PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leiden vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 103-71
22-23 31-16 21-15 29-17
Position#2
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Leiden 🏆
Netherlands
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
NetherlandsDBLDBL - Quarter-finals· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Zwolle
27 Mar 2027
LEI v ZWO
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LEI88
ZWO92
13 May 2025
LEI103
ZWO71
18 Oct 2024
LEI87
ZWO94
19 May 2024
LEI79
ZWO71
15 May 2024
LEI68
ZWO60
28 Oct 2023
LEI74
ZWO65
17 Sep 2023
LEI62
ZWO57
07 Jan 2023
LEI76
ZWO65
14 May 2022
LEI71
ZWO69
10 May 2022
LEI91
ZWO79
04 Dec 2021
LEI73
ZWO80
20 May 2021
LEI91
ZWO74
15 May 2021
LEI97
ZWO87
31 Mar 2021
LEI96
ZWO93
10 Mar 2021
LEI82
ZWO91
18 Jan 2020
LEI92
ZWO98
05 Oct 2019
LEI82
ZWO73
09 Mar 2019
LEI79
ZWO82
10 Nov 2018
LEI82
ZWO87
15 May 2018
LEI63
ZWO60
10 May 2018
LEI78
ZWO74
03 Mar 2018
LEI64
ZWO71
28 Oct 2017
LEI74
ZWO64
09 May 2017
LEI84
ZWO60
02 May 2017
LEI76
ZWO67
26 Apr 2017
LEI81
ZWO92
25 Feb 2017
LEI55
ZWO66
12 Nov 2016
LEI78
ZWO69
31 Mar 2016
LEI65
ZWO72
12 Dec 2015
LEI67
ZWO55
14 Feb 2015
LEI93
ZWO80
29 Oct 2014
LEI76
ZWO54
29 Apr 2014
LEI61
ZWO57
24 Apr 2014
LEI77
ZWO58
19 Apr 2014
LEI79
ZWO75
15 Jan 2014
LEI76
ZWO73
30 Mar 2013
LEI75
ZWO62
13 Oct 2012
LEI66
ZWO56
08 May 2012
LEI63
ZWO69
03 May 2012
LEI76
ZWO63
28 Jan 2012
LEI65
ZWO58
08 Oct 2011
LEI71
ZWO58
27 Jan 2011
LEI82
ZWO72
16 Oct 2010
LEI78
ZWO52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 69
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 69
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 69
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 69
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 69
H20/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
59avg 69
A25/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 69
H30/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
81avg 69
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
55avg 69
A07/05
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
50-80
50
80
-30
38avg 69
A10/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-21
11-19
32-17
18-14
21-20
9-20
23-14
25-20
20-22
14-17
18-12
34-14
25-25
14-24
21-11
20-17
25-18
12-26
22-20
21-16
18-25
17-15
15-18
25-29
17-29
23-10
18-20
20-33
18-25
20-21
24-20
17-17
24-21
16-16
11-16
14-22
13-18
12-21
11-19
154.6Avg total
76.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.078.6154.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)70.882.2153.0-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.482.2155.6-8.931%
vs Similar (7)79.379.3158.6+0.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.873.3152.2+5.567%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
106-73
106
73
+33
113avg 71
A02/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 71
A12/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 71
A18/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
88avg 71
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
93-104
93
104
-11
87avg 71
A23/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 71
H30/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 71
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
78-104
78
104
-26
59avg 71
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
57avg 71
A10/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
25-21
29-17
23-22
16-26
23-16
21-26
16-17
22-21
26-22
19-12
20-25
17-25
26-20
27-22
19-33
25-22
19-21
22-24
31-34
29-18
18-20
25-29
21-37
13-20
24-20
21-27
11-17
24-24
16-21
20-19
20-19
17-22
25-21
21-32
15-29
13-30
18-23
9-23
27-10
174.2Avg total
84.2Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.290.0174.2-5.820%
Last 5 (5)77.492.2169.6-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.685.2162.8-7.611%
vs Similar (5)78.889.0167.8-10.220%
vs Weaker (6)88.281.3169.5+6.867%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
LeidenZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H30/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A07/05
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/05
BNXT League
84.7Avg total
41.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.178.8+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.640.580.2-0.955%-
Last 30 away (19)39.738.378.0+1.558%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.084.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.447.084.4-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.042.179.1-5.144%-
vs Similar (7)39.939.179.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.533.375.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A02/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A10/05
BNXT League
85.1Avg total
42.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.342.381.7-3.031%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.841.078.8-3.229%-
Last 30 away (15)40.843.684.4-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.685.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.883.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.542.180.6-3.628%-
vs Similar (5)39.045.284.2-6.220%-
vs Weaker (6)42.240.782.8+1.550%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.5
53.5%
51.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.7
30.3%
34.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.011.9
70.0%
73.9%11.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.7
57.7%
51.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
34.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.111.5
76.2%
73.9%11.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LLLLLLWWWW
Zwolle
LLLLLLLWLW
#2
League position
#6
-4.1
Net rating
-8.5
103.0
Offensive rating
111.6
107.1
Defensive rating
120.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
56.1%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.3%
3-point %
35.9%
63.5%
Assist %
57.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 111.6Defence107.1 · 120.1Shooting50.6% · 56.1%3-point %30.3% · 35.9%Ball care17.8% · 16.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 23.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Leiden   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Leiden wins
1
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Zwolle v Leiden75-78
18/10/24Leiden v Zwolle87-94
19/05/24Leiden v Zwolle79-71
17/05/24Zwolle v Leiden58-64
15/05/24Leiden v Zwolle68-60
14/01/24Zwolle v Leiden71-76
28/10/23Leiden v Zwolle74-65
17/09/23Leiden v Zwolle62-57
12/03/23Zwolle v Leiden70-72
07/01/23Leiden v Zwolle76-65
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ACircus Brussels50-80
07/05/25AMechelen68-70
03/05/25HAntwerp Giants82-99
30/04/25HLWD Basket83-88
25/04/25ALimburg71-74
20/04/25HDonar Groningen79-81
18/04/25AFeyenoord94-74
12/04/25ABelfius Mons77-71
09/04/25HQSTA Utd71-68
05/04/25HBAL Weert85-81
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25AKortrijk67-86
07/05/25ADonar Groningen78-104
04/05/25HBelfius Mons80-83
30/04/25HLimburg69-84
23/04/25AAntwerp Giants93-104
21/04/25HDen Bosch97-101
18/04/25ALWD Basket89-100
12/04/25AOkapi Aalst87-80
06/04/25HSpirou Charleroi76-85
02/04/25AQSTA Utd106-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
DBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Zwolle
DBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Donar Groningen110100%85.075.0+10.0
2 Den Helder1010%75.085.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden22312129103
Zwolle2316151771
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.