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Mornar Bar vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-76
21-26 17-16 13-17 16-17
Position#42
Record3-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#10
Record3-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A09/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H14/10
ABA League
Oostende
#35
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H19/10
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A22/10
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
57-103
57
103
-46
A26/10
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H31/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H02/11
Champions League
Cedevita
#3
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A06/11
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A09/11
Champions League
Zadar
#12
L
104-110
104
110
-6
H13/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
24-21
13-27
20-13
16-22
28-15
21-16
17-13
23-19
9-22
23-20
19-11
20-23
22-27
9-18
17-17
7-29
22-22
18-21
10-31
17-10
15-21
11-22
16-18
19-15
22-27
19-28
27-15
25-19
20-26
8-30
20-24
21-23
18-23
22-24
11-20
23-34
22-19
20-23
39-34
161.0Avg total
74.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.780.2153.8-6.550%
Season at home (3)81.372.3153.7+9.0100%
Season away (3)66.088.0154.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)74.886.2161.0-11.430%
Last 5 (5)79.091.0170.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.279.6147.8-11.527%
vs Similar (6)80.375.7156.0+4.750%
vs Weaker (13)82.573.6156.1+8.869%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A09/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A18/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A23/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H26/10
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H08/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
17-16
16-26
27-21
22-25
13-18
14-12
34-12
22-19
16-15
19-14
27-22
14-15
13-13
18-10
15-17
18-18
11-22
22-13
21-16
25-21
22-11
21-19
24-28
18-18
19-21
27-21
20-23
16-19
20-16
17-18
15-15
22-15
22-26
11-19
17-17
16-18
17-19
20-28
28-21
153.8Avg total
78.8Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.074.8152.8+3.275%
Season at home (2)72.073.0145.0-1.050%
Season away (2)84.076.5160.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.875.0153.8+3.870%
Last 5 (5)81.680.4162.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar (13)80.577.2157.7+3.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.175.9159.1+7.287%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
Mornar BarAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/10
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H19/10
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A22/10
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A26/10
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H31/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/11
Champions League
Cedevita
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/11
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/11
Champions League
Zadar
#12
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H13/11
ABA League
82.5Avg total
38.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.879.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.036.676.6+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)38.743.682.3-4.97%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.782.5-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.483.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.541.877.4-6.318%-
vs Similar (6)39.038.577.5+0.533%-
vs Weaker (13)42.838.881.6+4.162%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A18/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H26/10
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H08/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H13/11
Lega A
73.3Avg total
36.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.177.7+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.737.079.7+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)37.837.375.2+0.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.973.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.876.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)37.536.874.3+0.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.736.780.5+7.073%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.9 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.4
49.9%
52.6%40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.3
35.5%
34.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws17.812.6
70.6%
73.8%12.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
52.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.8
39.3%
34.3%29.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.7
66.7%
73.8%13.7
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLWLLLWWL
Avellino
LLWWWWWWWL
#42
League position
#10
-4.8
Net rating
+8.7
97.8
Offensive rating
111.0
102.5
Defensive rating
102.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
56.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.5%
3-point %
39.3%
52.0%
Assist %
72.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 111.0Defence102.5 · 102.4Shooting51.0% · 56.7%3-point %35.5% · 39.3%Ball care19.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.4% · 28.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Avellino wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HZadar104-110
09/11/16ACibona72-90
06/11/16ACedevita73-99
02/11/16HMega Bemax87-85
31/10/16HCrvena zvezda59-71
26/10/16ATenerife57-103
22/10/16ABuducnost68-85
19/10/16HOostende74-72
14/10/16HFMP Beograd82-66
09/10/16APetrol Olimpija72-81
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HReggiana81-86
08/11/16HOostende72-77
06/11/16AVarese79-77 OT
01/11/16ACibona84-83
30/10/16HBrescia92-79
26/10/16HStrasbourg72-69
23/10/16APesaro60-55
18/10/16AMega Bemax84-70
15/10/16HPistoia83-67
09/10/16AOlimpia Milano81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Champions League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.781.366.0
Allowed / game80.272.388.0
Point differential-6.5+9.0-22.0
Avg total153.8153.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Champions League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game78.072.084.0
Allowed / game74.873.076.5
Point differential+3.2-1.0+7.5
Avg total152.8145.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco440100%72.255.8+16.5
2 Aris440100%78.262.8+15.5
3 Besiktas440100%85.570.2+15.2
4 Neptunas440100%76.563.8+12.8
5 Juventus65183%78.375.5+2.8
6 Tenerife43175%86.863.8+23.0
7 AEK Athens43175%82.063.2+18.8
8 Le Mans43175%71.059.0+12.0
9 Banvit43175%80.573.2+7.2
10 Avellino43175%78.074.8+3.2
11 Karsiyaka43175%72.570.0+2.5
12 Partizan43175%63.863.0+0.8
13 Ludwigsburg42250%82.267.8+14.5
14 Ventspils42250%77.567.5+10.0
15 Saratov42250%88.083.2+4.8
16 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
17 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
18 Nymburk42250%70.868.0+2.8
19 Usak Sportif63350%74.372.3+2.0
20 Venezia42250%65.263.8+1.5
21 Strasbourg42250%74.273.2+1.0
22 Sassari42250%74.874.0+0.8
23 Oldenburg42250%72.271.8+0.5
24 Kataja63350%78.277.8+0.3
25 Maccabi Rishon42250%69.269.2+0.0
26 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
27 CSM Oradea84450%69.469.9-0.5
28 PAOK42250%70.070.5-0.5
29 Lyon-Villeurbanne42250%74.276.0-1.8
30 HydroTruck Radom42250%73.876.5-2.8
31 Frankfurt42250%63.067.0-4.0
32 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
33 Mornar Bar63350%73.780.2-6.5
34 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
35 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
36 Ironi Nahariya62433%65.775.0-9.3
37 Varese62433%70.781.0-10.3
38 Bakken Bears62433%66.277.7-11.5
39 Helios Domzale41325%60.860.2+0.5
40 Cibona41325%77.280.5-3.2
41 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
42 Mega Bemax41325%78.282.2-4.0
43 Oostende41325%68.072.2-4.2
44 Zielona Gora41325%66.071.8-5.8
45 Khimik41325%68.275.0-6.8
46 Szolnoki Olaj41325%58.283.2-25.0
47 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
48 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
49 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
50 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
51 Spirou Charleroi4040%71.590.8-19.2
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2117131667
Avellino2616171776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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