Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 95-83

20-25 26-20 29-18 20-20

Position#6

Record1-2

FormLLLLW

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game83.3

Melbourne United 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#3

Record1-1

FormLWLWL

Points / game103.0

Allowed / game88.0

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

81-90

-9

A22/01

NBL

Perth

91-85 OT

A29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

80-73

A04/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

63-100

100

-37

A12/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

68-70

-2

H14/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

82-91

-9

H18/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

78-91

-13

A20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

71-76

-5

A07/10

NBL

Adelaide

79-87

-8

H09/10

NBL

Adelaide

98-87

+11

A14/10

NBL

26-25

23-18

23-25

9-22

31-26

19-27

18-12

13-16

19-16

22-20

17-19

22-18

16-22

18-31

13-23

16-24

16-17

18-20

18-17

16-16

16-27

25-11

17-24

24-29

17-23

29-18

11-17

21-33

16-17

15-23

21-8

19-28

20-24

22-27

16-22

21-14

23-22

32-17

25-22

18-26

164.1Avg total

79.1Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	82.7	83.3	166.0	-0.7	33%
Season at home (1)	79.0	87.0	166.0	-8.0	0%
Season away (2)	84.5	81.5	166.0	+3.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	85.0	164.1	-5.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	86.4	168.0	-4.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	85.2	89.5	174.8	-4.2	75%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	80.7	87.1	167.7	-6.4	33%
vs Weaker (11)	87.2	78.5	165.7	+8.6	73%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

104-97

104

H28/01

NBL

Adelaide

90-104

104

-14

A30/01

NBL

Melbourne United

73-80

-7

H04/02

NBL

Townsville

104-97 OT

104

H06/02

NBL

Adelaide

106-95

106

+11

H12/02

NBL

Perth

68-80

-12

A19/02

NBL

Perth

104-87

104

+17

H21/02

NBL

Perth

74-89

-15

A26/02

NBL

Adelaide

122-88

122

+34

H07/10

NBL

Sydney

84-88

-4

H13/10

NBL

26-16

18-27

29-27

31-27

22-26

32-28

21-20

15-30

16-19

20-22

19-17

18-22

25-22

29-31

21-18

14-18

35-27

19-19

23-23

29-26

18-15

18-24

15-21

17-20

24-26

28-24

27-16

25-21

20-22

22-27

14-21

18-19

31-22

24-34

34-10

33-22

23-22

27-26

12-23

22-17

183.4Avg total

92.9Scored

90.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	103.0	88.0	191.0	+15.0	50%
Season at home (2)	103.0	88.0	191.0	+15.0	50%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	92.9	90.5	183.4	+2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	86.4	176.8	+4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	89.9	89.0	178.9	+0.9	40%
vs Weaker (15)	99.3	89.1	188.3	+10.2	80%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.4	44.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	22.6	45.6	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.5	21.8	47.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.9	23.0	43.9	-2.1	27%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.5	21.9	45.4	+1.5	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	22.6	48.1	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.3	22.7	49.0	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	21.7	45.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	23.5	22.9	46.4	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (15)	27.4	22.3	49.7	+5.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	18.9	41.9	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.2	43.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	26.2	45.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.4	17.5	40.9	+5.8	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	23.6	47.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	23.0	48.1	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	24.3	47.6	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	26.2	49.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	27.0	50.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	24.6	23.0	47.6	+1.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.9	24.2	48.1	-0.3	40%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

49-43

A22/01

NBL

Perth

50-53

-3

A29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-36

A04/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-53

-19

A12/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-37

-3

H14/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-38

H18/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-41

A20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

31-40

-9

A07/10

NBL

Adelaide

42-51

-9

H09/10

NBL

Adelaide

55-39

+16

A14/10

NBL

85.4Avg total

42.3Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	42.5	87.0	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.9	41.6	87.5	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.3	43.2	86.6	+0.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	43.1	85.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.8	84.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	45.0	48.0	93.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.7	43.2	85.9	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	46.8	39.5	86.3	+7.4	91%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

44-43

H28/01

NBL

Adelaide

54-54

A30/01

NBL

Melbourne United

36-41

-5

H04/02

NBL

Townsville

54-53

H06/02

NBL

Adelaide

54-46

H12/02

NBL

Perth

36-39

-3

A19/02

NBL

Perth

52-50

H21/02

NBL

Perth

42-49

-7

A26/02

NBL

Adelaide

55-56

-1

H07/10

NBL

Sydney

50-48

H13/10

NBL

95.6Avg total

47.7Scored

47.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.7	46.2	95.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	51.4	45.7	97.1	+5.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.7	46.9	94.6	+0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	47.9	95.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	48.4	95.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	48.1	45.9	94.0	+2.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (15)	51.3	46.5	97.9	+4.8	67%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.2	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.5	19.6	44.1	+4.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	22.2	40.7	-3.7	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	23.8	41.5	-6.0	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	26.0	46.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.4	23.4	41.8	-5.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	9%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.8	42.1	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	20.7	40.5	-1.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	20.9	43.7	+1.8	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	41.7	80.5	-2.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	40.3	80.4	-0.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	42.9	80.6	-5.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	41.5	77.3	-5.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	44.6	83.2	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	40.5	78.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.9	43.9	81.8	-5.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.4	39.1	79.5	+1.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	41.2	84.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.4	41.7	88.1	+4.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	40.7	79.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	41.8	85.5	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	38.0	81.4	+5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.3	42.0	82.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.5	40.5	86.0	+5.1	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/16	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	73-80
07/01/16	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	97-96
03/12/15	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	102-87
11/10/15	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	93-81
07/02/15	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	76-82
30/01/15	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	93-82
19/12/14	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	98-103 OT
02/11/14	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	88-75
26/01/14	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	78-86
31/12/13	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	81-91 OT

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/16	A	Adelaide	98-87
09/10/16	H	Adelaide	79-87
07/10/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	71-76
20/02/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	78-91
18/02/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	82-91
14/02/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	68-70
12/02/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	63-100
04/02/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	80-73
29/01/16	A	Perth	91-85 OT
22/01/16	A	Adelaide	81-90

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/10/16	H	Sydney	84-88
07/10/16	H	Adelaide	122-88
26/02/16	A	Perth	74-89
21/02/16	H	Perth	104-87
19/02/16	A	Perth	68-80
12/02/16	H	Adelaide	106-95
06/02/16	H	Townsville	104-97 OT
04/02/16	H	Melbourne United	73-80
30/01/16	A	Adelaide	90-104
28/01/16	H	Adelaide	104-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLW	33%
Home	L	0%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	33%	0%	50%
Points / game	82.7	79.0	84.5
Allowed / game	83.3	87.0	81.5
Point differential	-0.7	-8.0	+3.0
Avg total	166.0	166.0	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	50%	50%	-
Points / game	103.0	103.0	-
Allowed / game	88.0	88.0	-
Point differential	+15.0	+15.0	-
Avg total	191.0	191.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brisbane Bullets	2	2	0	100%	74.5	69.0	+5.5
2	Sydney	3	2	1	67%	84.3	79.7	+4.7
3	Perth	3	2	1	67%	74.7	73.0	+1.7
4	Illawarra Hawks	2	1	1	50%	103.0	88.0	+15.0
5	New Zealand Breakers	2	1	1	50%	74.5	73.0	+1.5
6	Melbourne United	3	1	2	33%	82.7	83.3	-0.7
7	Adelaide	3	1	2	33%	87.3	99.7	-12.3
8	Cairns Taipans	2	0	2	0%	76.0	88.0	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	20	26	29	20	95
Illawarra Hawks	25	20	18	20	83

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature