PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mazeikiai vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 79-74
20-19 18-10 21-11 20-34
Position#11
Record11-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#16
Record5-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game90.1
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Ukmerges Stekas
19 Dec 2026
MAZ v UKME
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
MAZ79
UKME74
08 Oct 2022
MAZ75
UKME65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
90-91
90
91
-1
78avg 70
H13/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
63avg 70
A20/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
93-72
93
72
+21
80avg 70
A25/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
90-75
90
75
+15
86avg 70
H27/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
82-86
82
86
-4
68avg 70
A29/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
89-103
89
103
-14
78avg 70
H04/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 70
A06/12
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
64avg 70
H11/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
104-88
104
88
+16
105avg 70
A13/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
79-59
79
59
+20
67avg 70
A18/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
19-21
19-16
27-28
17-20
30-27
19-23
14-23
15-24
25-10
22-23
31-15
17-17
26-17
21-22
26-19
19-25
24-21
18-20
21-20
21-22
32-22
22-32
14-27
22-28
19-19
15-30
15-17
20-21
19-9
16-11
20-19
21-21
26-26
29-23
28-18
11-13
26-16
21-14
21-16
167.4Avg total
85.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.981.3165.2+2.655%
Season at home (9)84.280.2164.4+4.067%
Season away (11)83.682.2165.8+1.545%
Last 10 (10)85.382.1167.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)83.680.8164.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.2101.6180.8-22.40%
vs Similar (13)85.279.2164.4+6.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.882.4164.2-0.660%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 74
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 74
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 74
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
61avg 74
A15/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
98-88
98
88
+10
91avg 74
H20/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 74
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 74
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 74
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
75avg 74
H11/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
81avg 74
A13/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
13-23
19-20
26-17
24-24
15-22
11-27
24-21
18-26
20-25
13-19
23-12
9-27
21-19
29-14
18-20
30-17
16-27
26-26
26-18
20-26
13-22
20-23
21-17
22-23
26-26
24-23
11-21
12-22
20-20
18-16
29-22
36-25
18-17
15-28
19-23
19-18
25-20
15-24
20-17
169.6Avg total
82.1Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.390.1172.4-7.728%
Season at home (9)83.489.0172.4-5.644%
Season away (9)81.291.1172.3-9.911%
Last 10 (10)82.187.5169.6-5.420%
Last 5 (5)83.489.2172.6-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.389.9172.2-7.629%
vs Similar (11)83.083.4166.4-0.455%
vs Weaker (2)103.066.0169.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
MazeikiaiUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H13/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H04/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A06/12
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A13/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A18/12
NKL
83.9Avg total
43.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.284.5-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.542.283.8-0.738%-
Last 30 away (17)39.445.685.0-6.318%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.583.9+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.482.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.851.391.1-11.60%-
vs Similar (13)40.838.579.3+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.441.682.0-1.220%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A13/12
NKL
85.4Avg total
40.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.844.886.6-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.843.988.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.245.784.9-6.525%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.485.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.886.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.445.285.6-4.835%-
vs Similar (11)42.045.487.4-3.427%-
vs Weaker (2)52.538.591.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.5
52.1%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.0
34.0%
32.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.517.1
79.5%
69.3%17.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.1
51.2%
54.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.5
30.2%
32.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.512.2
65.9%
69.3%12.2
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
WWWLLLWWLL
Ukmerges Stekas
WLLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#16
+3.6
Net rating
-7.7
108.7
Offensive rating
103.8
105.0
Defensive rating
111.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
30.2%
51.9%
Assist %
55.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 103.8Defence105.0 · 111.5Shooting51.6% · 49.1%3-point %34.0% · 30.2%Ball care17.4% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.0% · 30.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mazeikiai wins
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25AVilkaviskis79-59
13/12/25AOmega-Tauras104-88
11/12/25HTelsiai75-60
06/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga71-94
04/12/25HVytis VDU89-103
29/11/25ASilute82-86
27/11/25HPlunges Olimpas90-75
25/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 293-72
20/11/25AKedainiu SC80-93
13/11/25HSuduva-Mantinga90-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ANeptunas 293-92 OT
11/12/25HVytis VDU88-93
06/12/25ABC Olimpas Palanga79-80
27/11/25AAlytaus Alytus83-93
22/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga74-88
20/11/25HKretinga98-88
15/11/25AJurbarkas77-80
13/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga74-82
08/11/25HOmega-Tauras74-94
06/11/25ATelsiai81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%67%45%
Points / game83.984.283.6
Allowed / game81.380.282.2
Point differential+2.6+4.0+1.5
Avg total165.2164.4165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game82.383.481.2
Allowed / game90.189.091.1
Point differential-7.7-5.6-9.9
Avg total172.4172.4172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2117481%88.076.2+11.7
2 Vytis VDU1914574%87.281.8+5.3
3 Kedainiu SC2014670%90.084.0+6.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 22014670%86.084.0+1.9
5 Telsiai1913668%84.682.1+2.5
6 Jurbarkas1911858%78.277.5+0.6
7 Vilkaviskis2011955%83.579.9+3.5
8 Mazeikiai2011955%83.981.3+2.6
9 Kretinga20101050%84.884.5+0.3
10 Rytas 22091145%83.083.5-0.6
11 Omega-Tauras2091145%88.089.2-1.2
12 Silute2191243%87.089.2-2.1
13 BC Olimpas Palanga2181338%79.385.4-6.1
14 Neptunas 22071335%76.180.7-4.6
15 Ukmerges Stekas1851328%82.390.1-7.7
16 Plunges Olimpas2041620%80.686.6-6.0
17 Alytaus Alytus2241818%78.584.5-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2018212079
Ukmerges Stekas1910113474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.