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Petrol Olimpija vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-76
18-15 18-15 18-19 15-27
Position#7
Record5-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#9
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game85.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15
Domestic2017
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Mega Bemax
13 Jan 2019
POL91
MBE78
05 Jan 2018
POL69
MBE76
18 Dec 2016
POL82
MBE69
21 Nov 2015
POL89
MBE99
17 Jan 2015
POL85
MBE75
08 Dec 2013
POL88
MBE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#16
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H12/12
Champions League
Igokea
#10
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A15/12
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A17/12
Liga Nova KBM
Banvit
#7
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H19/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cibona
#11
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H23/12
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A28/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H29/12
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A02/01
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H04/01
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-19
26-23
20-17
16-24
16-24
20-24
26-14
28-20
17-27
27-17
18-12
10-25
15-12
16-14
16-14
18-18
19-17
19-21
25-29
20-20
15-18
29-19
14-23
29-31
18-27
25-24
24-15
31-21
16-24
14-21
20-20
18-16
19-24
19-22
20-18
21-9
28-25
16-25
21-6
159.8Avg total
80.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.382.6160.9-4.336%
Season at home (7)79.479.9159.3-0.443%
Season away (7)77.185.3162.4-8.129%
Last 10 (10)80.179.7159.8+0.430%
Last 5 (5)83.481.6165.0+1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.280.9157.1-4.831%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.277.2154.5+0.050%
vs Weaker (9)84.078.6162.6+5.444%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A21/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H28/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A05/11
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H11/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A17/11
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H04/12
ABA League
Igokea
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A09/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A18/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H25/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#4
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A30/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
14-22
17-19
14-23
14-17
12-9
30-15
21-40
32-14
25-22
13-17
22-23
23-21
21-30
16-22
29-29
22-19
27-33
18-23
21-21
21-24
14-21
19-11
17-17
28-20
26-14
17-25
18-23
24-23
19-23
21-28
29-21
25-24
13-27
21-15
26-24
25-18
23-27
19-24
16-18
169.7Avg total
83.1Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.985.7169.6-1.929%
Season at home (7)83.684.3167.9-0.729%
Season away (7)84.187.1171.3-3.029%
Last 10 (10)83.186.6169.7-3.520%
Last 5 (5)84.285.4169.6-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.786.1163.8-8.40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.284.3169.5+0.940%
vs Weaker (10)89.481.8171.2+7.680%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
Petrol OlimpijaMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#16
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/12
Champions League
Igokea
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A15/12
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A17/12
Liga Nova KBM
Banvit
#7
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H19/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cibona
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/12
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A28/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/12
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A02/01
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/01
Slovenian Cup
80.5Avg total
38.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.678.8-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.938.577.4+0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)37.243.580.7-6.223%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.980.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.041.778.7-4.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.839.673.4-5.925%-
vs Weaker (9)43.840.083.8+3.878%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H28/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A05/11
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H11/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/11
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H04/12
ABA League
Igokea
#10
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A09/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A18/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H25/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/12
ABA League
85.5Avg total
42.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.584.6-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.841.782.5-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)43.443.386.7+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.885.5-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.843.279.0-7.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.943.188.0+1.860%-
vs Weaker (10)45.141.786.8+3.450%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.0
49.4%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.2
37.6%
34.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.812.1
76.6%
74.4%12.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.7
48.3%
52.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.0
30.1%
34.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.216.5
68.2%
74.4%16.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
WLLLLLLWLW
Mega Bemax
LLLWLLLWLL
#7
League position
#9
-6.9
Net rating
-5.1
101.0
Offensive rating
102.2
107.9
Defensive rating
107.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
47.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.6%
3-point %
30.1%
66.5%
Assist %
59.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 102.2Defence107.9 · 107.3Shooting51.9% · 47.1%3-point %37.6% · 30.1%Ball care18.6% · 15.4%Off. rebounds23.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Petrol Olimpija wins
3
Mega Bemax wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/18HHelios Domzale86-65
02/01/18ACrvena zvezda76-80
29/12/17HPerspektiva Ilirija81-86
28/12/17AHelios Domzale96-97
23/12/17HCibona78-80
21/12/17HKK Krka Novo mesto81-85
19/12/17HBanvit57-65
17/12/17APerspektiva Ilirija90-76
15/12/17AIgokea78-86
12/12/17HStrasbourg78-77
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/17AMornar Bar83-87
25/12/17HCrvena zvezda85-90
18/12/17ACibona93-95
09/12/17AIgokea89-82
04/12/17HZadar71-73
17/11/17AFMP Beograd88-96
11/11/17HPartizan89-102
05/11/17AMZT Skopje92-76
28/10/17HCedevita77-81
21/10/17ABuducnost64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game78.379.477.1
Allowed / game82.679.985.3
Point differential-4.3-0.4-8.1
Avg total160.9159.3162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game83.983.684.1
Allowed / game85.784.387.1
Point differential-1.9-0.7-3.0
Avg total169.6167.9171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1412286%87.478.6+8.8
2 Buducnost1412286%83.174.5+8.6
3 Cedevita1411379%83.075.6+7.4
4 FMP Beograd147750%80.478.0+2.4
5 Mornar Bar147750%77.981.8-3.9
6 Partizan157847%90.989.4+1.5
7 Zadar157847%84.584.7-0.1
8 Cibona146843%82.084.9-2.9
9 Igokea156940%81.383.6-2.3
10 Petrol Olimpija145936%78.382.6-4.3
11 Mega Bemax1441029%83.985.7-1.9
12 MZT Skopje1521313%78.490.8-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija1818181569
Mega Bemax1515192776
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