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Marsonia vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-90
23-17 30-21 17-29 17-23
Position#9
Record10-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Stoja 🏆
Croatia
Position#13
Record4-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game90.1
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 26· Sports Hall Viju
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
48avg 71
A28/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
73avg 71
H03/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
88-97
88
97
-9
78avg 71
A11/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
60-70
60
70
-10
56avg 71
A18/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 71
A02/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-99
72
99
-27
58avg 71
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
66avg 71
H14/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
99avg 71
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
85avg 71
H21/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
76avg 71
A27/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
19-21
15-26
8-25
23-18
29-13
10-19
22-23
24-31
31-23
16-17
17-26
22-10
17-18
11-20
10-22
31-24
23-25
24-14
11-21
14-32
15-24
19-21
24-22
20-18
19-28
21-17
21-13
15-19
26-30
22-31
30-13
20-11
31-23
18-23
22-18
19-28
19-16
24-17
17-24
166.7Avg total
80.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.985.8166.8-4.940%
Season at home (12)82.882.8165.6-0.150%
Season away (13)79.288.6167.8-9.431%
Last 10 (10)80.985.8166.7-4.950%
Last 5 (5)86.487.6174.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.289.9169.1-10.619%
vs Similar (4)79.277.2156.5+2.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.679.8167.4+7.880%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 71
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 71
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 71
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 71
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 71
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 71
H03/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
72avg 71
A09/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
72avg 71
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
63avg 71
A23/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-72
99
72
+27
96avg 71
H28/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
16-31
17-25
15-28
22-12
22-23
20-24
27-22
25-18
23-28
22-33
18-14
22-17
16-24
24-12
20-19
20-26
32-38
29-23
11-17
15-14
15-26
25-20
16-11
21-28
21-22
20-17
18-21
17-28
17-31
20-31
24-22
13-23
38-18
16-22
20-17
25-15
169.2Avg total
80.1Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.290.1169.4-10.916%
Season at home (13)80.388.8169.2-8.523%
Season away (12)78.191.5169.6-13.48%
Last 10 (10)80.189.1169.2-9.020%
Last 5 (5)82.688.8171.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)81.893.9175.7-12.119%
vs Similar (5)75.884.8160.6-9.020%
vs Weaker (4)84.878.5163.2+6.250%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
MarsoniaStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H03/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A11/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A18/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
86.7Avg total
43.1Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)41.643.685.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.742.082.7-1.342%-
Last 30 away (13)42.545.287.7-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.686.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.885.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.746.386.0-6.625%-
vs Similar (4)42.040.282.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.637.885.4+9.880%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H03/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A09/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A23/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H28/03
Prva Liga
91.3Avg total
42.9Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.748.689.3-7.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.745.789.4-2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)37.351.989.2-14.60%-
Last 10 (10)42.948.491.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.649.696.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.250.791.0-10.524%-
vs Similar (5)40.845.686.4-4.820%-
vs Weaker (4)43.041.284.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.2
51.7%
52.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.2
34.1%
32.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.312.1
69.9%
71.2%12.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.622.8
50.0%
52.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.4
37.3%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws13.49.2
68.7%
71.2%9.2
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
LWWWLWLLWL
Stoja
WLLLLLLWLL
#9
League position
#13
-5.5
Net rating
-11.0
100.8
Offensive rating
104.7
106.3
Defensive rating
115.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
21.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.1%
3-point %
37.3%
44.2%
Assist %
66.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 104.7Defence106.3 · 115.7Shooting51.6% · 52.0%3-point %34.1% · 37.3%Ball care21.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.0% · 27.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Marsonia   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marsonia wins
0
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Stoja v Marsonia80-88
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AKastela79-85
21/03/24HMladost91-75
19/03/24AHermes109-103 OT
14/03/24HJazine81-76
10/03/24HOsijek72-99
02/03/24ACrikvenica89-84
18/02/24AKK Zagreb60-70
11/02/24ASamobor88-97
03/02/24HPodstrana84-73
28/01/24AKvarner56-96
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HPodstrana99-72
23/03/24AKvarner74-107
16/03/24HOmis76-88
09/03/24AGorica77-85
03/03/24HSamobor87-92
28/02/24HKastela80-81
18/02/24AMladost85-92
10/02/24HHermes94-87
04/02/24AOsijek70-96
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayLLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game80.982.879.2
Allowed / game85.882.888.6
Point differential-4.9-0.1-9.4
Avg total166.8165.6167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW16%
HomeWLLLW23%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %16%23%8%
Points / game79.280.378.1
Allowed / game90.188.891.5
Point differential-10.9-8.5-13.4
Avg total169.4169.2169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2624292%90.372.7+17.6
2 Osijek2622485%87.275.2+12.1
3 Gorica2618869%81.274.7+6.6
4 Samobor2618869%85.482.5+2.9
5 KK Zagreb2617965%79.771.8+7.9
6 Kastela26151158%79.274.8+4.4
7 Jazine26131350%86.985.5+1.4
8 Hermes26121446%89.789.4+0.2
9 Marsonia25101540%80.985.8-4.9
10 Omis26101638%77.382.2-4.9
11 Mladost2681831%78.284.8-6.6
12 Crikvenica2662023%73.084.9-11.9
13 Stoja2542116%79.290.1-10.9
14 Podstrana2642215%71.385.8-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia2330171787
Stoja1721292390
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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