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Manresa vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 92-91
16-22 34-27 20-22 22-20
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game87.8
Manresa 🏆
Spain
vs
Palencia
Spain
Position#18
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game82.5
SpainACBRound 5· Pavelló Nou Congost
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Manresa v Palencia
15 Oct 2023
MAN92
PAL91
20 May 2018
MAN82
PAL80
18 May 2018
MAN86
PAL85
28 Jan 2018
MAN78
PAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manresa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManresaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
88-99
88
99
-11
65avg 74
A26/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
62avg 74
A29/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 74
A03/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H07/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
82-81
82
81
+1
65avg 74
A14/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-75
105
75
+30
106avg 74
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 74
A24/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 74
H29/09
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
no box
A01/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 74
H07/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
19-27
15-35
30-15
14-24
19-12
22-25
21-19
22-21
21-16
19-28
26-32
22-23
22-13
23-21
20-25
22-19
14-23
23-19
23-20
22-17
26-13
29-24
28-21
24-22
20-17
22-38
26-20
26-22
16-21
25-30
21-21
28-18
21-25
10-21
18-13
25-21
22-17
14-8
20-29
174.1Avg total
87.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.587.8175.2-0.250%
Season at home (2)84.584.5169.0+0.050%
Season away (2)90.591.0181.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)87.686.5174.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)91.085.2176.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.388.9170.2-7.621%
vs Similar (12)86.282.8169.0+3.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.275.8162.0+10.5100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Melilla
#16
W
115-86
115
86
+29
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H26/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H28/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
90-60
90
60
+30
no box
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 56
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 56
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 56
H07/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-11
29-24
26-35
29-16
20-14
27-10
19-22
22-11
21-20
23-12
16-20
15-16
9-10
16-12
16-19
22-19
19-8
17-24
31-12
23-16
28-22
22-20
23-19
22-22
20-28
11-19
18-27
15-10
18-19
7-15
23-16
24-22
21-20
19-23
23-21
11-23
17-14
12-21
19-25
21-15
156.0Avg total
81.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.582.5155.0-10.00%
Season at home (2)76.079.5155.5-3.50%
Season away (2)69.085.5154.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)81.674.4156.0+7.260%
Last 5 (5)77.082.6159.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.785.0158.7-11.30%
vs Similar (4)79.586.0165.5-6.525%
vs Weaker (23)83.572.0155.5+11.583%
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
ManresaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A26/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A29/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A03/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H29/09
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A01/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H07/10
ACB
82.2Avg total
42.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.737.981.6+5.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.483.8-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.382.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.684.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.444.184.4-3.729%-
vs Similar (12)43.238.281.5+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.537.280.8+6.275%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#16
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H26/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/10
ACB
73.3Avg total
38.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.475.7+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.634.775.4+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)37.538.576.1-1.046%-
Last 10 (10)38.734.673.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.275.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.041.373.3-9.30%-
vs Similar (4)37.040.277.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker (23)40.735.075.7+5.670%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.3
52.0%
53.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
75.6%13.7
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.314.7
46.8%
53.0%29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.0
28.6%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.3
69.4%
75.6%14.3
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manresa
WWLLWWWLLL
Palencia
LLLLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#18
+0.9
Net rating
-19.2
108.7
Offensive rating
94.8
107.8
Defensive rating
114.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
44.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.9%
3-point %
28.6%
57.8%
Assist %
51.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 94.8Defence107.8 · 114.0Shooting52.1% · 44.9%3-point %34.9% · 28.6%Ball care17.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Manresa   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Manresa wins
0
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
25/05/18Palencia v Manresa76-83
20/05/18Manresa v Palencia82-80
18/05/18Manresa v Palencia86-85
28/01/18Manresa v Palencia78-73
15/10/17Palencia v Manresa72-76
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HBasket Zaragoza81-75
01/10/23ABreogan89-85 OT
29/09/23HReal Madrid88-94
24/09/23AGran Canaria92-97
24/05/23HGran Canaria105-75
14/05/23ABreogan82-81
07/05/23HValencia87-82
03/05/23AUnicaja88-97
29/04/23ABilbao76-80
26/04/23ABasket Zaragoza88-99
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HJoventut Badalona69-75
01/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra74-87
29/09/23HBarcelona83-84 OT
23/09/23AObradoiro CAB64-84
18/06/23HSan Pablo Burgos95-83
17/06/23HReal Valladolid90-60
02/06/23AAlicante63-60
28/05/23HAlicante75-68
26/05/23HAlicante88-57
19/05/23HMelilla115-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manresa
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.584.590.5
Allowed / game87.884.591.0
Point differential-0.2+0.0-0.5
Avg total175.2169.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.576.069.0
Allowed / game82.579.585.5
Point differential-10.0-3.5-16.5
Avg total155.0155.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%93.577.8+15.8
2 Bilbao54180%83.280.6+2.6
3 Baskonia43175%86.580.0+6.5
4 Murcia43175%85.080.5+4.5
5 Valencia43175%86.582.5+4.0
6 Barcelona43175%87.283.8+3.5
7 Basquet Girona53260%83.882.4+1.4
8 Joventut Badalona53260%84.086.4-2.4
9 Manresa42250%87.587.8-0.2
10 Gran Canaria42250%78.084.5-6.5
11 Unicaja52340%89.684.8+4.8
12 Obradoiro CAB52340%81.878.2+3.6
13 MoraBanc Andorra52340%80.483.6-3.2
14 Tenerife52340%79.283.8-4.6
15 Breogan41325%78.582.0-3.5
16 Basket Zaragoza41325%79.288.5-9.2
17 Granada5050%89.295.2-6.0
18 Palencia4040%72.582.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manresa1634202292
Palencia2227222091
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