PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-93 (OT)
18-19 20-25 24-15 17-20 13-14
Position#4
Record7-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#16
Record4-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game89.9
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
16 Jan 2027
NEPT v UKME
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
NEPT77
UKME70
13 Dec 2025
NEPT92
UKME93
12 Oct 2024
NEPT85
UKME67
24 Feb 2024
NEPT78
UKME75
19 Oct 2023
NEPT72
UKME67
23 Feb 2023
NEPT90
UKME89
14 Jan 2023
NEPT53
UKME62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
51avg 69
A08/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 69
A13/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
69-92
69
92
-23
58avg 69
H15/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 69
A20/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
66-90
66
90
-24
58avg 69
H22/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 69
A27/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
68avg 69
H29/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 69
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
75-81
75
81
-6
68avg 69
H06/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
62-72
62
72
-10
46avg 69
A11/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
9-8
12-14
23-19
21-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
11-17
22-19
18-30
18-26
19-18
19-23
15-21
24-21
10-20
24-16
17-31
15-23
12-22
17-23
18-20
23-27
18-24
20-24
12-19
23-17
16-18
20-21
21-19
18-14
14-24
19-25
23-14
19-18
11-12
16-19
23-26
12-15
155.3Avg total
73.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.380.1155.3-4.837%
Season at home (9)74.878.6153.3-3.833%
Season away (10)75.781.4157.1-5.740%
Last 10 (10)73.282.1155.3-8.930%
Last 5 (5)71.080.2151.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Similar (18)75.380.9156.2-5.728%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.380.6162.9+1.645%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
84-116
84
116
-32
64avg 73
A30/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 73
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 73
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 73
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
61avg 73
A15/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
98-88
98
88
+10
91avg 73
H20/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 73
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 73
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 73
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
75avg 73
H11/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
23-22
19-37
24-31
23-25
13-23
19-20
26-17
24-24
15-22
11-27
24-21
18-26
20-25
13-19
23-12
9-27
21-19
29-14
18-20
30-17
16-27
26-26
26-18
20-26
13-22
20-23
21-17
22-23
26-26
24-23
11-21
12-22
20-20
18-16
29-22
36-25
18-17
15-28
19-23
171.1Avg total
81.2Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.789.9171.6-8.224%
Season at home (9)83.489.0172.4-5.644%
Season away (8)79.891.0170.8-11.20%
Last 10 (10)81.289.9171.1-8.710%
Last 5 (5)84.488.4172.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)81.689.8171.4-8.125%
vs Similar (12)82.983.8166.8-0.950%
vs Weaker (2)103.066.0169.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
Neptunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A08/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H22/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H29/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H06/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A11/12
NKL
72.5Avg total
33.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.377.5-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.639.878.4-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)35.740.976.6-5.114%-
Last 10 (10)33.139.472.5-6.30%-
Last 5 (5)32.642.475.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (18)36.339.375.6-3.128%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.741.279.9-2.527%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A30/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/12
NKL
86.1Avg total
39.7Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.945.087.0-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.843.988.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.446.185.5-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.746.486.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.087.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.245.785.9-5.531%-
vs Similar (12)42.545.287.8-2.833%-
vs Weaker (2)52.538.591.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.5
52.1%
54.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.18.3
26.7%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.714.3
65.9%
69.3%14.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.023.2
48.3%
54.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.8
28.9%
32.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.313.4
66.0%
69.3%13.4
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLWLLLLLWW
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#16
-12.2
Net rating
-11.6
94.8
Offensive rating
102.3
107.0
Defensive rating
113.9
46.1%
Effective FG%
46.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.7%
3-point %
28.9%
56.9%
Assist %
55.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 102.3Defence107.0 · 113.9Shooting46.1% · 46.7%3-point %26.7% · 28.9%Ball care18.2% · 14.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas 2 wins
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25AVilkaviskis62-72
06/12/25HAlytaus Alytus75-81
04/12/25AKedainiu SC75-72
29/11/25HSuduva-Mantinga73-84
27/11/25AVytis VDU70-92
22/11/25HPlunges Olimpas66-90
20/11/25ASilute77-83
15/11/25HKedainiu SC69-92
13/11/25AAlytaus Alytus94-87
08/11/25AJurbarkas71-68 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HVytis VDU88-93
06/12/25ABC Olimpas Palanga79-80
27/11/25AAlytaus Alytus83-93
22/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga74-88
20/11/25HKretinga98-88
15/11/25AJurbarkas77-80
13/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga74-82
08/11/25HOmega-Tauras74-94
06/11/25ATelsiai81-85
30/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 284-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%33%40%
Points / game75.374.875.7
Allowed / game80.178.681.4
Point differential-4.8-3.8-5.7
Avg total155.3153.3157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL24%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%44%0%
Points / game81.783.479.8
Allowed / game89.989.091.0
Point differential-8.2-5.6-11.2
Avg total171.6172.4170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2016480%87.776.8+10.9
2 Vytis VDU1914574%87.281.8+5.3
3 Kedainiu SC2014670%90.084.0+6.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 21913668%86.784.7+2.0
5 Telsiai1812667%84.282.7+1.5
6 Vilkaviskis1811761%85.680.4+5.1
7 Kretinga1910953%85.384.7+0.5
8 Mazeikiai189950%83.182.2+0.9
9 Omega-Tauras189950%88.588.2+0.3
10 Jurbarkas168850%76.678.2-1.7
11 Rytas 21981142%82.383.6-1.3
12 Silute1981142%87.488.9-1.5
13 BC Olimpas Palanga2081240%80.085.0-5.0
14 Neptunas 21971237%75.380.1-4.8
15 Ukmerges Stekas1741324%81.789.9-8.2
16 Plunges Olimpas1941521%81.186.3-5.3
17 Alytaus Alytus2041620%78.784.5-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas 2182024171392
Ukmerges Stekas192515201493
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.