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Mega Bemax vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 101-107 (OT)
17-33 21-20 24-12 28-25 11-17
Position#7
Record8-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#2
Record9-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Cedevita
05 Jan 2019
MBE101
CED107
28 Oct 2017
MBE77
CED81
15 Oct 2016
MBE82
CED85
31 Jan 2016
MBE100
CED93
01 Dec 2014
MBE55
CED81
06 Oct 2013
MBE62
CED72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H19/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A28/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-30
17-15
18-11
29-17
19-23
19-21
17-19
15-24
20-22
20-23
19-12
15-27
22-14
18-24
29-15
24-27
11-20
15-21
19-14
15-18
22-22
27-22
18-18
31-21
20-20
18-30
16-20
15-20
10-22
22-22
21-14
16-23
26-17
31-23
20-25
22-31
32-30
21-13
14-32
165.2Avg total
80.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.582.2164.8+0.362%
Season at home (6)81.277.5158.7+3.767%
Season away (7)83.786.3170.0-2.657%
Last 10 (10)80.984.3165.2-3.450%
Last 5 (5)83.488.6172.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.987.0163.9-10.118%
vs Similar (10)87.283.3170.5+3.980%
vs Weaker (9)88.776.2164.9+12.478%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#2
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A06/12
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H07/12
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A12/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
103-102
103
102
+1
A15/12
ABA League
Gorica
#6
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H17/12
Premijer liga
Tofas
#12
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H18/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A20/12
Premijer liga
Partizan
#4
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A22/12
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H29/12
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H02/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
16-14
19-19
7-16
27-27
22-21
21-21
25-13
8-17
19-21
23-21
26-21
25-27
19-26
34-33
25-16
7-19
26-13
29-15
9-19
23-26
14-24
34-23
21-23
18-23
26-21
12-21
17-29
17-18
25-12
18-24
16-17
28-16
17-27
19-14
19-15
25-27
15-22
19-24
22-14
163.2Avg total
81.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.581.5169.1+6.069%
Season at home (7)87.978.4166.3+9.471%
Season away (6)87.285.2172.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)81.381.9163.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.084.0165.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.290.3173.5-7.217%
vs Similar (8)77.873.2151.0+4.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.181.6170.8+7.575%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
Mega BemaxCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H19/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A28/12
ABA League
84.9Avg total
40.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.184.4+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.841.783.5+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)42.742.485.1+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.684.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.886.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.544.583.1-6.09%-
vs Similar (10)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (9)46.038.184.1+7.978%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/12
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H07/12
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A12/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A15/12
ABA League
Gorica
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H17/12
Premijer liga
Tofas
#12
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/12
Premijer liga
Partizan
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A22/12
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/12
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H02/01
Eurocup
81.9Avg total
39.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.181.8+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.939.980.9+1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.282.7+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.181.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.284.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.545.085.5-4.517%-
vs Similar (8)39.438.077.4+1.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.339.282.6+4.175%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.6
53.8%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.3
29.4%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws30.520.0
65.6%
72.5%20.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.8
54.7%
51.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.19.1
41.2%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.716.2
74.7%
72.5%16.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
LWLLWLWLWW
Cedevita
LWWLLWWLWL
#7
League position
#2
-4.2
Net rating
+9.2
102.5
Offensive rating
117.2
106.7
Defensive rating
108.0
49.9%
Effective FG%
57.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.50
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.4%
3-point %
41.2%
69.5%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 117.2Defence106.7 · 108.0Shooting49.9% · 57.1%3-point %29.4% · 41.2%Ball care18.1% · 15.6%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.50 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mega Bemax wins
7
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
13/10/18Cedevita v Mega Bemax86-95
20/01/18Cedevita v Mega Bemax75-73
28/10/17Mega Bemax v Cedevita77-81
22/09/17Cedevita v Mega Bemax99-96
15/01/17Cedevita v Mega Bemax89-85
15/10/16Mega Bemax v Cedevita82-85
31/01/16Mega Bemax v Cedevita100-93
08/11/15Cedevita v Mega Bemax78-68
27/02/15Cedevita v Mega Bemax103-107 OT
01/12/14Mega Bemax v Cedevita55-81
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/18AFMP Beograd89-106
22/12/18HIgokea93-88
15/12/18HCrvena zvezda68-78
10/12/18ABuducnost85-91
24/11/18HCibona82-80
18/11/18AKK Krka Novo mesto69-82
09/11/18AZadar84-80
03/11/18HPartizan74-81
28/10/18AMornar Bar84-80
19/10/18HPetrol Olimpija81-77 OT
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/19HMoraBanc Andorra81-87
29/12/18HZadar83-72
22/12/18APartizan76-71
20/12/18ACibona73-94
18/12/18HTofas92-96
17/12/18HGorica71-66
15/12/18AMornar Bar103-102
12/12/18ALokomotiv Kuban76-80
07/12/18HPetrol Olimpija95-82
06/12/18AZadar63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game82.581.283.7
Allowed / game82.277.586.3
Point differential+0.3+3.7-2.6
Avg total164.8158.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game87.587.987.2
Allowed / game81.578.485.2
Point differential+6.0+9.4+2.0
Avg total169.1166.3172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda14140100%86.668.8+17.9
2 Cedevita139469%87.581.5+6.0
3 Buducnost138562%79.375.2+4.1
4 Mega Bemax138562%82.582.2+0.3
5 Partizan148657%80.878.9+1.9
6 FMP Beograd146843%82.183.6-1.4
7 Cibona146843%77.982.1-4.1
8 Igokea135838%86.289.2-3.0
9 Zadar145936%82.486.0-3.6
10 Mornar Bar145936%83.887.9-4.1
11 Petrol Olimpija1441029%79.182.8-3.7
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1441029%73.883.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mega Bemax1721242811101
Cedevita3320122517107
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