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Manisa vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 100-96
23-30 26-17 20-23 31-26
Position#11
Record8-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game85.6
Manisa 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#9
Record10-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 26· Muradiye Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Manisa v Tofas
12 Apr 2026
MAI100
TOF96
29 Nov 2024
MAI106
TOF109
04 Feb 2024
MAI91
TOF89
04 Feb 2023
MAI82
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
105-112
105
112
-7
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
23-24
13-19
16-19
14-21
23-11
20-21
22-18
16-27
20-19
15-26
28-15
22-13
27-23
16-11
29-29
24-20
24-30
22-15
23-12
13-19
19-22
24-21
20-23
19-24
28-23
28-24
17-25
29-18
23-21
23-18
17-21
10-26
17-25
21-23
22-28
25-30
31-26
25-32
24-24
172.2Avg total
85.7Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.785.6166.2-4.932%
Season at home (12)81.885.2166.9-3.442%
Season away (13)79.785.9165.6-6.223%
Last 10 (10)85.786.5172.2-0.840%
Last 5 (5)87.094.6181.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.990.4169.4-11.57%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.581.0167.5+5.562%
vs Weaker (3)91.776.3168.0+15.3100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#11
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A10/02
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A11/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H18/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
24-21
20-14
19-21
18-11
15-22
14-18
13-18
19-7
22-21
21-33
29-20
19-24
23-20
21-28
18-19
18-19
33-30
17-23
20-24
26-26
29-24
21-28
27-25
26-19
21-30
14-30
29-19
24-21
23-27
18-17
23-28
21-21
22-30
27-16
12-25
20-28
10-25
22-13
19-25
176.1Avg total
84.9Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.185.4169.4-1.340%
Season at home (12)83.280.7163.9+2.658%
Season away (13)84.889.7174.5-4.823%
Last 10 (10)84.991.2176.1-6.320%
Last 5 (5)89.297.4186.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.186.1168.1-4.029%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.086.1168.1-4.120%
vs Weaker (6)95.392.3187.7+3.067%
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
ManisaTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.3Avg total
43.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.087.0+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.843.187.9+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.342.986.2+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.244.187.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.889.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.146.087.1-4.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.440.586.8+5.977%-
vs Weaker (3)47.739.787.3+8.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/02
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A11/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H18/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.1Avg total
43.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.384.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.644.184.7-3.429%-
Last 30 away (16)42.442.785.1-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.345.889.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.450.294.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.541.883.3-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.545.483.9-6.90%-
vs Weaker (6)47.043.590.5+3.583%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.9
54.0%
54.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
35.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.3
74.3%
76.0%15.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.7
59.8%
54.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.5
30.2%
35.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.518.5
75.5%
76.0%18.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manisa
LLWLLWWLWL
Tofas
LLLLWLLWLL
#11
League position
#9
-1.8
Net rating
-7.9
96.0
Offensive rating
98.3
97.8
Defensive rating
106.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.5%
3-point %
30.2%
68.4%
Assist %
73.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 98.3Defence97.8 · 106.2Shooting51.5% · 53.9%3-point %31.5% · 30.2%Ball care14.9% · 13.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Manisa   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Manisa wins
3
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Tofas v Manisa80-62
29/03/25Tofas v Manisa98-106
29/11/24Manisa v Tofas106-109 OT
04/02/24Manisa v Tofas91-89
22/10/23Tofas v Manisa77-89
04/02/23Manisa v Tofas82-76
15/10/22Tofas v Manisa90-69
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.105-112
27/03/26HBesiktas70-102
22/03/26HKarsiyaka92-78
14/03/26ATrabzonspor92-96
09/03/26HAnadolu Efes76-85
13/02/26AMerkezefendi93-77
08/02/26HBursaspor94-76
01/02/26AEsenler Erokspor79-87
23/01/26HBuyukcekmece79-71
18/01/26AMersin SK77-81
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HTrabzonspor71-91
29/03/26AAnadolu Efes82-92
21/03/26HMerkezefendi88-93
18/03/26HAS Karditsas90-98
15/03/26ABursaspor115-113 OT
11/03/26AAEK Athens88-96
08/03/26HEsenler Erokspor81-91
14/02/26ABuyukcekmece91-81
10/02/26AAlba Berlin60-69
07/02/26HMersin SK83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeWWLWL42%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %32%42%23%
Points / game80.781.879.7
Allowed / game85.685.285.9
Point differential-4.9-3.4-6.2
Avg total166.2166.9165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeLLLLL58%
AwayLLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%58%23%
Points / game84.183.284.8
Allowed / game85.480.789.7
Point differential-1.3+2.6-4.8
Avg total169.4163.9174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas2622485%86.876.5+10.2
2 Fenerbahce2521484%88.579.2+9.2
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2619773%83.277.4+5.7
4 Trabzonspor2517868%86.881.8+5.0
5 Turk Telekom2416867%86.880.1+6.8
6 Anadolu Efes2516964%87.580.8+6.7
7 Esenler Erokspor25151060%82.378.7+3.6
8 Galatasaray25151060%86.583.8+2.6
9 Tofas25101540%84.185.4-1.3
10 Merkezefendi25101540%80.886.5-5.7
11 Mersin SK2691735%84.487.9-3.5
12 Manisa2581732%80.785.6-4.9
13 Petkim Spor2571828%79.787.8-8.0
14 Bursaspor2571828%80.389.4-9.1
15 Karsiyaka2662023%80.489.1-8.7
16 Buyukcekmece2642215%81.489.5-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manisa23262031100
Tofas3017232696
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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