PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mechelen vs Zwolle Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mechelen v Zwolle
23 Jan 2027
MECH v ZWO
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
MECH70
ZWO66
05 Oct 2024
MECH92
ZWO69
25 Mar 2023
MECH101
ZWO62
23 Apr 2022
MECH92
ZWO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 69
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 69
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
99avg 69
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 69
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 69
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
84avg 69
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
67avg 69
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 69
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
29-15
15-23
14-27
25-28
25-25
23-11
20-12
23-20
170.6Avg total
85.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.491.0179.4-2.643%
Season at home (3)86.088.3174.3-2.333%
Season away (4)90.293.0183.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)85.385.3170.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)86.288.6174.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.384.1159.4-8.940%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.683.0160.6-5.425%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
61-69
61
69
-8
53avg 71
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 71
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 71
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
69avg 71
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
70-98
70
98
-28
no box
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
74-57
74
57
+17
72avg 71
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
50avg 71
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
62avg 71
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A06/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
16-15
10-10
18-24
16-24
15-18
25-25
14-16
33-22
12-21
16-22
17-24
16-11
15-23
16-15
23-10
25-14
13-26
17-31
15-27
24-15
15-15
17-15
18-12
23-19
16-20
14-28
12-22
12-22
18-17
18-26
25-6
18-25
21-23
25-18
20-22
22-22
14-23
25-19
27-20
152.0Avg total
73.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.978.0152.9-3.157%
Season at home (4)74.075.8149.8-1.875%
Season away (3)76.081.0157.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)73.378.7152.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)76.877.8154.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.390.2168.5-11.831%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.169.4141.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (8)87.276.6163.9+10.675%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
MechelenZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/11
BNXT League
86.5Avg total
44.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.581.6+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.278.9-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.186.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.489.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.142.679.7-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.641.979.5-4.225%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/11
BNXT League
75.6Avg total
36.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.679.9-1.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.641.980.5-3.225%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.179.1+1.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.575.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.276.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.543.785.2-2.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.135.868.9-2.625%-
vs Weaker (8)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
53.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
71.0%11.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLLLWLWWWL
Zwolle
WLWLWLWLLL
#11
League position
#8
-5.6
Net rating
-3.2
91.3
Offensive rating
86.7
96.9
Defensive rating
89.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
32.7%
59.4%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 86.7Defence96.9 · 89.9Shooting51.8% · 50.8%3-point %35.7% · 32.7%Ball care16.4% · 18.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Mechelen   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mechelen wins
2
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Zwolle v Mechelen72-67
11/10/25Mechelen v Zwolle70-66
12/01/25Zwolle v Mechelen69-75
05/10/24Mechelen v Zwolle92-69
14/04/23Zwolle v Mechelen84-81
25/03/23Mechelen v Zwolle101-62
23/04/22Mechelen v Zwolle92-84
18/03/22Zwolle v Mechelen56-70
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALeuven Bears91-68
07/11/26HKortrijk83-93
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLimburg88-84
06/11/26ACB Liege84-88
01/11/26HKortrijk73-71
25/10/26HBrussels Basketball65-89
17/10/26ABelfius Mons74-57
10/10/26AOostende70-98
04/10/26HDen Bosch70-59
16/09/26ABakken Bears78-89
09/05/26HKortrijk70-83
06/05/26ALeuven Bears61-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game88.486.090.2
Allowed / game91.088.393.0
Point differential-2.6-2.3-2.8
Avg total179.4174.3183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game74.974.076.0
Allowed / game78.075.881.0
Point differential-3.1-1.8-5.0
Avg total152.9149.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.