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Mega Bemax vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-77
11-17 18-19 15-19 26-22
Position#7
Record10-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#3
Record14-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Buducnost
11 Mar 2019
MBE70
BUD77
13 Jan 2018
MBE83
BUD94
06 Oct 2016
MBE81
BUD85
19 Mar 2016
MBE76
BUD75
24 Dec 2015
MBE81
BUD83
31 Jan 2015
MBE96
BUD84
31 Mar 2014
MBE92
BUD86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#6
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A28/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
H05/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A13/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H19/01
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A26/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H03/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H08/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#5
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H15/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A16/02
Korac cup
Cibona
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A03/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
32-30
21-13
14-32
17-33
21-20
24-12
28-25
20-15
23-20
18-26
17-30
14-21
23-15
16-22
29-22
18-19
22-31
27-21
19-27
19-20
26-30
20-25
20-22
23-18
25-15
16-16
16-23
10-13
16-23
21-22
26-11
16-12
21-30
24-18
12-32
13-22
22-23
20-22
16-22
171.9Avg total
81.8Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.885.2167.9-2.450%
Season at home (10)83.582.1165.6+1.460%
Season away (10)82.188.2170.3-6.140%
Last 10 (10)81.890.1171.9-8.330%
Last 5 (5)76.483.8160.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.289.6169.8-9.518%
vs Similar (12)83.284.0167.2-0.867%
vs Weaker (6)91.274.7165.8+16.583%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A28/01
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A01/02
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#10
W
102-71
102
71
+31
H04/02
ABA League
Khimki M.
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H07/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A10/02
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A22/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H01/03
Euroleague
Zadar
#11
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H04/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H08/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
9-14
25-19
14-13
23-23
30-15
11-19
13-15
20-28
27-24
14-20
8-27
22-15
26-17
28-15
26-24
20-22
26-23
19-23
25-30
12-17
19-15
15-23
21-21
18-20
18-19
26-21
14-24
17-25
27-16
15-25
16-23
23-27
22-18
15-16
15-8
21-27
13-24
20-22
22-16
159.9Avg total
78.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.874.2154.9+6.570%
Season at home (10)84.072.3156.3+11.790%
Season away (10)77.576.1153.6+1.450%
Last 10 (10)78.281.7159.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)73.881.4155.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.388.6164.9-12.319%
vs Similar (5)76.478.6155.0-2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.273.1157.3+11.178%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
Mega BemaxBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#6
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A28/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H05/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A13/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H19/01
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A26/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H03/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H08/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#5
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/02
Korac cup
Cibona
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/03
ABA League
84.4Avg total
40.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.183.4-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.741.581.3-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.685.5+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.184.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.945.584.4-6.59%-
vs Similar (12)41.442.083.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)48.037.085.0+11.083%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/01
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A28/01
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/02
ABA League
Khimki M.
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H07/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A10/02
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H01/03
Euroleague
Zadar
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#6
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H08/03
Euroleague
83.3Avg total
42.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.380.7-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.641.681.3-2.029%-
Last 30 away (16)39.141.180.1-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.383.3+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.243.182.4-3.931%-
vs Similar (5)35.442.077.4-6.60%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.737.879.4+3.956%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.5
47.6%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.9
32.9%
33.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws28.818.4
63.9%
72.5%18.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.5
49.3%
51.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
72.5%15.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
LLWWLLWLLL
Buducnost
LWLLLLWLWW
#7
League position
#3
-9.0
Net rating
-4.0
102.5
Offensive rating
106.0
111.5
Defensive rating
110.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
36.8%
69.0%
Assist %
56.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 106.0Defence111.5 · 110.0Shooting48.2% · 51.6%3-point %32.9% · 36.8%Ball care16.4% · 18.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mega Bemax wins
7
Buducnost wins
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19ACibona71-89
16/02/19ACrvena zvezda73-92
15/02/19HBorac Mozzart73-69
08/02/19HKK Krka Novo mesto80-72
03/02/19HZadar85-97
26/01/19APartizan86-98
19/01/19HMornar Bar82-80
13/01/19APetrol Olimpija78-91
05/01/19HCedevita101-107 OT
28/12/18AFMP Beograd89-106
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/19HOlympiacos76-89
04/03/19HZadar75-69
01/03/19HBayern75-89
22/02/19AZalgiris Kaunas76-84
10/02/19APartizan67-76
07/02/19HKhimki M.90-98
04/02/19HMornar Bar102-71
01/02/19ACSKA Moscow69-99
28/01/19APetrol Olimpija77-72
25/01/19HGran Canaria75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game82.883.582.1
Allowed / game85.282.188.2
Point differential-2.4+1.4-6.1
Avg total167.9165.6170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Buducnost
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game80.884.077.5
Allowed / game74.272.376.1
Point differential+6.5+11.7+1.4
Avg total154.9156.3153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2120195%84.568.6+15.9
2 Cedevita2115671%87.180.4+6.7
3 Buducnost2014670%80.874.2+6.5
4 Partizan2114767%81.375.7+5.6
5 Mega Bemax20101050%82.885.2-2.4
6 FMP Beograd2191243%79.281.6-2.4
7 Cibona2191243%79.181.9-2.7
8 Mornar Bar2181338%81.086.3-5.4
9 Zadar2171433%82.085.7-3.8
10 Igokea2171433%80.985.1-4.2
11 Petrol Olimpija2161529%77.482.0-4.5
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2161529%72.681.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Bemax1118152670
Buducnost1719192277
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