PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Palencia vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-84 (OT)
18-19 7-15 23-16 24-22 11-12
Position#18
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game84.0
Palencia
Spain
vs
Barcelona 🏆
Spain
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game79.0
SpainACBRound 2· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
no box
A28/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
H05/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
no box
A14/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
115-86
115
86
+29
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H26/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H28/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
90-60
90
60
+30
no box
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 50
A23/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
23-19
17-13
18-27
15-15
20-20
23-14
16-17
23-16
11-27
14-17
21-21
31-11
29-24
26-35
29-16
20-14
27-10
19-22
22-11
21-20
23-12
16-20
15-16
9-10
16-12
16-19
22-19
19-8
17-24
31-12
23-16
28-22
22-20
23-19
22-22
20-28
11-19
18-27
15-10
154.7Avg total
81.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.084.0148.0-20.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)64.084.0148.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)81.473.3154.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)77.471.0148.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)64.084.0148.0-20.00%
vs Similar (4)83.284.5167.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (25)83.672.2155.8+11.484%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
87-64
87
64
+23
97avg 80
A02/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
73avg 80
H07/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 80
H09/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 80
A11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 80
A13/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
97-88
97
88
+9
93avg 80
H16/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 80
H18/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
93-82
93
82
+11
93avg 80
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 80
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
95-79
95
79
+16
93avg 80
H24/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
17-13
24-19
20-19
26-15
19-16
21-27
18-23
18-25
19-15
20-23
22-25
20-17
20-26
26-17
24-19
23-13
22-24
28-15
14-23
28-23
19-27
16-11
34-27
20-19
25-22
23-24
18-20
20-21
18-20
29-25
26-16
25-22
15-20
19-25
21-23
22-20
22-20
24-17
27-22
168.9Avg total
87.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.881.1168.9+6.780%
Last 5 (5)90.284.8175.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)84.981.2166.2+3.777%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.970.9155.9+14.088%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
PalenciaBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A28/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H26/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A23/09
ACB
76.8Avg total
40.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.436.276.7+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.377.8+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.375.4+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.076.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.072.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)31.047.078.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (4)40.542.583.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (25)40.834.875.6+6.072%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A02/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H09/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A13/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H16/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H24/09
ACB
81.5Avg total
42.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.778.3+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.637.781.4+5.976%-
Last 30 away (13)38.935.474.3+3.554%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.181.5+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.885.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)41.940.882.8+1.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.433.074.4+8.488%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.013.0
41.9%
53.0%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.0
30.8%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.0
66.7%
75.6%12.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.5
54.7%
53.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.511.8
48.2%
34.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.714.6
82.5%
75.6%14.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LWWWWWWLWL
Barcelona
WLWWWWWLWW
#18
League position
#3
-31.1
Net rating
+9.8
87.7
Offensive rating
120.5
118.8
Defensive rating
110.7
43.9%
Effective FG%
62.1%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
24.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.8%
3-point %
48.2%
66.7%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 120.5Defence118.8 · 110.7Shooting43.9% · 62.1%3-point %30.8% · 48.2%Ball care24.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 26.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Palencia   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
0
Barcelona wins
No previous meetings.
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23AObradoiro CAB64-84
18/06/23HSan Pablo Burgos95-83
17/06/23HReal Valladolid90-60
02/06/23AAlicante63-60
28/05/23HAlicante75-68
26/05/23HAlicante88-57
19/05/23HMelilla115-86
14/05/23ALeyma Coruna69-81
05/05/23HEstudiantes74-66
28/04/23AForca Lleida81-88
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23HJoventut Badalona95-79
16/09/23HReal Madrid80-90
20/06/23AReal Madrid93-82
18/06/23HReal Madrid86-85
16/06/23HReal Madrid97-88
13/06/23AUnicaja87-75
11/06/23AUnicaja90-79
09/06/23HUnicaja79-88
07/06/23HUnicaja84-81
02/06/23AValencia87-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game64.0-64.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential-20.0--20.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Barcelona
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid110100%101.070.0+31.0
2 Bilbao110100%95.073.0+22.0
3 Obradoiro CAB110100%84.064.0+20.0
4 Barcelona110100%95.079.0+16.0
5 Basquet Girona220100%88.574.5+14.0
6 Murcia220100%96.088.5+7.5
7 Unicaja21150%95.087.5+7.5
8 Valencia21150%89.587.5+2.0
9 Baskonia21150%82.083.5-1.5
10 Joventut Badalona21150%82.587.5-5.0
11 Gran Canaria21150%80.590.0-9.5
12 Basket Zaragoza21150%85.096.5-11.5
13 Granada2020%90.595.0-4.5
14 Manresa1010%92.097.0-5.0
15 Breogan1010%79.088.0-9.0
16 Tenerife2020%80.596.0-15.5
17 Palencia1010%64.084.0-20.0
18 MoraBanc Andorra1010%73.095.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Palencia18723241183
Barcelona191516221284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.