New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 119-93

35-19 27-24 30-25 27-25

Position#5

Record1-3

FormLWLLL

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game81.5

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

Adelaide

Position#2

Record3-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game91.8

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

70-68

A14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

91-82

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

91-78

+13

H20/02

NBL

Perth

76-82

-6

A02/03

NBL

Perth

72-68

H04/03

NBL

Perth

52-75

-23

A06/03

NBL

Melbourne United

76-71

H07/10

NBL

Perth

73-75

-2

A14/10

NBL

Sydney

78-92

-14

H20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

82-88

-6

A22/10

NBL

17-16

20-18

17-18

16-16

27-16

11-25

24-17

29-24

23-17

18-29

17-11

33-21

14-24

24-21

23-18

15-19

16-17

21-14

19-19

16-18

18-22

12-20

8-15

14-18

17-16

23-15

8-21

28-19

25-22

11-25

23-8

14-20

18-23

24-27

20-22

16-20

17-26

20-24

26-14

19-24

154.0Avg total

76.1Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	77.2	81.5	158.8	-4.2	25%
Season at home (2)	77.0	81.5	158.5	-4.5	50%
Season away (2)	77.5	81.5	159.0	-4.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	77.9	154.0	-1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	80.2	152.4	-8.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	73.0	75.0	148.0	-2.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	82.8	81.8	164.6	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (9)	82.4	79.6	162.0	+2.9	67%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

104-90

104

+14

H30/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-106

106

-22

H03/02

NBL

Cairns

89-95

-6

A05/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

95-106

106

-11

A12/02

NBL

Perth

84-100

100

-16

A14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-122

122

-34

A07/10

NBL

Melbourne United

87-79

A09/10

NBL

Melbourne United

87-98

-11

H14/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

96-93 OT

A16/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

83-67

+16

H21/10

NBL

26-22

28-32

20-21

30-15

17-28

19-28

20-23

28-27

16-26

26-20

20-24

27-25

27-35

19-19

23-23

26-29

30-25

26-23

11-21

17-31

22-31

34-24

10-34

22-33

24-20

27-22

22-16

14-21

22-23

17-32

22-25

26-18

21-23

17-25

21-16

24-19

29-16

17-16

18-20

19-15

185.3Avg total

89.7Scored

95.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	88.2	91.8	180.0	-3.6	60%
Season at home (2)	85.0	82.5	167.5	+2.5	50%
Season away (3)	90.3	98.0	188.3	-7.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	95.6	185.3	-5.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	91.8	180.0	-3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	89.9	94.4	184.3	-4.6	29%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	88.4	90.2	178.6	-1.9	50%
vs Weaker (9)	93.2	89.0	182.2	+4.2	78%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	25.2	48.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	24.6	48.6	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.0	25.7	48.7	-2.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	24.9	48.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.6	46.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	25.3	27.0	52.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	24.1	24.2	48.3	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.2	25.2	46.4	-4.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	22.4	39.5	-5.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	25.0	36.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	23.6	45.6	-1.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.3	23.2	47.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	24.1	47.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.8	46.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.7	23.4	47.1	+0.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.2	22.6	44.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.3	24.7	49.0	-0.3	44%	-

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

37-34

A14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

38-41

-3

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

41-46

-5

H20/02

NBL

Perth

38-45

-7

A02/03

NBL

Perth

37-31

H04/03

NBL

Perth

30-42

-12

A06/03

NBL

Melbourne United

40-31

H07/10

NBL

Perth

36-47

-11

A14/10

NBL

Sydney

42-50

-8

H20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

37-50

-13

A22/10

NBL

79.3Avg total

37.6Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.2	82.2	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	42.4	85.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	41.9	79.6	-4.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	41.7	79.3	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	44.0	81.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	47.0	83.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.1	42.8	83.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.2	40.3	78.6	-2.1	33%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

54-54

H30/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-56

-20

H03/02

NBL

Cairns

42-46

-4

A05/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-54

-8

A12/02

NBL

Perth

56-48

A14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

56-55

A07/10

NBL

Melbourne United

51-42

A09/10

NBL

Melbourne United

39-55

-16

H14/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

38-48

-10

A16/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

46-32

+14

H21/10

NBL

95.4Avg total

46.4Scored

49.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	48.6	95.3	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.0	48.2	94.2	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	47.3	48.9	96.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	49.0	95.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	46.4	92.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	49.0	50.4	99.4	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	46.3	46.9	93.1	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.6	49.9	95.4	-4.3	44%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	17.9	38.6	+2.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	8.0	31.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.7	17.7	37.3	+2.0	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.9	16.9	39.8	+6.0	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	18.9	41.9	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.2	19.5	40.8	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.6	21.6	46.1	+3.0	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.8	44.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	17.5	41.6	+6.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	25.6	47.1	-4.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.3	46.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	23.9	45.1	-2.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.1	21.2	44.3	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.3	21.1	44.4	+2.2	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	37.9	79.7	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	36.5	78.4	+5.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.7	39.2	80.9	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	36.2	74.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	36.2	71.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	28.0	65.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.9	37.9	78.8	+3.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	44.2	39.2	83.4	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	41.9	84.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	37.1	81.5	+7.2	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	46.1	87.9	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	45.6	87.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.4	83.0	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.9	44.0	84.9	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.1	43.4	85.4	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	46.2	38.0	84.2	+8.2	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
03/02/16	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	84-106
08/01/16	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	81-87
05/11/15	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	98-88
07/10/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	90-71
28/02/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	83-94
26/02/15	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	111-82
12/02/15	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	88-93
04/01/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	74-81
02/11/14	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	93-86
17/10/14	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	101-80

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/16	A	Brisbane Bullets	82-88
20/10/16	H	Sydney	78-92
14/10/16	A	Perth	73-75
07/10/16	H	Melbourne United	76-71
06/03/16	A	Perth	52-75
04/03/16	H	Perth	72-68
02/03/16	A	Perth	76-82
20/02/16	H	Melbourne United	91-78
18/02/16	A	Melbourne United	91-82
14/02/16	A	Melbourne United	70-68

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/16	H	Cairns Taipans	83-67
16/10/16	A	Brisbane Bullets	96-93 OT
14/10/16	H	Melbourne United	87-98
09/10/16	A	Melbourne United	87-79
07/10/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-122
14/02/16	A	Perth	84-100
12/02/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	95-106
05/02/16	A	Cairns	89-95
03/02/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-106
30/01/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	104-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLL	25%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	77.2	77.0	77.5
Allowed / game	81.5	81.5	81.5
Point differential	-4.2	-4.5	-4.0
Avg total	158.8	158.5	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	60%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	60%	50%	67%
Points / game	88.2	85.0	90.3
Allowed / game	91.8	82.5	98.0
Point differential	-3.6	+2.5	-7.7
Avg total	180.0	167.5	188.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	20%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	5	4	1	80%	87.0	78.0	+9.0
2	Perth	6	4	2	67%	75.3	73.7	+1.7
3	Brisbane Bullets	5	3	2	60%	80.0	78.8	+1.2
4	Adelaide	5	3	2	60%	88.2	91.8	-3.6
5	Melbourne United	7	3	4	43%	80.9	79.7	+1.1
6	Illawarra Hawks	6	2	4	33%	86.0	86.2	-0.2
7	New Zealand Breakers	4	1	3	25%	77.2	81.5	-4.2
8	Cairns Taipans	4	1	3	25%	75.5	83.8	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	35	27	30	27	119
Adelaide	19	24	25	25	93

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature