Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 85-87

19-24 23-26 23-23 20-14

Position#2

Record17-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game93.1

Allowed / game89.3

Melbourne United

Cairns 🏆

Position#8

Record5-21

FormLLLLW

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game92.4

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

101-103

101

103

-2

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

86-95

-9

A06/01

NBL

Cairns

99-89 OT

+10

A13/01

NBL

Perth

79-84

-5

A20/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

113-89

113

+24

H23/01

NBL

Adelaide

114-91

114

+23

A28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

107-87

107

+20

A01/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

111-102 OT

111

102

H03/02

NBL

Sydney

85-97

-12

A08/02

NBL

Adelaide

89-87

A10/02

NBL

22-30

31-26

29-19

19-28

23-19

22-29

22-20

19-27

18-25

14-21

27-26

22-9

14-27

25-19

23-19

17-19

27-20

31-30

37-17

18-22

31-20

17-28

34-27

32-16

30-21

29-13

24-25

24-28

21-29

25-16

34-23

16-28

21-21

18-25

22-27

24-24

23-26

25-26

16-18

25-17

190.8Avg total

98.4Scored

92.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	93.1	89.3	182.3	+3.8	65%
Season at home (12)	90.5	85.7	176.2	+4.8	75%
Season away (14)	95.3	92.4	187.6	+2.9	57%
Last 10 (10)	98.4	92.4	190.8	+6.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	101.2	92.8	194.0	+8.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	91.2	89.4	180.6	+1.8	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	100.0	92.1	192.1	+7.9	86%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

82-86

-4

H07/01

NBL

Perth

81-79

A11/01

NBL

Melbourne United

89-99 OT

-10

H13/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

68-99

-31

A19/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

106-98 OT

106

H21/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

106-113

106

113

-7

A24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

81-82

-1

A26/01

NBL

Adelaide

91-100

100

-9

H02/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

95-110

110

-15

A04/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

79-68

+11

H09/02

NBL

18-29

22-19

17-17

25-21

20-17

24-15

22-23

15-24

25-18

21-14

26-27

9-22

19-31

15-19

11-23

23-26

26-31

25-23

26-22

14-15

26-30

25-28

21-24

34-31

22-34

19-16

25-16

15-16

19-31

27-17

21-31

24-21

27-30

30-24

14-28

24-28

18-11

21-21

13-13

27-23

181.2Avg total

87.8Scored

93.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	85.7	92.4	178.1	-6.7	19%
Season at home (14)	86.4	90.7	177.1	-4.3	21%
Season away (12)	84.9	94.3	179.2	-9.4	17%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	93.4	181.2	-5.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	94.6	185.0	-4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	84.2	91.0	175.2	-6.7	25%
vs Similar (6)	86.2	95.3	181.5	-9.2	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	20.3	44.5	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	23.1	46.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	23.4	48.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	24.1	22.0	46.2	+2.1	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.7	20.9	43.6	+1.9	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	23.0	44.4	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	24.3	45.9	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	26.2	48.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	27.2	49.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	58%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	27.2	48.7	-5.7	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	24.3	46.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	24.0	47.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	24.6	45.0	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	23.3	47.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	21.0	24.3	45.3	-3.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.6	24.6	48.1	-1.0	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.9	43.7	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.7	43.7	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.6	42.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.2	45.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.4	23.0	43.3	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.3	22.8	45.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

53-56

-3

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-48

-3

A06/01

NBL

Cairns

32-46

-14

A13/01

NBL

Perth

39-46

-7

A20/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

58-50

H23/01

NBL

Adelaide

48-48

A28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

59-34

+25

A01/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-45

H03/02

NBL

Sydney

39-46

-7

A08/02

NBL

Adelaide

48-52

-4

A10/02

NBL

93.8Avg total

46.7Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	46.1	91.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.3	44.3	91.6	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.8	47.7	91.5	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	47.1	93.8	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	45.0	93.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	45.2	46.3	91.5	-1.1	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	46.3	45.4	91.7	+0.9	43%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

