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Ukmerges Stekas vs Vytis VDU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-93
36-25 18-17 15-28 19-23
Position#16
Record4-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#2
Record12-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game81.2
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU
01 Oct 2026
UKME89
VYTI90
11 Dec 2025
UKME88
VYTI93
10 Oct 2024
UKME88
VYTI95
04 Nov 2023
UKME89
VYTI96
10 Dec 2022
UKME80
VYTI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 73
H25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
84-116
84
116
-32
64avg 73
A30/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 73
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 73
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 73
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
61avg 73
A15/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
98-88
98
88
+10
91avg 73
H20/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 73
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 73
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 73
A06/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
29-25
21-17
25-26
18-26
23-22
19-37
24-31
23-25
13-23
19-20
26-17
24-24
15-22
11-27
24-21
18-26
20-25
13-19
23-12
9-27
21-19
29-14
18-20
30-17
16-27
26-26
26-18
20-26
13-22
20-23
21-17
22-23
26-26
24-23
11-21
12-22
20-20
18-16
29-22
170.6Avg total
81.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.389.8171.1-8.425%
Season at home (8)82.988.5171.4-5.650%
Season away (8)79.891.0170.8-11.20%
Last 10 (10)81.389.3170.6-8.020%
Last 5 (5)82.285.8168.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.289.5170.7-8.327%
vs Similar (13)83.583.1166.6+0.554%
vs Weaker (2)103.066.0169.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
78avg 83
H30/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
62-69
62
69
-7
57avg 83
H06/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 83
A08/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 83
A20/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
86-93
86
93
-7
82avg 83
H22/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 83
H25/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 83
H27/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
103-89
103
89
+14
101avg 83
A04/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
86-100
86
100
-14
80avg 83
H06/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
106-80
106
80
+26
105avg 83
A09/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-27
18-7
33-23
18-15
13-26
19-14
12-14
23-16
24-23
19-28
18-16
25-20
15-29
18-18
28-13
24-23
15-25
27-21
20-24
17-27
27-13
19-30
23-14
22-12
23-17
20-18
27-23
22-21
22-32
32-22
27-14
20-16
20-34
22-25
24-25
27-21
28-18
25-22
26-19
169.9Avg total
87.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.681.2167.8+5.571%
Season at home (9)84.381.3165.7+3.056%
Season away (8)89.281.0170.2+8.288%
Last 10 (10)87.982.0169.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)94.684.6179.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.585.0172.5+2.5100%
vs Similar (18)84.786.8171.4-2.139%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.680.4170.0+9.2100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
Ukmerges StekasVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A30/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/12
NKL
85.2Avg total
38.6Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.986.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.143.687.7+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.446.185.5-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.685.2-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.883.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.345.985.2-6.727%-
vs Similar (13)42.744.787.4-2.038%-
vs Weaker (2)52.538.591.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H30/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A20/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H22/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H25/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A04/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H06/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A09/12
NKL
85.2Avg total
42.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.185.4-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.643.184.7-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)42.943.186.0-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.085.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.287.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (18)40.945.286.1-4.328%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.939.684.5+5.370%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.121.8
47.3%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.2
28.9%
32.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.115.1
68.3%
69.3%15.1
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.724.4
61.5%
54.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.1%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.712.2
68.9%
69.3%12.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLWLLLLLW
Vytis VDU
WLWWWLWWLW
#16
League position
#2
-10.8
Net rating
+7.1
103.0
Offensive rating
110.6
113.7
Defensive rating
103.5
45.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.9%
3-point %
30.1%
59.3%
Assist %
59.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 110.6Defence113.7 · 103.5Shooting45.9% · 54.6%3-point %28.9% · 30.1%Ball care14.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.6% · 28.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
6
Vytis VDU wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ABC Olimpas Palanga79-80
27/11/25AAlytaus Alytus83-93
22/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga74-88
20/11/25HKretinga98-88
15/11/25AJurbarkas77-80
13/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga74-82
08/11/25HOmega-Tauras74-94
06/11/25ATelsiai81-85
30/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 284-116
25/10/25HPlunges Olimpas89-87
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25AKedainiu SC106-80
06/12/25HKedainiu SC86-100
04/12/25AMazeikiai103-89
27/11/25HNeptunas 292-70
25/11/25HSuduva-Mantinga86-84
22/11/25HVilkaviskis86-93
20/11/25APlunges Olimpas86-80
08/11/25ASilute84-83
06/11/25HJurbarkas62-69
30/10/25HAlytaus Alytus88-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game81.382.979.8
Allowed / game89.888.591.0
Point differential-8.4-5.6-11.2
Avg total171.1171.4170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%56%88%
Points / game86.684.389.2
Allowed / game81.281.381.0
Point differential+5.5+3.0+8.2
Avg total167.8165.7170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1814478%86.777.9+8.8
2 Kedainiu SC1813572%90.684.9+5.7
3 Vytis VDU1712571%86.681.2+5.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 21812667%86.884.8+1.9
5 Telsiai1812667%84.282.7+1.5
6 Vilkaviskis1811761%85.680.4+5.1
7 Omega-Tauras179853%90.088.4+1.6
8 Mazeikiai189950%83.182.2+0.9
9 Kretinga189950%85.084.7+0.3
10 Jurbarkas168850%76.678.2-1.7
11 Rytas 2178947%83.182.2+0.9
12 Silute1981142%87.488.9-1.5
13 Neptunas 21971237%75.380.1-4.8
14 BC Olimpas Palanga1971237%80.185.6-5.5
15 Ukmerges Stekas1641225%81.389.8-8.4
16 Plunges Olimpas1741324%81.386.7-5.4
17 Alytaus Alytus1941521%79.284.1-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas3618151988
Vytis VDU2517282393
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