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Leuven Bears vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 71-77 (OT)
21-13 16-15 15-18 13-19 6-12
Position#13
Record11-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#8
Record13-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 22· Sportoase
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Mechelen
14 Nov 2026
LEUV v MECH
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LEUV71
MECH77
12 Mar 2025
LEUV90
MECH93
05 Jan 2025
LEUV78
MECH73
31 Oct 2023
LEUV73
MECH84
05 May 2023
LEUV86
MECH62
04 Feb 2023
LEUV72
MECH68
16 May 2022
LEUV95
MECH86
12 May 2022
LEUV40
MECH86
06 Nov 2021
LEUV75
MECH69
07 Feb 2021
LEUV54
MECH83
15 Mar 2020
LEUV v MECH
upcoming
12 Apr 2019
LEUV78
MECH71
20 Oct 2018
LEUV76
MECH68
03 Oct 2018
LEUV73
MECH74
03 Mar 2018
LEUV63
MECH77
22 Sep 2017
LEUV76
MECH85
04 Mar 2017
LEUV76
MECH90
19 Oct 2016
LEUV84
MECH80
07 May 2016
LEUV86
MECH95
05 Mar 2016
LEUV90
MECH88
11 Apr 2015
LEUV83
MECH87
20 Dec 2014
LEUV86
MECH75
08 Feb 2014
LEUV106
MECH120
30 Nov 2013
LEUV93
MECH86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 74
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 74
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
90avg 74
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
91avg 74
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 74
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
84-65
84
65
+19
85avg 74
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 74
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 74
A18/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
76avg 74
H21/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
30-10
26-10
21-21
23-20
15-8
16-23
28-24
26-12
28-19
22-21
15-12
25-22
17-24
12-22
16-14
29-18
22-22
20-21
19-28
17-21
24-15
11-17
14-18
22-12
23-13
29-21
10-19
19-14
28-17
15-22
28-20
9-18
22-15
19-18
21-19
18-12
19-26
25-13
24-27
155.3Avg total
82.3Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.878.8159.6+2.052%
Season at home (11)85.182.0167.1+3.164%
Season away (10)76.075.3151.3+0.740%
Last 10 (10)82.373.0155.3+9.380%
Last 5 (5)79.471.4150.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.380.7153.0-8.443%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.380.1161.3+1.247%
vs Weaker (7)89.769.0158.7+20.7100%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 71
H26/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 71
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
72avg 71
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
92avg 71
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
66-106
66
106
-40
no box
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
67avg 71
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
40-81
40
81
-41
22avg 71
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 71
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 71
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 71
H21/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
9-11
22-15
28-29
21-26
17-19
17-17
16-19
20-18
23-17
22-24
10-27
24-17
23-19
24-28
18-15
16-21
20-31
15-30
15-24
15-16
21-15
18-22
20-25
7-19
14-22
6-26
13-14
18-25
17-14
15-17
17-16
20-15
18-13
16-27
22-11
19-14
23-24
32-19
19-27
154.9Avg total
73.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.179.7157.8-1.662%
Season at home (11)83.176.6159.7+6.582%
Season away (10)72.683.1155.7-10.540%
Last 10 (10)73.681.3154.9-7.740%
Last 5 (5)70.076.2146.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.285.9158.2-13.735%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.275.7155.8+4.567%
vs Weaker (6)83.074.5157.5+8.583%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
Leuven BearsMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A18/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/02
BNXT League
77.2Avg total
43.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.178.2+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.980.1+2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.376.2+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.234.077.2+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.672.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.439.976.3-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.939.679.5+0.347%-
vs Weaker (7)44.933.678.4+11.371%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H21/02
BNXT League
75.2Avg total
37.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.680.2+1.056%-
Last 30 away (14)37.042.179.1-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.175.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.469.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.642.879.4-6.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.238.279.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker (6)40.838.879.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.5
56.6%
54.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.2
36.3%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.116.8
72.7%
72.4%16.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
54.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.6
32.8%
34.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.6
77.2%
72.4%14.6
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWWLWLWWW
Mechelen
WWLLLLWLLW
#13
League position
#8
+19.3
Net rating
-8.2
104.2
Offensive rating
94.6
84.9
Defensive rating
102.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.0%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.3%
3-point %
32.8%
58.2%
Assist %
57.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 94.6Defence84.9 · 102.7Shooting55.8% · 50.5%3-point %36.3% · 32.8%Ball care16.8% · 18.0%Off. rebounds36.5% · 23.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
6
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HDonar Groningen86-78
18/02/26AOostende71-70
14/02/26HLeiden90-73
07/02/26HSpirou Charleroi84-65
31/01/26ADen Helder66-71
24/01/26HLimburg90-89
18/01/26ABrussels Basketball70-82
10/01/26HBAL Weert91-64
03/01/26AOkapi Aalst82-75
26/12/25ABelfius Mons93-63
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HKortrijk93-84
18/02/26HBelfius Mons76-66
15/02/26AZwolle67-72
30/01/26AAntwerp Giants40-81
24/01/26HDen Bosch74-78
16/01/26ALimburg66-106
10/01/26HLWD Basket89-79
06/01/26ADen Bosch75-86
03/01/26HSpirou Charleroi71-81
26/12/25HBrussels Basketball85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game80.885.176.0
Allowed / game78.882.075.3
Point differential+2.0+3.1+0.7
Avg total159.6167.1151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %14%18%10%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%82%40%
Points / game78.183.172.6
Allowed / game79.776.683.1
Point differential-1.6+6.5-10.5
Avg total157.8159.7155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2017385%96.277.1+19.1
2 Oostende2116576%88.480.7+7.8
3 Okapi Aalst2216673%95.286.8+8.4
4 Kortrijk2215768%88.180.9+7.2
5 Den Bosch2113862%87.483.0+4.4
6 Mechelen2113862%78.179.7-1.6
7 Limburg2213959%89.580.3+9.3
8 Leiden2213959%87.081.0+6.0
9 Donar Groningen1810856%82.183.6-1.5
10 Brussels Basketball21111052%85.082.3+2.8
11 Leuven Bears21111052%80.878.8+2.0
12 Spirou Charleroi1981142%83.589.1-5.5
13 Belfius Mons2181338%85.191.5-6.4
14 Zwolle2271532%79.484.0-4.6
15 LWD Basket2061430%85.094.9-9.9
16 Den Helder2161529%79.886.1-6.3
17 Rotterdam2031715%77.691.2-13.6
18 BAL Weert222209%70.088.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Leuven Bears21161513671
Mechelen131518191277
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