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Mechelen vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 68-78
10-21 22-25 25-12 11-20
Position#8
Record14-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#10
Record13-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 23· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen v Leiden
21 Nov 2026
MECH v LEI
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
MECH68
LEI78
07 May 2025
MECH70
LEI68
04 Mar 2023
MECH80
LEI79
04 Mar 2022
MECH98
LEI93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 71
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
72avg 71
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
92avg 71
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
66-106
66
106
-40
no box
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
67avg 71
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
40-81
40
81
-41
22avg 71
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 71
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 71
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 71
H21/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
70avg 71
A07/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
17-19
17-17
16-19
20-18
23-17
22-24
10-27
24-17
23-19
24-28
18-15
16-21
20-31
15-30
15-24
15-16
21-15
18-22
20-25
7-19
14-22
6-26
13-14
18-25
17-14
15-17
17-16
20-15
18-13
16-27
22-11
19-14
23-24
32-19
19-27
13-21
15-16
18-15
19-13
153.2Avg total
72.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.079.3157.4-1.364%
Season at home (11)83.176.6159.7+6.582%
Season away (11)73.082.0155.0-9.045%
Last 10 (10)72.880.4153.2-7.640%
Last 5 (5)70.674.8145.4-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.486.4157.9-15.031%
vs Similar (7)79.775.0154.7+4.771%
vs Weaker (6)83.074.5157.5+8.583%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 76
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 76
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 76
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 76
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 76
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 76
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
103avg 76
H18/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 76
A21/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
77avg 76
H07/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
24-26
16-18
25-19
27-22
18-35
19-16
25-22
17-11
26-19
13-25
19-22
13-23
23-23
13-13
12-17
23-23
17-18
18-18
17-14
26-17
24-16
13-19
17-13
14-19
17-28
22-15
20-28
23-19
21-31
22-23
36-23
10-23
16-21
19-14
27-19
15-36
13-19
29-15
31-22
162.7Avg total
80.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.081.0167.9+6.059%
Season at home (11)95.482.3177.6+13.173%
Season away (11)78.579.6158.2-1.145%
Last 10 (10)80.582.2162.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)83.084.0167.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.486.8161.1-12.412%
vs Similar (7)88.484.3172.7+4.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.977.5166.4+11.373%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
MechelenLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H21/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/03
BNXT League
74.6Avg total
36.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.679.1-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.580.0+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.441.778.1-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.274.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.669.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.242.879.1-6.638%-
vs Similar (7)39.338.077.3+1.343%-
vs Weaker (6)40.838.879.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H18/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H07/03
BNXT League
83.9Avg total
39.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.186.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.544.188.6+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.642.283.8-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.783.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.881.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.445.985.2-6.525%-
vs Similar (7)42.742.785.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.941.886.7+3.160%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.4
49.9%
54.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.67.1
36.2%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.2
75.5%
72.4%14.2
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.423.4
59.4%
54.3%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.2
31.7%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
72.4%14.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWLLLLWLL
Leiden
LLWLWWLLLW
#8
League position
#10
-1.7
Net rating
+2.2
94.1
Offensive rating
100.1
95.8
Defensive rating
97.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.2%
3-point %
31.7%
57.3%
Assist %
61.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 100.1Defence95.8 · 97.9Shooting51.4% · 55.1%3-point %36.2% · 31.7%Ball care17.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Mechelen   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mechelen wins
1
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
07/05/25Mechelen v Leiden70-68
07/12/24Leiden v Mechelen69-81
29/03/23Leiden v Mechelen75-77
04/03/23Mechelen v Leiden80-79
29/04/22Leiden v Mechelen84-67
04/03/22Mechelen v Leiden98-93
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ALeuven Bears77-71 OT
21/02/26HKortrijk93-84
18/02/26HBelfius Mons76-66
15/02/26AZwolle67-72
30/01/26AAntwerp Giants40-81
24/01/26HDen Bosch74-78
16/01/26ALimburg66-106
10/01/26HLWD Basket89-79
06/01/26ADen Bosch75-86
03/01/26HSpirou Charleroi71-81
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HZwolle88-92
21/02/26ABelfius Mons72-77
18/02/26HBrussels Basketball102-96
14/02/26ALeuven Bears73-90
31/01/26HBAL Weert80-65
23/01/26ARotterdam75-73
17/01/26AOostende61-76
10/01/26HLimburg75-77
27/12/25HDen Bosch89-95
23/12/25AZwolle90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%82%45%
Points / game78.083.173.0
Allowed / game79.376.682.0
Point differential-1.3+6.5-9.0
Avg total157.4159.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeLLWWL73%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game87.095.478.5
Allowed / game81.082.379.6
Point differential+6.0+13.1-1.1
Avg total167.9177.6158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%55%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2219386%96.576.8+19.7
2 Oostende2317674%88.879.7+9.0
3 Okapi Aalst2216673%95.286.8+8.4
4 Kortrijk2215768%88.180.9+7.2
5 Den Bosch2214864%86.882.5+4.3
6 Mechelen2214864%78.079.3-1.3
7 Donar Groningen2012860%82.883.8-0.9
8 Limburg2213959%89.580.3+9.3
9 Leiden2213959%87.081.0+6.0
10 Brussels Basketball22121055%84.981.9+3.0
11 Leuven Bears22111150%80.378.7+1.6
12 Spirou Charleroi2081240%83.088.7-5.7
13 Belfius Mons2281436%85.191.5-6.5
14 Zwolle2271532%79.484.0-4.6
15 LWD Basket2161529%84.095.3-11.3
16 Den Helder2261627%80.086.2-6.1
17 Rotterdam2231914%75.890.9-15.1
18 BAL Weert222209%70.088.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen1022251168
Leiden2125122078
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