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Samobor vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-88
31-24 23-31 17-16 26-17
Position#5
Record10-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.2
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record6-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game85.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 18· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Marsonia
19 Jan 2025
SAMO100
MARS80
11 Feb 2024
SAMO97
MARS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 76
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 76
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 76
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 76
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 76
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 76
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
82avg 76
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 76
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-65
99
65
+34
80avg 76
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 76
H06/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
25-24
13-20
23-21
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
23-22
19-13
25-28
35-26
25-23
16-31
18-20
18-22
21-22
22-14
20-25
19-25
20-23
23-23
32-24
16-15
28-18
17-17
25-16
29-14
31-21
36-28
25-26
21-17
175.1Avg total
90.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.183.2167.3+0.959%
Season at home (8)87.082.0169.0+5.062%
Season away (9)81.684.2165.8-2.756%
Last 10 (10)90.684.5175.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)92.484.8177.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.691.5172.1-10.97%
vs Similar (5)76.084.6160.6-8.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.879.9174.7+14.9100%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
85avg 69
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-99
60
99
-39
42avg 69
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
86avg 69
H10/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 69
A16/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 69
H23/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 69
A14/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
74avg 69
A21/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 69
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
48avg 69
A28/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
73avg 69
H03/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
27-14
31-20
28-30
17-23
11-24
8-24
24-28
23-20
17-30
32-17
23-24
16-29
22-14
8-22
20-15
19-28
21-21
20-16
21-22
25-17
27-25
21-20
15-18
29-27
20-17
13-24
15-20
20-18
25-25
17-17
21-19
14-24
19-21
15-26
8-25
23-18
29-13
10-19
22-23
163.9Avg total
79.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.685.7165.4-6.135%
Season at home (9)83.282.7165.9+0.644%
Season away (8)75.689.1164.8-13.525%
Last 10 (10)79.284.7163.9-5.550%
Last 5 (5)77.683.2160.8-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.990.8168.7-12.910%
vs Similar (3)75.378.0153.3-2.767%
vs Weaker (4)87.278.8166.0+8.575%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
SamoborMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/02
Prva Liga
88.9Avg total
47.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.985.5-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.142.484.4-0.364%-
Last 30 away (16)41.245.286.4-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)47.341.688.9+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.844.091.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.647.086.6-7.429%-
vs Similar (5)36.646.483.0-9.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.337.984.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H23/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A14/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A21/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H03/02
Prva Liga
83.8Avg total
42.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)40.943.083.9-2.135%-
Last 30 at home (9)41.040.981.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (8)40.845.486.1-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.883.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.087.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.446.485.8-7.020%-
vs Similar (3)39.042.381.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (4)46.035.081.0+11.075%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.4
54.4%
52.9%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.9
38.5%
32.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.011.0
78.6%
71.2%11.0
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.8
51.2%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
71.2%13.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWWLLWWWLL
Marsonia
WLWLWLLWLW
#5
League position
#9
+7.3
Net rating
-6.6
113.4
Offensive rating
98.1
106.1
Defensive rating
104.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
21.1%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
30.0%
60.9%
Assist %
50.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 98.1Defence106.1 · 104.7Shooting55.8% · 49.0%3-point %38.5% · 30.0%Ball care16.1% · 21.1%Off. rebounds27.1% · 29.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Samobor   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
0
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Marsonia v Samobor79-81
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24HMladost113-92
27/01/24HPodstrana99-65
24/01/24AHermes91-85
21/01/24HKvarner82-86
13/01/24AOsijek77-96
23/12/23HOmis102-89
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
02/12/23AJazine77-91
29/11/23AKvarner85-88
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HPodstrana84-73
28/01/24AKvarner56-96
24/01/24HOmis83-79
21/01/24AGorica77-88
14/01/24AStoja88-80
23/12/23HKastela81-87
16/12/23AMladost66-80
10/12/23HHermes95-91
03/12/23AOsijek60-99
26/11/23HCrikvenica102-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game84.187.081.6
Allowed / game83.282.084.2
Point differential+0.9+5.0-2.7
Avg total167.3169.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%62%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW35%
HomeWWLWW44%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game79.683.275.6
Allowed / game85.782.789.1
Point differential-6.1+0.6-13.5
Avg total165.4165.9164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1817194%91.172.6+18.6
2 Osijek1816289%88.175.2+12.8
3 Gorica1813572%81.674.4+7.1
4 Kastela1811761%81.174.0+7.1
5 KK Zagreb1710759%81.073.2+7.8
6 Samobor1710759%84.183.2+0.9
7 Jazine1810856%87.686.6+1.0
8 Omis189950%77.779.7-2.1
9 Hermes1771041%90.690.8-0.2
10 Marsonia1761135%79.685.7-6.1
11 Mladost1741324%77.886.1-8.3
12 Podstrana1741324%71.885.3-13.5
13 Stoja1831517%77.990.9-12.9
14 Crikvenica1831517%73.286.7-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor3123172697
Marsonia2431161788
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