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Marshall vs NC Wilmington Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#301
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#19
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Marshall v NC Wilmington
02 Dec 2026
MARS v NC W
upcoming
21 Dec 2023
MARS69
NC W78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marshall win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
NC Wilmington win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
82-99
82
99
-17
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#279
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#224
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A09/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-35
36-45
41-52
53-41
24-36
51-43
49-42
48-46
40-38
42-61
35-42
43-40
45-24
47-41
38-27
38-54
27-45
47-39
34-28
37-46
164.8Avg total
82.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.276.0154.2+2.225%
Season at home (2)84.073.0157.0+11.050%
Season away (2)72.579.0151.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)82.382.5164.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)78.277.2155.4+1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)71.580.0151.5-8.50%
vs Similar (20)78.278.9157.1-0.850%
vs Weaker (7)85.377.6162.9+7.757%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#159
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H20/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A21/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A04/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#435
W
101-65
101
65
+36
H03/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#123
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#274
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H12/11
NCAA
Montreat College
#516
W
100-41
100
41
+59
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
43-38
36-35
37-33
44-26
44-39
35-23
41-56
35-24
41-33
33-31
37-54
36-27
65-38
31-33
47-42
49-30
42-43
57-26
43-15
150.9Avg total
83.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.563.5156.0+29.0100%
Season at home (3)97.359.7157.0+37.7100%
Season away (1)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.267.7150.9+15.580%
Last 5 (5)88.067.8155.8+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.270.4144.6+3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.067.3144.3+9.791%
This opponent (Marshall) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +10.6+10.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +4.9+4.9
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +10.6+10.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +4.9+4.9
MarshallNC Wilmington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#279
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#224
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A14/11
NCAA
75.0Avg total
38.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.837.374.1-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.135.674.6+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)33.939.573.5-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.975.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.269.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (20)35.438.073.4-2.640%-
vs Weaker (7)41.636.177.7+5.457%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#159
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H27/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H02/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A04/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#435
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#123
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#274
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Montreat College
#516
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H14/11
NCAA
67.8Avg total
39.2Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.868.9+5.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.228.266.4+9.989%-
Last 30 away (12)35.437.272.7-1.858%-
Last 10 (10)39.228.667.8+10.690%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.470.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.834.470.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)36.531.768.3+4.878%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marshall wins
3
NC Wilmington wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25NC Wilmington v Marshall70-69
07/12/24NC Wilmington v Marshall78-69
22/12/23Marshall v NC Wilmington69-78
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AYoungstown State71-74
09/11/26AOhio State74-84
07/11/26HToledo76-81
03/11/26HBuffalo92-65
09/03/26HGeorgia Southern78-82
28/02/26HGeorgia Southern82-99
25/02/26HOld Dominion97-88
21/02/26ACoastal Carolina75-79
19/02/26AAppalachian State94-93
17/02/26HSouth Alabama84-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMontreat College100-41
12/11/26HKent State91-73
07/11/26AEast Carolina78-75
03/11/26HMount Olive Trojans101-65
08/03/26HCampbell70-85
04/03/26AElon76-57
02/03/26HCharleston76-79
27/02/26HN. Carolina A&T88-65
21/02/26ACampbell73-68
20/02/26HMonmouth79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marshall
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.284.072.5
Allowed / game76.073.079.0
Point differential+2.2+11.0-6.5
Avg total154.2157.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC Wilmington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.597.378.0
Allowed / game63.559.775.0
Point differential+29.0+37.7+3.0
Avg total156.0157.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
10 Georgia State41325%85.877.2+8.5
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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