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Petrol Olimpija vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-69
19-19 22-14 21-9 20-27
Position#10
Record5-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#6
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14
Domestic2016
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Mega Bemax
13 Jan 2019
POL91
MBE78
05 Jan 2018
POL69
MBE76
18 Dec 2016
POL82
MBE69
21 Nov 2015
POL89
MBE99
17 Jan 2015
POL85
MBE75
08 Dec 2013
POL88
MBE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H28/11
ABA League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A30/11
Eurocup
LTH Castings
#11
W
97-67
97
67
+30
A02/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A03/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H05/12
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H07/12
Eurocup
KK Primorska
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#12
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H11/12
ABA League
Rogaska
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
14-19
22-19
26-16
24-28
17-15
15-25
11-17
17-21
19-28
14-21
19-11
25-16
22-20
30-15
20-16
23-31
16-28
27-12
21-31
16-16
21-21
23-10
19-17
16-28
21-11
15-25
20-11
13-19
25-20
21-17
16-15
24-21
21-16
10-21
23-18
13-25
15-14
14-18
33-27
155.4Avg total
78.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.983.2164.2-2.338%
Season at home (6)77.778.5156.2-0.867%
Season away (7)83.787.3171.0-3.614%
Last 10 (10)78.177.3155.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)75.874.0149.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.083.1157.1-9.18%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.980.6161.5+0.350%
vs Weaker (8)82.570.8153.2+11.8100%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A11/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A16/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A13/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
11-12
22-22
14-19
15-10
12-17
19-23
13-18
23-19
24-23
20-24
26-21
21-25
14-23
18-7
23-15
26-20
16-22
15-20
22-24
9-15
16-19
25-20
9-19
16-20
20-18
17-31
18-13
15-21
18-16
10-22
18-26
12-25
25-13
21-17
14-20
23-22
16-26
14-23
24-16
149.1Avg total
71.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.584.7166.2-3.231%
Season at home (7)85.084.6169.6+0.443%
Season away (6)77.384.8162.2-7.517%
Last 10 (10)71.477.7149.1-6.330%
Last 5 (5)68.080.4148.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.880.2151.0-9.38%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.583.6164.1-3.150%
vs Weaker (10)87.280.9168.1+6.350%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
Petrol OlimpijaMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/11
ABA League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A30/11
Eurocup
LTH Castings
#11
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A03/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/12
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H07/12
Eurocup
KK Primorska
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H11/12
ABA League
Rogaska
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
79.3Avg total
38.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.379.5-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.840.379.1-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)37.542.379.8-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.179.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.275.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.343.479.8-7.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.441.680.0-3.230%-
vs Weaker (8)40.637.878.4+2.962%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A11/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A16/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/12
Champions League
72.9Avg total
35.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.581.1-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.741.983.6-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.440.978.3-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.772.9-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.840.874.7-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.441.681.0-2.238%-
vs Weaker (10)46.942.189.0+4.880%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.8
53.3%
51.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.4
35.6%
34.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.216.5
74.3%
73.3%16.5
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
51.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.3
32.2%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.5
73.2%
73.3%14.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LWWLWLWLLW
Mega Bemax
LLLLLLWWLW
#10
League position
#6
-4.6
Net rating
-3.2
103.1
Offensive rating
101.9
107.7
Defensive rating
105.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
21.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
32.2%
59.2%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 101.9Defence107.7 · 105.1Shooting53.4% · 49.8%3-point %35.6% · 32.2%Ball care21.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds26.7% · 32.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Petrol Olimpija wins
3
Mega Bemax wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/16ARogaska75-84
11/12/16HZadar78-76
09/12/16HKK Primorska75-71
07/12/16HValencia72-75
05/12/16HKK Krka Novo mesto79-64
03/12/16ACedevita87-102
02/12/16ALTH Castings97-67
30/11/16AHapoel M. Jerusalem69-81
28/11/16HCrvena zvezda67-85
25/11/16HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek82-68
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/16ACibona77-87
10/12/16AKarpos72-75
07/12/16AAvellino61-85
04/12/16HCibona71-82
30/11/16ATenerife59-73
26/11/16APartizan79-86
22/11/16HOostende76-70
19/11/16HMornar Bar93-87
16/11/16AStrasbourg59-68
11/11/16AIgokea67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game80.977.783.7
Allowed / game83.278.587.3
Point differential-2.3-0.8-3.6
Avg total164.2156.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %23%17%29%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL31%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game81.585.077.3
Allowed / game84.784.684.8
Point differential-3.2+0.4-7.5
Avg total166.2169.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda14140100%85.566.0+19.5
2 Partizan1411379%79.673.5+6.1
3 Buducnost1310377%82.676.5+6.1
4 Cedevita139469%89.479.2+10.2
5 Cibona139469%83.979.7+4.2
6 Igokea137654%75.876.4-0.6
7 Petrol Olimpija135838%80.983.2-2.3
8 Zadar145936%79.788.1-8.4
9 KK Krka Novo mesto145936%72.681.5-8.9
10 Mega Bemax134931%81.584.7-3.2
11 Mornar Bar1441029%77.179.6-2.5
12 FMP Beograd1441029%74.680.1-5.5
13 Karpos1441029%74.480.4-6.0
14 MZT Skopje1441029%76.183.7-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija1922212082
Mega Bemax191492769
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