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Troy vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-64
45-24 23-40
Position#115
Record13-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game65.9
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#236
Record11-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Troy v Texas State
31 Dec 2025
TROY100
TEXA80
09 Jan 2025
TROY73
TEXA74
09 Mar 2024
TROY68
TEXA74
24 Jan 2024
TROY78
TEXA65
04 Feb 2023
TROY68
TEXA64
25 Feb 2022
TROY61
TEXA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A14/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A27/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-22
35-30
38-32
40-39
31-27
35-27
30-27
35-26
20-25
25-33
42-35
32-39
31-27
46-26
17-41
40-31
25-37
35-40
23-30
42-44
130.8Avg total
65.5Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.865.9138.8+6.954%
Season at home (11)83.064.6147.6+18.473%
Season away (13)64.267.0131.2-2.838%
Last 10 (10)65.565.3130.8+0.250%
Last 5 (5)69.273.0142.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
vs Similar (12)61.070.0131.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)72.161.8133.8+10.392%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A07/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-20
30-35
27-27
36-35
36-21
28-37
28-24
33-34
25-22
33-39
33-33
40-48
22-27
29-33
31-36
39-31
27-34
31-33
34-38
29-44
126.4Avg total
61.3Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)64.565.8130.2-1.346%
Season at home (11)66.666.6133.3+0.036%
Season away (13)62.665.0127.6-2.454%
Last 10 (10)61.365.1126.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)63.071.4134.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)62.967.1130.0-4.230%
vs Similar (10)63.665.3128.9-1.760%
vs Weaker (6)67.361.2128.5+6.267%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -4.1-4.1
TroyTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A14/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A27/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H03/02
NCAA
58.0Avg total
27.7Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.163.8+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.729.566.2+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)28.732.761.4-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)27.730.358.0-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)27.634.061.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (12)27.632.259.8-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)32.529.261.7+3.469%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A07/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/02
NCAA
56.7Avg total
28.5Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.328.859.2+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.630.462.0+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)29.227.556.7+1.756%-
Last 10 (10)28.528.256.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.663.0-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.829.359.1+0.540%-
vs Similar (10)29.229.258.4+0.050%-
vs Weaker (6)30.727.057.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Troy wins
1
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22Texas State v Troy52-55
26/02/22Troy v Texas State61-66
31/12/21Texas State v Troy63-78
07/01/20Texas State v Troy63-71
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HSouthern Miss65-74
28/01/23ASouth Alabama60-77
27/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette57-72
21/01/23HLouisiana Monroe77-53
20/01/23HJames Madison87-89 OT
14/01/23AAppalachian State45-58
13/01/23AGeorgia State65-53
07/01/23HArkansas State66-54
06/01/23HOld Dominion78-71
31/12/22ATexas State55-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette63-82
28/01/23ASouthern Miss58-67
27/01/23HGeorgia Southern70-67
21/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette51-60
20/01/23HMarshall73-81
14/01/23ALouisiana Monroe58-61
13/01/23AArkansas State61-58
07/01/23ASouth Alabama64-58
06/01/23AJames Madison63-62
31/12/22HTroy52-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL54%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %54%73%38%
Points / game72.883.064.2
Allowed / game65.964.667.0
Point differential+6.9+18.4-2.8
Avg total138.8147.6131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%64%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL46%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayWWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %46%36%54%
Points / game64.566.662.6
Allowed / game65.866.665.0
Point differential-1.3+0.0-2.4
Avg total130.2133.3127.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2521484%75.563.7+11.8
2 Louisiana Lafayette2319483%80.470.6+9.8
3 Marshall2419579%82.169.5+12.6
4 James Madison2517868%81.966.4+15.5
5 Old Dominion23131057%67.866.6+1.2
6 Troy24131154%72.865.9+6.9
7 Appalachian State25131252%71.664.2+7.4
8 Georgia Southern24121250%68.666.6+2.0
9 South Alabama24111346%70.167.2+2.9
10 Texas State24111346%64.565.8-1.3
11 Louisiana Monroe25111444%69.569.2+0.3
12 Coastal Carolina24101442%73.871.9+1.8
13 Georgia State24101442%66.566.6-0.1
14 Arkansas State25101540%65.467.3-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy452368
Texas State244064
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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