%88.779.4+9.3
3 Turk Telekom2719870%87.580.7+6.7
4 Bahcesehir Kol.2719870%82.877.8+5.0
5 Anadolu Efes27171063%87.081.1+5.9
6 Trabzonspor27171063%86.882.6+4.3
7 Esenler Erokspor27161159%82.278.8+3.4
8 Galatasaray27161159%86.483.8+2.6
9 Tofas27101737%84.586.4-1.9
10 Merkezefendi27101737%80.886.8-6.0
11 Mersin SK2791833%84.487.8-3.4
12 Manisa2791833%81.686.5-4.9
13 Petkim Spor2791833%80.987.6-6.7
14 Bursaspor2781930%80.989.4-8.4
15 Karsiyaka2772026%80.788.6-7.9
16 Buyukcekmece2742315%80.989.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manisa2118211878
Fenerbahce2625161582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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