Townsville vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 77-95

19-29 20-27 19-19 19-20

Position#8

Record4-8

FormWWLLL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game85.8

Townsville

Melbourne United 🏆

Position#3

Record8-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game78.1

NBLRound 12

Other2013-14

Meetings · Townsville v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

81-85

-4

A26/10

NBL

Sydney

86-88

-2

H01/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

91-78

+13

H08/11

NBL

Sydney

67-88

-21

A15/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-81

-7

A22/11

NBL

Melbourne United

90-75

+15

A24/11

NBL

Adelaide

98-94

H06/12

NBL

Cairns

74-87

-13

A13/12

NBL

Melbourne United

71-76

-5

H14/12

NBL

Adelaide

89-90

-1

H31/12

NBL

20-24

21-19

18-19

22-23

24-21

15-23

19-22

28-22

22-16

25-21

14-19

30-22

19-27

8-21

25-17

15-23

14-22

22-21

19-20

19-18

25-13

19-23

18-24

28-15

33-29

15-22

20-20

30-23

20-30

26-22

11-20

17-15

26-18

7-18

16-22

22-18

22-25

28-19

14-20

25-26

166.3Avg total

82.1Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	83.9	85.8	169.7	-1.8	33%
Season at home (7)	88.7	87.6	176.3	+1.1	43%
Season away (5)	77.2	83.2	160.4	-6.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	84.2	166.3	-2.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	84.4	168.8	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.5	81.8	159.3	-4.3	40%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	79.8	80.7	160.5	-0.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

87-90

-3

A08/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

81-76

H10/11

NBL

Cairns

88-85

H16/11

NBL

Townsville

75-90

-15

H24/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-84

-10

A28/11

NBL

Sydney

63-67

-4

H01/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-82

H08/12

NBL

Townsville

76-71

A14/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

74-67

H27/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-81 OT

+10

A31/12

NBL

13-22

20-31

33-22

21-15

29-20

13-20

19-16

20-20

18-26

26-18

26-15

13-25

23-19

24-18

15-28

26-21

12-20

20-19

16-24

11-22

19-18

14-7

19-20

29-23

18-28

21-20

16-11

18-26

18-7

22-16

18-22

16-10

20-19

18-29

20-9

24-13

6-22

19-18

18-14

158.6Avg total

79.3Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.4	78.1	157.6	+1.3	57%
Season at home (8)	78.6	77.6	156.2	+1.0	62%
Season away (6)	80.5	78.8	159.3	+1.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	79.3	158.6	+0.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	73.6	151.2	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	70.7	83.7	154.3	-13.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	78.2	76.3	154.5	+1.9	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	23.0	48.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.4	41.7	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.3	41.3	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.8	23.2	47.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.6	19.8	40.3	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	20.1	37.1	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.8	20.1	35.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.0	23.5	38.5	-8.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

41-43

-2

A26/10

NBL

Sydney

39-44

-5

H01/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-37

+10

H08/11

NBL

Sydney

27-48

-21

A15/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-43

-7

A22/11

NBL

Melbourne United

44-36

A24/11

NBL

Adelaide

48-51

-3

H06/12

NBL

Cairns

46-52

-6

A13/12

NBL

Melbourne United

33-36

-3

H14/12

NBL

Adelaide

50-44

H31/12

NBL

84.5Avg total

41.1Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.8	79.3	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	40.9	81.7	-0.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	40.8	76.5	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	43.4	84.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	43.8	88.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.0	41.7	79.7	-3.7	15%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

33-53

-20

A08/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-40

H10/11

NBL

Cairns

36-52

-16

H16/11

NBL

Townsville

36-44

-8

H24/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-41

-3

A28/11

NBL

Sydney

30-40

-10

H01/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-51

-4

H08/12

NBL

Townsville

36-33

A14/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-29

H27/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

30-35

-5

A31/12

NBL

78.2Avg total

36.4Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	40.6	78.7	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	40.5	79.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	40.7	77.9	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	41.8	78.2	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.6	73.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.8	46.7	85.5	-7.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	38.0	39.0	77.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.5	36.5	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.2	18.3	33.5	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.9	17.3	37.2	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.3	21.9	46.2	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.5	44.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.1	70%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.2	33.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.7	18.7	35.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.3	19.3	38.7	+0.0	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	40.8	83.9	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	37.8	73.5	-2.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	40.8	81.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.6	80.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.4	40.2	75.6	-4.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.9	39.0	80.8	+2.9	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	36.7	74.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	36.6	75.5	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	36.9	73.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	36.1	76.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	33.2	70.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.8	37.0	68.8	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	39.2	36.7	75.9	+2.5	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
14/12/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	71-76
24/11/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	75-90
24/03/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	78-70
17/03/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	75-73
08/12/12	Townsville v Melbourne United	85-84
04/11/12	Melbourne United v Townsville	91-66
04/03/12	Townsville v Melbourne United	67-64
18/12/11	Melbourne United v Townsville	93-80
11/11/11	Melbourne United v Townsville	88-95 OT
26/03/11	Melbourne United v Townsville	72-82

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/12/13	H	Adelaide	89-90
14/12/13	H	Melbourne United	71-76
13/12/13	A	Cairns	74-87
06/12/13	H	Adelaide	98-94
24/11/13	A	Melbourne United	90-75
22/11/13	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-81
15/11/13	A	Sydney	67-88
08/11/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	91-78
01/11/13	H	Sydney	86-88
26/10/13	A	Illawarra Hawks	81-85

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/12/13	A	Illawarra Hawks	91-81 OT
27/12/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	74-67
14/12/13	A	Townsville	76-71
08/12/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-82
01/12/13	H	Sydney	63-67
28/11/13	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-84
24/11/13	H	Townsville	75-90
16/11/13	H	Cairns	88-85
10/11/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	81-76
08/11/13	A	Adelaide	87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	33%
Home	LWWLL	43%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	33%	43%	20%
Points / game	83.9	88.7	77.2
Allowed / game	85.8	87.6	83.2
Point differential	-1.8	+1.1	-6.0
Avg total	169.7	176.3	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	29%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	57%
Home	WLLWW	62%
Away	WLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	57%	62%	50%
Points / game	79.4	78.6	80.5
Allowed / game	78.1	77.6	78.8
Point differential	+1.3	+1.0	+1.7
Avg total	157.6	156.2	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	12%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	60% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	14	12	2	86%	85.2	74.6	+10.6
2	Adelaide	14	10	4	71%	89.1	87.7	+1.4
3	Melbourne United	14	8	6	57%	79.4	78.1	+1.3
4	Cairns	14	6	8	43%	82.7	83.4	-0.6
5	Sydney	13	5	8	38%	74.8	80.2	-5.5
6	New Zealand Breakers	14	5	9	36%	86.5	85.8	+0.7
7	Townsville	12	4	8	33%	83.9	85.8	-1.8
8	Illawarra Hawks	13	4	9	31%	75.6	82.8	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	19	20	19	19	77
Melbourne United	29	27	19	20	95

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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