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Maryland vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 96-73
56-26 40-47
Position#305
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#298
Record9-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maryland v Penn State
18 Jan 2026
MARY96
PENN73
06 Dec 2023
MARY81
PENN75
11 Feb 2023
MARY74
PENN68
21 Feb 2022
MARY67
PENN61
07 Mar 2021
MARY61
PENN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
L
72-105
72
105
-33
A27/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H14/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A20/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H28/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H07/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A11/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-49
43-56
33-26
56-37
30-44
34-39
50-45
33-56
19-24
53-56
45-18
28-40
27-34
27-30
31-36
35-48
21-38
34-29
41-42
30-46
149.2Avg total
69.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.278.1151.3-4.841%
Season at home (10)76.172.2148.3+3.960%
Season away (7)69.186.4155.6-17.314%
Last 10 (10)69.979.3149.2-9.420%
Last 5 (5)63.872.2136.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.181.3154.4-8.136%
vs Similar ◀ (3)60.069.7129.7-9.70%
vs Weaker (13)81.867.9149.7+13.892%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
72-113
72
113
-41
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
46-80
46
80
-34
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A10/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-20
43-39
46-39
41-37
26-58
46-55
39-36
33-40
20-40
26-40
36-33
54-34
26-40
39-33
31-40
41-34
44-45
41-48
23-29
37-42
152.1Avg total
73.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.175.1152.2+1.953%
Season at home (14)76.173.4149.6+2.757%
Season away (3)81.383.0164.3-1.733%
Last 10 (10)73.978.2152.1-4.330%
Last 5 (5)74.475.6150.0-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.175.6150.6-0.544%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.875.4152.2+1.344%
vs Weaker (5)70.073.6143.6-3.640%
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -6.4-6.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -6.4-6.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
MarylandPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A27/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
45-18
45
18
+27
H28/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A11/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.470.0+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.432.269.6+5.263%-
Last 30 away (11)32.538.170.5-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)32.635.668.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.666.6-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.436.169.4-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)29.331.761.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker (13)39.533.272.6+6.369%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A10/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H15/01
NCAA
71.8Avg total
33.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.370.9+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.033.569.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (10)34.838.973.7-4.130%-
Last 10 (10)33.838.071.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.469.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.735.871.4-0.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.736.874.4+0.944%-
vs Weaker (5)31.831.263.0+0.680%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Maryland wins
5
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Penn State v Maryland64-68
10/03/24Penn State v Maryland85-69
07/12/23Maryland v Penn State81-75 OT
05/03/23Penn State v Maryland65-64
11/02/23Maryland v Penn State74-68
22/02/22Maryland v Penn State67-61
08/03/21Maryland v Penn State61-66
06/02/21Penn State v Maryland55-50
11/12/19Penn State v Maryland76-69
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AUSC71-88
11/01/26AUCLA55-67
07/01/26HIndiana66-84
03/01/26HOregon54-64
28/12/25HOld Dominion73-58
20/12/25AVirginia72-80
14/12/25HMichigan83-101
06/12/25AIowa64-83
03/12/25HWagner89-63
27/11/25AAlabama72-105
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HUCLA60-71
10/01/26APurdue85-93
07/01/26HMichigan72-74
04/01/26HIllinois65-73
29/12/25HN. Carolina Central90-67
21/12/25HPittsburgh46-80
13/12/25HMichigan State72-76
10/12/25AIndiana72-113
02/12/25HCampbell87-76
29/11/25HSacred Heart90-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %41%60%14%
Points / game73.276.169.1
Allowed / game78.172.286.4
Point differential-4.8+3.9-17.3
Avg total151.3148.3155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%10%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeLWLLL57%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17143
Win %53%57%33%
Points / game77.176.181.3
Allowed / game75.173.483.0
Point differential+1.9+2.7-1.7
Avg total152.2149.6164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska18180100%81.465.3+16.1
2 Purdue1817194%85.168.1+17.0
3 Michigan1716194%93.168.8+24.2
4 Michigan State1816289%79.164.2+14.9
5 Illinois1815383%85.167.4+17.7
6 USC1814478%83.475.8+7.6
7 Iowa1813572%78.462.4+16.1
8 Wisconsin1813572%83.575.7+7.8
9 Ohio State1712571%83.372.1+11.2
10 Indiana1812667%81.669.1+12.6
11 UCLA1812667%78.269.5+8.7
12 Washington1810856%80.174.0+6.1
13 Minnesota1810856%72.867.3+5.4
14 Penn State179853%77.175.1+1.9
15 Rutgers189950%70.774.4-3.7
16 Northwestern1881044%77.371.9+5.4
17 Oregon1881044%75.274.6+0.6
18 Maryland1771041%73.278.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maryland564096
Penn State264773
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