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Mechelen vs Spirou Charleroi Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mechelen v Spirou Charleroi
19 Dec 2026
MECH v SCH
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
MECH71
SCH81
01 Nov 2025
MECH118
SCH83
20 Oct 2024
MECH77
SCH72
19 Jan 2024
MECH67
SCH88
06 Jan 2024
MECH65
SCH64
18 Feb 2023
MECH82
SCH71
09 Dec 2022
MECH87
SCH75
24 Sep 2021
MECH82
SCH68
08 Feb 2020
MECH90
SCH98
27 Apr 2019
MECH61
SCH71
02 Feb 2019
MECH77
SCH87
21 Apr 2018
MECH76
SCH84
21 Oct 2017
MECH80
SCH67
06 May 2017
MECH59
SCH89
01 Feb 2017
MECH70
SCH88
14 Nov 2015
MECH75
SCH80
27 Dec 2014
MECH78
SCH75
07 May 2014
MECH79
SCH103
22 Jan 2014
MECH81
SCH87
16 Nov 2013
MECH88
SCH94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Spirou Charleroi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 70
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 70
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
99avg 70
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 70
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 70
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
84avg 70
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
67avg 70
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 70
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
29-15
15-23
14-27
25-28
25-25
23-11
20-12
23-20
170.6Avg total
85.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.491.0179.4-2.643%
Season at home (3)86.088.3174.3-2.333%
Season away (4)90.293.0183.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)85.385.3170.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)86.288.6174.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.384.1159.4-8.940%
vs Similar (8)77.683.0160.6-5.425%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCharleroi
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 72
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
96avg 72
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
79avg 72
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
65-69
65
69
-4
21avg 72
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-60
98
60
+38
102avg 72
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
90avg 72
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-70
65
70
-5
50avg 72
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
W
81-66
81
66
+15
82avg 72
A30/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H05/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H13/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
13-14
17-22
24-21
32-20
26-19
18-20
25-20
19-28
16-19
17-24
30-24
15-20
17-25
18-16
15-8
26-22
24-8
25-15
23-15
27-19
28-11
20-13
15-20
21-14
12-18
12-23
20-15
24-18
21-10
20-20
16-18
20-17
11-13
24-17
22-27
12-19
22-20
21-20
22-15
154.1Avg total
81.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.068.0147.0+11.071%
Season at home (4)79.269.5148.8+9.875%
Season away (3)78.766.0144.7+12.767%
Last 10 (10)81.372.8154.1+8.560%
Last 5 (5)78.069.4147.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.183.8161.9-5.833%
vs Similar (7)82.681.4164.0+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.471.5154.8+11.973%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
MechelenSpirou Charleroi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/11
BNXT League
86.5Avg total
44.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.581.6+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.278.9-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.186.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.489.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.142.679.7-5.533%-
vs Similar (8)37.641.979.5-4.225%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H05/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/11
BNXT League
76.4Avg total
40.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.980.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.839.679.4+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.282.0+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.576.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.871.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.244.284.4-3.942%-
vs Similar (7)38.139.978.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.335.378.5+8.082%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spirou Charleroitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Charleroi: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
53.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.8
30.5%
32.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.212.8
66.7%
71.0%12.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLLLWLWWWL
Spirou Charleroi
WWWLWWLLWL
#11
League position
#2
-5.6
Net rating
+3.4
91.3
Offensive rating
88.7
96.9
Defensive rating
85.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
30.5%
59.4%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 88.7Defence96.9 · 85.3Shooting51.8% · 51.1%3-point %35.7% · 30.5%Ball care16.4% · 19.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mechelen   ■ Spirou Charleroi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mechelen wins
6
Spirou Charleroi wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALeuven Bears91-68
07/11/26HKortrijk83-93
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCB Liege77-74
05/11/26HRotterdam77-74
30/10/26ABrussels Basketball81-66
23/10/26HOostende65-70
14/10/26ADonar Groningen90-63
09/10/26HBelfius Mons98-60
03/10/26ALeuven Bears65-69
09/05/26HAntwerp Giants82-95
06/05/26ABelfius Mons101-79
03/05/26AZwolle77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game88.486.090.2
Allowed / game91.088.393.0
Point differential-2.6-2.3-2.8
Avg total179.4174.3183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game79.079.278.7
Allowed / game68.069.566.0
Point differential+11.0+9.8+12.7
Avg total147.0148.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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