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Mega Bemax vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-87
23-19 24-23 20-24 26-21
Position#6
Record3-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#8
Record2-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10
Domestic2016
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar
19 Jan 2019
MBE82
MBA80
07 Oct 2017
MBE91
MBA70
21 Dec 2016
MBE60
MBA53
19 Nov 2016
MBE93
MBA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H15/10
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H18/10
Champions League
Zadar
#12
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A22/10
ABA League
Cibona
#37
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H25/10
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H30/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A02/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H05/11
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H08/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A11/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A16/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
19-21
15-25
23-20
19-22
15-16
14-19
22-27
30-30
20-18
22-23
14-19
17-29
22-14
23-17
19-19
27-22
15-16
23-19
22-15
15-19
27-22
28-19
15-27
17-26
33-18
25-32
20-20
17-20
16-18
16-23
28-18
20-11
11-12
22-22
14-19
15-10
12-17
19-23
13-18
159.3Avg total
78.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.785.7168.3-3.033%
Season at home (5)86.284.6170.8+1.640%
Season away (4)78.287.0165.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)78.980.4159.3-1.530%
Last 5 (5)76.678.8155.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.581.5153.0-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.984.6166.4-2.743%
vs Weaker (12)92.280.1172.2+12.167%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#9
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H14/10
ABA League
Oostende
#35
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H19/10
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A22/10
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
57-103
57
103
-46
A26/10
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H31/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H02/11
Champions League
Cedevita
#3
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A06/11
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A09/11
Champions League
Zadar
#12
L
104-110
104
110
-6
H13/11
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H15/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
28-15
21-16
17-13
23-19
9-22
23-20
19-11
20-23
22-27
9-18
17-17
7-29
22-22
18-21
10-31
17-10
15-21
11-22
16-18
19-15
22-27
19-28
27-15
25-19
20-26
8-30
20-24
21-23
18-23
22-24
11-20
23-34
22-19
20-23
39-34
21-26
17-16
13-17
16-17
160.0Avg total
74.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.380.0156.3-3.722%
Season at home (5)77.072.8149.8+4.240%
Season away (4)75.589.0164.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)74.385.7160.0-11.430%
Last 5 (5)80.692.0172.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.179.3147.4-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.375.7156.0+4.750%
vs Weaker (12)82.274.9157.1+7.267%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Mega BemaxMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H15/10
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/10
Champions League
Zadar
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A22/10
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H25/10
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H30/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H05/11
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A11/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A16/11
Champions League
77.2Avg total
39.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.682.9-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.241.483.6+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)40.241.882.0-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.671.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.442.477.7-7.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.342.480.7-4.129%-
vs Weaker (12)48.440.488.8+8.092%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/10
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H19/10
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A22/10
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A26/10
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H31/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/11
Champions League
Cedevita
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/11
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/11
Champions League
Zadar
#12
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H13/11
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/11
Champions League
82.5Avg total
38.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.179.5-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.177.0+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.743.682.3-4.97%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.882.5-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.687.2-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.841.877.6-6.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.038.577.5+0.533%-
vs Weaker (12)43.239.282.3+4.058%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.4
48.0%
51.9%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.4
33.7%
34.3%28.3
🏀 Free throws21.816.8
77.0%
73.3%16.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.9 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.4
49.9%
51.9%40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.3
35.5%
34.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws17.812.6
70.6%
73.3%12.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
LWLLLWWLLL
Mornar Bar
LLLLWLLLWW
#6
League position
#8
-3.2
Net rating
-4.8
103.6
Offensive rating
97.8
106.9
Defensive rating
102.5
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.7%
3-point %
35.5%
57.4%
Assist %
52.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 97.8Defence106.9 · 102.5Shooting49.1% · 51.0%3-point %33.7% · 35.5%Ball care18.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds32.3% · 24.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Bemax wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
02/11/16Mornar Bar v Mega Bemax87-85
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/16AStrasbourg59-68
11/11/16AIgokea67-64
08/11/16HJuventus77-79
05/11/16HKK Krka Novo mesto95-96
02/11/16AMornar Bar85-87
30/10/16HMZT Skopje87-72
25/10/16HCibona81-79
22/10/16AZadar86-90
18/10/16HAvellino70-84
15/10/16HCedevita82-85
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/16HAvellino67-76
13/11/16HZadar104-110
09/11/16ACibona72-90
06/11/16ACedevita73-99
02/11/16HMega Bemax87-85
31/10/16HCrvena zvezda59-71
26/10/16ATenerife57-103
22/10/16ABuducnost68-85
19/10/16HOostende74-72
14/10/16HFMP Beograd82-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game82.786.278.2
Allowed / game85.784.687.0
Point differential-3.0+1.6-8.8
Avg total168.3170.8165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game76.377.075.5
Allowed / game80.072.889.0
Point differential-3.7+4.2-13.5
Avg total156.3149.8164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda990100%84.266.4+17.8
2 Buducnost98189%85.475.4+10.0
3 Cedevita96367%87.076.1+10.9
4 Cibona96367%84.380.8+3.6
5 Partizan96367%77.073.6+3.4
6 KK Krka Novo mesto85362%77.079.4-2.4
7 Igokea94544%75.677.0-1.4
8 Zadar94544%80.992.1-11.2
9 Petrol Olimpija83538%83.483.9-0.5
10 Mega Bemax93633%82.785.7-3.0
11 FMP Beograd103730%73.077.8-4.8
12 MZT Skopje103730%76.184.5-8.4
13 Mornar Bar92722%76.380.0-3.7
14 Karpos91811%72.381.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Bemax2324202693
Mornar Bar1923242187
← all games of the day
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