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Zwolle vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-83
20-25 24-19 17-14 20-25
Position#6
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game103.0
vs
Leiden 🏆
Netherlands
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game71.0
NetherlandsDBLDBL - Quarter-finals· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zwolle v Leiden
17 Jan 2027
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZWO81
LEI90
15 May 2025
ZWO81
LEI83
02 Feb 2025
ZWO75
LEI78
17 May 2024
ZWO58
LEI64
14 Jan 2024
ZWO71
LEI76
12 Mar 2023
ZWO70
LEI72
30 Oct 2022
ZWO84
LEI83
12 May 2022
ZWO79
LEI89
17 Oct 2021
ZWO68
LEI75
18 May 2021
ZWO90
LEI85
22 Apr 2021
ZWO58
LEI79
03 Dec 2020
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
08 Mar 2020
ZWO92
LEI84
17 Nov 2019
ZWO92
LEI75
22 Sep 2019
ZWO78
LEI68
28 Apr 2019
ZWO70
LEI77
31 Mar 2019
ZWO69
LEI87
06 Jan 2019
ZWO71
LEI81
12 May 2018
ZWO73
LEI78
08 May 2018
ZWO79
LEI81
07 Apr 2018
ZWO82
LEI81
07 Jan 2018
ZWO69
LEI65
11 May 2017
ZWO83
LEI56
06 May 2017
ZWO84
LEI78
30 Apr 2017
ZWO78
LEI64
23 Apr 2017
ZWO82
LEI88
08 Apr 2017
ZWO73
LEI80
08 Jan 2017
ZWO81
LEI74
11 Feb 2016
ZWO74
LEI76
25 Oct 2015
ZWO73
LEI58
04 Apr 2015
ZWO73
LEI82
16 Dec 2014
ZWO79
LEI86
27 Apr 2014
ZWO78
LEI77
09 Mar 2014
ZWO75
LEI78
08 Dec 2013
ZWO72
LEI59
10 Feb 2013
ZWO72
LEI78
25 Nov 2012
ZWO78
LEI89
10 May 2012
ZWO43
LEI62
06 May 2012
ZWO72
LEI76
03 Mar 2012
ZWO64
LEI74
26 Nov 2011
ZWO72
LEI68
19 Mar 2011
ZWO62
LEI76
01 Dec 2010
ZWO61
LEI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 71
A12/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 71
A18/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
88avg 71
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
93-104
93
104
-11
87avg 71
A23/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 71
H30/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 71
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
78-104
78
104
-26
59avg 71
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
57avg 71
A10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
71-103
71
103
-32
no box
A13/05
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
23-16
21-26
16-17
22-21
26-22
19-12
20-25
17-25
26-20
27-22
19-33
25-22
19-21
22-24
31-34
29-18
18-20
25-29
21-37
13-20
24-20
21-27
11-17
24-24
16-21
20-19
20-19
17-22
25-21
21-32
15-29
13-30
18-23
9-23
27-10
23-22
16-31
15-21
17-29
173.7Avg total
80.7Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.0103.0174.0-32.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.0103.0174.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)80.793.0173.7-12.310%
Last 5 (5)73.092.0165.0-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.586.2163.7-8.711%
vs Similar (5)78.889.0167.8-10.220%
vs Weaker (6)88.281.3169.5+6.867%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 69
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 69
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 69
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 69
H20/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
59avg 69
A25/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 69
H30/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
81avg 69
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
55avg 69
A07/05
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
50-80
50
80
-30
38avg 69
A10/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#6
W
103-71
103
71
+32
no box
H13/05
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
21-20
9-20
23-14
25-20
20-22
14-17
18-12
34-14
25-25
14-24
21-11
20-17
25-18
12-26
22-20
21-16
18-25
17-15
15-18
25-29
17-29
23-10
18-20
20-33
18-25
20-21
24-20
17-17
24-21
16-16
11-16
14-22
13-18
12-21
11-19
22-23
31-16
21-15
29-17
155.4Avg total
77.8Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)103.071.0174.0+32.0100%
Season at home (1)103.071.0174.0+32.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.877.6155.4+0.240%
Last 5 (5)77.281.6158.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.380.5153.9-7.233%
vs Similar (7)79.379.3158.6+0.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.373.0155.3+9.371%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
ZwolleLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A13/05
DBL
85.5Avg total
41.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.442.682.0-3.231%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.841.078.8-3.229%-
Last 30 away (15)40.944.185.0-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.585.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.884.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.642.581.1-3.928%-
vs Similar (5)39.045.284.2-6.220%-
vs Weaker (6)42.240.782.8+1.550%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H30/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A07/05
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/05
DBL
85.2Avg total
42.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.778.9+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.840.481.2+0.358%-
Last 30 away (18)39.837.677.4+2.361%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.485.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.686.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.941.578.4-4.547%-
vs Similar (7)39.939.179.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.034.178.1+9.986%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.7
57.7%
51.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
34.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.111.5
76.2%
73.9%11.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.5
53.5%
51.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.7
30.3%
34.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.011.9
70.0%
73.9%11.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LLLLLLLLWL
Leiden
WLLLLLLWWW
#6
League position
#2
-8.5
Net rating
-4.1
111.6
Offensive rating
103.0
120.1
Defensive rating
107.1
56.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.9%
3-point %
30.3%
57.6%
Assist %
63.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 103.0Defence120.1 · 107.1Shooting56.1% · 50.6%3-point %35.9% · 30.3%Ball care16.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds23.9% · 27.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Zwolle   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zwolle wins
9
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
13/05/25Leiden v Zwolle103-71
02/02/25Zwolle v Leiden75-78
18/10/24Leiden v Zwolle87-94
19/05/24Leiden v Zwolle79-71
17/05/24Zwolle v Leiden58-64
15/05/24Leiden v Zwolle68-60
14/01/24Zwolle v Leiden71-76
28/10/23Leiden v Zwolle74-65
17/09/23Leiden v Zwolle62-57
12/03/23Zwolle v Leiden70-72
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25ALeiden71-103
10/05/25AKortrijk67-86
07/05/25ADonar Groningen78-104
04/05/25HBelfius Mons80-83
30/04/25HLimburg69-84
23/04/25AAntwerp Giants93-104
21/04/25HDen Bosch97-101
18/04/25ALWD Basket89-100
12/04/25AOkapi Aalst87-80
06/04/25HSpirou Charleroi76-85
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25HZwolle103-71
10/05/25ACircus Brussels50-80
07/05/25AMechelen68-70
03/05/25HAntwerp Giants82-99
30/04/25HLWD Basket83-88
25/04/25ALimburg71-74
20/04/25HDonar Groningen79-81
18/04/25AFeyenoord94-74
12/04/25ABelfius Mons77-71
09/04/25HQSTA Utd71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
DBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game103.0-103.0
Point differential-32.0--32.0
Avg total174.0-174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Leiden
DBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+32.0+32.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden110100%103.071.0+32.0
2 Donar Groningen110100%85.075.0+10.0
3 Den Helder1010%75.085.0-10.0
4 Zwolle1010%71.0103.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle2024172081
Leiden2519142583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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