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Mechelen vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 70-66
22-22 12-15 21-13 15-16
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.5
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 3· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen v Zwolle
23 Jan 2027
MECH v ZWO
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
MECH70
ZWO66
05 Oct 2024
MECH92
ZWO69
25 Mar 2023
MECH101
ZWO62
23 Apr 2022
MECH92
ZWO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Limburg
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
63avg 72
H24/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
65avg 72
A26/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#2
W
85-78
85
78
+7
82avg 72
H28/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
W
77-76
77
76
+1
68avg 72
H31/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
49-96
49
96
-47
37avg 72
A02/06
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
70-93
70
93
-23
56avg 72
H04/06
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
68avg 72
A07/06
Pro Basketball League
KK Bosna
#4
L
57-82
57
82
-25
50avg 72
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#4
L
82-82
82
82
+0
78avg 72
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
74-61
74
61
+13
63avg 72
H04/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-30
17-18
20-18
16-19
20-27
16-20
19-14
15-16
27-26
22-14
21-22
23-29
12-18
14-16
28-13
17-19
12-21
10-22
10-34
28-29
15-27
14-19
13-18
19-25
24-31
19-18
14-26
19-26
13-18
12-15
13-23
25-17
17-21
17-27
23-17
25-17
16-16
14-23
19-5
155.8Avg total
71.9Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.061.0135.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)74.061.0135.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.983.9155.8-12.030%
Last 5 (5)71.883.6155.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.683.1159.6-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.085.2169.2-1.240%
vs Weaker (11)83.571.8155.3+11.682%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
88avg 73
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
93-104
93
104
-11
87avg 73
A23/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 73
H30/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 73
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
78-104
78
104
-26
59avg 73
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
57avg 73
A10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
71-103
71
103
-32
no box
A13/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 73
H15/05
DBL
Rotterdam
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
88avg 73
A28/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 73
H05/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-21
22-24
31-34
29-18
18-20
25-29
21-37
13-20
24-20
21-27
11-17
24-24
16-21
20-19
20-19
17-22
25-21
21-32
15-29
13-30
18-23
9-23
27-10
23-22
16-31
15-21
17-29
20-25
24-19
17-14
20-25
16-21
28-16
22-12
22-19
19-23
20-17
15-20
17-19
169.0Avg total
79.5Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.573.5153.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Season away (1)88.068.0156.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.589.5169.0-10.010%
Last 5 (5)75.683.8159.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.485.9163.3-8.511%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.889.0167.8-10.220%
vs Weaker (5)91.078.0169.0+13.080%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
MechelenZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H24/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A26/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H28/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H31/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A02/06
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H04/06
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A07/06
Pro Basketball League
KK Bosna
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/10
BNXT League
84.1Avg total
38.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.583.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.784.2+0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.741.482.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.445.784.1-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.485.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.744.683.3-5.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.044.490.4+1.660%-
vs Weaker (11)43.536.479.9+7.273%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A13/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/05
DBL
Rotterdam
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A28/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/10
BNXT League
84.3Avg total
40.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.042.482.3-2.431%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.441.680.0-3.121%-
Last 30 away (15)41.443.184.5-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.684.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.484.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.242.781.9-3.526%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.045.284.2-6.220%-
vs Weaker (5)43.838.282.0+5.660%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.7
49.5%
54.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.66.0
32.3%
34.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.815.7
72.0%
72.4%15.7
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.8
55.2%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
72.4%13.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLLLLLWWLL
Zwolle
LWLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#14
-16.1
Net rating
-10.8
96.9
Offensive rating
108.3
113.0
Defensive rating
119.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.3%
3-point %
33.5%
48.6%
Assist %
61.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 108.3Defence113.0 · 119.1Shooting49.1% · 53.2%3-point %32.3% · 33.5%Ball care19.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds22.2% · 25.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Mechelen   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mechelen wins
1
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Zwolle v Mechelen69-75
05/10/24Mechelen v Zwolle92-69
14/04/23Zwolle v Mechelen84-81
25/03/23Mechelen v Zwolle101-62
23/04/22Mechelen v Zwolle92-84
18/03/22Zwolle v Mechelen56-70
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HAntwerp Giants74-61
01/10/25HKK Bosna82-82
24/09/25AKK Bosna57-82
07/06/25AOostende76-100
04/06/25HOostende70-93
02/06/25AOostende49-96
31/05/25HOostende77-76
28/05/25HLimburg85-78
26/05/25ALimburg71-80
24/05/25HLimburg78-91
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HDen Bosch71-79
28/09/25ARotterdam88-68
15/05/25HLeiden81-83
13/05/25ALeiden71-103
10/05/25AKortrijk67-86
07/05/25ADonar Groningen78-104
04/05/25HBelfius Mons80-83
30/04/25HLimburg69-84
23/04/25AAntwerp Giants93-104
21/04/25HDen Bosch97-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total135.0135.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Zwolle
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game79.571.088.0
Allowed / game73.579.068.0
Point differential+6.0-8.0+20.0
Avg total153.0150.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden220100%97.066.0+31.0
2 Donar Groningen220100%89.074.0+15.0
3 Mechelen110100%74.061.0+13.0
4 Oostende220100%98.587.5+11.0
5 Den Bosch220100%86.576.5+10.0
6 Spirou Charleroi220100%96.587.5+9.0
7 Okapi Aalst330100%89.080.7+8.3
8 Belfius Mons32167%90.088.7+1.3
9 Zwolle21150%79.573.5+6.0
10 Antwerp Giants21150%75.572.0+3.5
11 Brussels Basketball21150%85.086.5-1.5
12 Limburg31233%87.081.3+5.7
13 Kortrijk31233%78.085.0-7.0
14 Leuven Bears2020%80.083.0-3.0
15 Den Helder3030%79.088.3-9.3
16 LWD Basket3030%85.397.3-12.0
17 BAL Weert3030%62.386.7-24.3
18 Rotterdam2020%68.099.5-31.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2212211570
Zwolle2215131666
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