40-48

-8

H07/01

NBL

Perth

44-32

+12

A11/01

NBL

Melbourne United

46-32

+14

H13/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

34-50

-16

A19/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-54

-3

H21/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-58

-7

A24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-50

-9

A26/01

NBL

Adelaide

46-48

-2

H02/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

57-54

A04/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

39-32

H09/02

NBL

90.7Avg total

44.9Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	46.0	88.1	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	44.5	86.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	47.4	89.6	-5.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	45.8	90.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	48.4	95.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	41.7	45.0	86.6	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.8	50.0	93.8	-6.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	20.9	44.8	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	20.2	44.4	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	22.1	48.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	24.0	22.7	46.7	+1.3	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.3	39.9	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	20.4	43.2	+2.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.6	46.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	23.4	44.7	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	23.7	44.5	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	23.1	44.9	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.7	43.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.8	48.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.9	23.4	44.3	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.8	23.3	46.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	41.8	86.9	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	41.6	85.1	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.5	41.9	88.4	+4.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.4	43.9	92.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	46.6	96.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	44.8	42.1	86.9	+2.7	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	46.1	40.7	86.9	+5.4	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	44.1	85.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	43.8	86.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	44.5	84.7	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	45.1	85.7	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	46.2	89.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	41.0	43.8	84.9	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.3	45.3	87.7	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
13/01/19	Cairns v Melbourne United	89-99 OT
11/11/18	Melbourne United v Cairns	87-80
03/11/18	Cairns v Melbourne United	85-98
24/01/18	Melbourne United v Cairns	79-68
09/12/17	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-70
09/11/17	Cairns v Melbourne United	92-69
02/11/17	Melbourne United v Cairns	87-65
15/01/16	Melbourne United v Cairns	98-68
13/01/16	Cairns v Melbourne United	65-83
13/11/15	Cairns v Melbourne United	82-70

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/02/19	A	Adelaide	89-87
08/02/19	A	Sydney	85-97
03/02/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	111-102 OT
01/02/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	107-87
28/01/19	A	Adelaide	114-91
23/01/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	113-89
20/01/19	A	Perth	79-84
13/01/19	A	Cairns	99-89 OT
06/01/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	86-95
26/12/18	H	Adelaide	101-103

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	79-68
04/02/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	95-110
02/02/19	H	Adelaide	91-100
26/01/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	81-82
24/01/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	106-113
21/01/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	106-98 OT
19/01/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	68-99
13/01/19	H	Melbourne United	89-99 OT
11/01/19	A	Perth	81-79
07/01/19	H	Sydney	82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	65%
Home	LWLWW	75%
Away	LWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	65%	75%	57%
Points / game	93.1	90.5	95.3
Allowed / game	89.3	85.7	92.4
Point differential	+3.8	+4.8	+2.9
Avg total	182.3	176.2	187.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	17%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	67% (3)	50% (6)
Overtime %	15%	8%	21%

Cairns

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	19%
Home	LLWLW	21%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	19%	21%	17%
Points / game	85.7	86.4	84.9
Allowed / game	92.4	90.7	94.3
Point differential	-6.7	-4.3	-9.4
Avg total	178.1	177.1	179.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	14%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	15%	21%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	26	17	9	65%	89.8	84.2	+5.7
2	Melbourne United	26	17	9	65%	93.1	89.3	+3.8
3	Sydney	27	17	10	63%	87.0	85.0	+2.0
4	Adelaide	27	14	13	52%	96.4	95.9	+0.5
5	Brisbane Bullets	27	13	14	48%	89.6	89.0	+0.6
6	New Zealand Breakers	27	12	15	44%	95.2	94.7	+0.5
7	Illawarra Hawks	28	12	16	43%	89.0	95.1	-6.1
8	Cairns	26	5	21	19%	85.7	92.4	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	19	23	23	20	85
Cairns	24	26	23	14	87

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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