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Leiden vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 59-75
19-18 13-11 19-23 8-23
Position#10
Record14-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#8
Record14-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 24· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v Mechelen
06 Feb 2027
LEI v MECH
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
LEI59
MECH75
07 Dec 2024
LEI69
MECH81
29 Mar 2023
LEI75
MECH77
29 Apr 2022
LEI84
MECH67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 76
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 76
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 76
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 76
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 76
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
103avg 76
H18/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 76
A21/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
77avg 76
H07/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
78-68
78
68
+10
73avg 76
A13/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
18-35
19-16
25-22
17-11
26-19
13-25
19-22
13-23
23-23
13-13
12-17
23-23
17-18
18-18
17-14
26-17
24-16
13-19
17-13
14-19
17-28
22-15
20-28
23-19
21-31
22-23
36-23
10-23
16-21
19-14
27-19
15-36
13-19
29-15
31-22
21-10
25-22
12-25
20-11
160.2Avg total
79.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.680.4167.0+6.261%
Season at home (11)95.482.3177.6+13.173%
Season away (12)78.578.7157.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)79.380.9160.2-1.640%
Last 5 (5)82.684.6167.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.486.8161.1-12.412%
vs Similar (7)88.484.3172.7+4.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.176.7164.8+11.373%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
72avg 71
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
92avg 71
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
66-106
66
106
-40
no box
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
67avg 71
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
40-81
40
81
-41
22avg 71
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 71
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 71
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 71
H21/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
70avg 71
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 71
H13/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
23-17
22-24
10-27
24-17
23-19
24-28
18-15
16-21
20-31
15-30
15-24
15-16
21-15
18-22
20-25
7-19
14-22
6-26
13-14
18-25
17-14
15-17
17-16
20-15
18-13
16-27
22-11
19-14
23-24
32-19
19-27
13-21
15-16
18-15
19-13
10-21
22-25
25-12
11-20
152.6Avg total
72.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.679.3156.9-1.761%
Season at home (12)81.876.8158.6+5.175%
Season away (11)73.082.0155.0-9.045%
Last 10 (10)72.580.1152.6-7.640%
Last 5 (5)76.274.2150.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.986.6157.4-15.725%
vs Similar (7)79.775.0154.7+4.771%
vs Weaker (6)83.074.5157.5+8.583%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
LeidenMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H18/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H07/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A13/03
BNXT League
82.4Avg total
38.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.885.5-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.544.188.6+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.241.682.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.582.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.045.680.6-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.445.985.2-6.525%-
vs Similar (7)42.742.785.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.541.185.7+3.460%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H21/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H13/03
BNXT League
74.1Avg total
35.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.678.9-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.479.7+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.441.778.1-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.838.374.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.672.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.142.878.8-6.738%-
vs Similar (7)39.338.077.3+1.343%-
vs Weaker (6)40.838.879.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.0
59.3%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.1
31.6%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.514.7
71.7%
72.4%14.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.0
49.6%
54.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.3
33.2%
34.6%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
72.4%13.7
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLLWLWWLLL
Mechelen
LWWWLLLLWL
#10
League position
#8
+1.0
Net rating
-3.9
98.1
Offensive rating
90.6
97.1
Defensive rating
94.5
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.6%
3-point %
33.2%
59.8%
Assist %
58.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 90.6Defence97.1 · 94.5Shooting54.9% · 49.7%3-point %31.6% · 33.2%Ball care19.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.1% · 22.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Leiden   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leiden wins
5
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Mechelen v Leiden68-78
07/05/25Mechelen v Leiden70-68
07/12/24Leiden v Mechelen69-81
29/03/23Leiden v Mechelen75-77
04/03/23Mechelen v Leiden80-79
29/04/22Leiden v Mechelen84-67
04/03/22Mechelen v Leiden98-93
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26AMechelen78-68
07/03/26HZwolle88-92
21/02/26ABelfius Mons72-77
18/02/26HBrussels Basketball102-96
14/02/26ALeuven Bears73-90
31/01/26HBAL Weert80-65
23/01/26ARotterdam75-73
17/01/26AOostende61-76
10/01/26HLimburg75-77
27/12/25HDen Bosch89-95
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HLeiden68-78
07/03/26ALeuven Bears77-71 OT
21/02/26HKortrijk93-84
18/02/26HBelfius Mons76-66
15/02/26AZwolle67-72
30/01/26AAntwerp Giants40-81
24/01/26HDen Bosch74-78
16/01/26ALimburg66-106
10/01/26HLWD Basket89-79
06/01/26ADen Bosch75-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeLLWWL73%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game86.695.478.5
Allowed / game80.482.378.7
Point differential+6.2+13.1-0.2
Avg total167.0177.6157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL61%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%75%45%
Points / game77.681.873.0
Allowed / game79.376.882.0
Point differential-1.7+5.1-9.0
Avg total156.9158.6155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2219386%96.576.8+19.7
2 Oostende2317674%88.879.7+9.0
3 Okapi Aalst2317674%95.286.3+8.9
4 Kortrijk2315865%88.081.2+6.7
5 Den Bosch2214864%86.882.5+4.3
6 Leiden2314961%86.680.4+6.2
7 Mechelen2314961%77.679.3-1.7
8 Donar Groningen2012860%82.883.8-0.9
9 Limburg23131057%89.281.3+7.8
10 Brussels Basketball23131057%85.082.0+3.0
11 Leuven Bears23111248%80.179.4+0.7
12 Spirou Charleroi2191243%83.087.9-4.9
13 Belfius Mons2391439%86.091.1-5.1
14 LWD Basket2271532%84.494.9-10.5
15 Zwolle2371630%79.784.4-4.7
16 Den Helder2261627%80.086.2-6.1
17 Rotterdam2231914%75.890.9-15.1
18 BAL Weert232219%70.088.2-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden191319859
Mechelen1811232375
← all games of the day
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