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Buducnost vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-80
11-26 26-11 27-21 24-22
Position#4
Record10-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#6
Record5-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16
Domestic2016
Meetings · Buducnost v Mega Bemax
10 Dec 2018
BUD91
MBE85
21 Oct 2017
BUD84
MBE64
30 Dec 2016
BUD88
MBE80
14 Mar 2016
BUD81
MBE85
07 Oct 2015
BUD71
MBE56
08 Nov 2014
BUD88
MBE80
21 Dec 2013
BUD83
MBE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Murcia
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H16/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
114avg 110
H20/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
A23/11
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
A27/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
90-96
90
96
-6
112avg 110
A04/12
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#8
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H07/12
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
54-77
54
77
-23
75avg 110
H11/12
ABA League
Bayern
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A14/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
115avg 110
H18/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
100avg 110
A26/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
20-20
20-23
14-28
19-11
26-21
22-22
17-20
20-25
21-23
19-26
15-19
29-15
12-20
26-11
10-23
25-23
23-29
24-18
18-26
23-22
23-23
24-26
25-26
18-23
10-21
18-16
8-17
16-16
15-20
13-22
22-22
24-16
26-31
19-19
15-20
13-28
27-19
23-16
13-15
161.2Avg total
77.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.377.3159.5+5.067%
Season at home (7)85.476.4161.9+9.071%
Season away (8)79.578.0157.5+1.562%
Last 10 (10)77.683.6161.2-6.020%
Last 5 (5)75.083.6158.6-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.784.1153.8-14.40%
vs Similar (3)76.072.3148.3+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.277.4161.6+6.867%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBemax
Date
Competition
Oostende
#35
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
103avg 112
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
no box
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
61-85
61
85
-24
no box
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
72-75
72
75
-3
104avg 112
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
A13/12
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A18/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
W
60-53
60
53
+7
no box
H21/12
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H25/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
14-23
18-7
23-15
26-20
16-22
15-20
22-24
9-15
16-19
25-20
9-19
16-20
20-18
17-31
18-13
15-21
18-16
10-22
18-26
12-25
25-13
21-17
14-20
23-22
16-26
14-23
24-16
19-19
14-22
9-21
27-20
16-16
15-10
16-9
13-18
18-22
26-17
16-14
16-19
146.5Avg total
70.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.383.7163.9-3.433%
Season at home (8)83.983.0166.9+0.950%
Season away (7)76.184.4160.6-8.314%
Last 10 (10)70.076.5146.5-6.530%
Last 5 (5)70.873.8144.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.081.1153.1-9.110%
vs Similar (11)77.279.6156.8-2.555%
vs Weaker (9)85.681.7167.2+3.944%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
BuducnostMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H20/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A23/11
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A27/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A04/12
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H07/12
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H11/12
ABA League
Bayern
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H18/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A26/12
ABA League
83.2Avg total
41.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.080.6+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.882.1+2.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.179.1-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.183.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.882.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.341.675.9-7.222%-
vs Similar (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.239.483.6+4.878%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#35
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/12
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H21/12
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H25/12
ABA League
74.6Avg total
35.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.980.2-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.841.181.8-0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.878.4-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)35.539.174.6-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.475.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.841.074.8-7.210%-
vs Similar (11)38.539.978.4-1.545%-
vs Weaker (9)46.342.188.4+4.278%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.8
50.0%
51.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.7
36.7%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.517.7
75.3%
73.3%17.7
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.0
49.3%
51.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.5
31.8%
34.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
73.3%14.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LLLLLLWLWL
Mega Bemax
WWLLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#6
+2.5
Net rating
-1.4
103.2
Offensive rating
99.9
100.7
Defensive rating
101.3
52.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.7%
3-point %
31.8%
63.1%
Assist %
62.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 99.9Defence100.7 · 101.3Shooting52.1% · 48.6%3-point %36.7% · 31.8%Ball care20.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds26.1% · 34.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Buducnost   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Buducnost wins
4
Mega Bemax wins
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/16AZadar76-78
18/12/16HCedevita84-86
14/12/16ABayern66-80
11/12/16HCrvena zvezda54-77
07/12/16HZenit Petersburg95-97
04/12/16AMZT Skopje90-96
27/11/16AFMP Beograd77-69
23/11/16AUnicaja75-93
20/11/16HPetrol Olimpija84-74
16/11/16HMurcia75-86
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/16HFMP Beograd76-72
21/12/16HMornar Bar60-53
18/12/16APetrol Olimpija69-82
13/12/16ACibona77-87
10/12/16AKarpos72-75
07/12/16AAvellino61-85
04/12/16HCibona71-82
30/11/16ATenerife59-73
26/11/16APartizan79-86
22/11/16HOostende76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL67%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game82.385.479.5
Allowed / game77.376.478.0
Point differential+5.0+9.0+1.5
Avg total159.5161.9157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%71%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game80.383.976.1
Allowed / game83.783.084.4
Point differential-3.4+0.9-8.3
Avg total163.9166.9160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda15150100%86.167.7+18.5
2 Partizan1512380%80.373.7+6.7
3 Cedevita1510567%89.380.6+8.7
4 Buducnost1510567%82.377.3+5.0
5 Cibona1510567%82.179.3+2.9
6 Igokea158753%75.076.5-1.5
7 Petrol Olimpija157847%80.180.9-0.8
8 Zadar156940%79.687.3-7.7
9 Mornar Bar1551033%78.178.1+0.0
10 Mega Bemax1551033%80.383.7-3.4
11 KK Krka Novo mesto1551033%71.980.6-8.7
12 FMP Beograd1541127%74.479.8-5.4
13 Karpos1541127%74.280.3-6.1
14 MZT Skopje1541127%76.184.2-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1126272488
Mega Bemax2611212280
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