Melbourne United vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 83-79

21-18 28-16 16-17 18-28

Position#5

Record6-5

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game80.7

Melbourne United 🏆

Townsville

Position#6

Record5-7

FormLWLLW

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game86.2

NBLRound 9

Other2014-15

Meetings · Melbourne United v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

73-88

-15

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

95-74

+21

H19/10

NBL

Townsville

81-92

-11

A25/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-75

+13

H02/11

NBL

Perth

59-68

-9

A09/11

NBL

Cairns

91-76

+15

H12/11

NBL

Adelaide

118-79

118

+39

A15/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

72-80

-8

A21/11

NBL

Perth

91-76

+15

H23/11

NBL

Adelaide

94-91

H27/11

NBL

16-21

13-26

26-25

18-16

28-13

25-21

23-15

19-25

16-31

20-15

25-25

20-21

21-16

22-22

28-13

17-24

15-18

13-23

16-14

15-13

18-26

21-19

27-16

25-15

31-13

27-27

33-13

27-26

19-19

16-33

16-9

21-19

31-23

16-15

20-27

24-11

34-31

20-21

24-15

16-24

166.1Avg total

86.2Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	83.9	80.7	164.6	+3.2	55%
Season at home (6)	86.7	80.2	166.8	+6.5	83%
Season away (5)	80.6	81.4	162.0	-0.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	79.9	166.1	+6.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	80.4	173.6	+12.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.9	81.9	157.8	-6.0	38%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	87.0	85.4	172.4	+1.5	57%
vs Weaker (1)	88.0	75.0	163.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

86-81

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

92-81

+11

H25/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

70-84

-14

A31/10

NBL

Perth

102-80

102

+22

H02/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

80-87

-7

H09/11

NBL

Perth

78-93

-15

A14/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

107-75

107

+32

H23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

76-90

-14

A28/11

NBL

Cairns

82-91

-9

A30/11

NBL

Adelaide

96-84

+12

H05/12

NBL

22-27

23-27

22-13

19-14

31-16

15-20

25-25

21-20

12-20

26-22

20-26

12-16

26-20

26-29

28-15

22-16

19-35

22-16

16-13

23-23

16-25

21-14

23-29

18-25

23-17

29-17

32-21

23-20

19-27

17-23

18-19

22-21

25-25

23-19

16-24

18-23

17-22

20-19

32-23

27-20

171.5Avg total

86.9Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	86.2	86.2	172.5	+0.0	42%
Season at home (6)	93.3	84.0	177.3	+9.3	67%
Season away (6)	79.2	88.5	167.7	-9.3	17%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	84.6	171.5	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	86.6	174.4	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	82.6	92.0	174.6	-9.4	12%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	85.8	86.9	172.7	-1.1	47%
vs Weaker (3)	88.7	85.7	174.3	+3.0	33%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.3	42.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.1	44.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	22.4	49.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.7	22.7	45.4	-0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.1	44.8	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	22.3	44.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	23.9	44.9	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.1	25.9	48.0	-3.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.4	22.1	43.4	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	22.7	45.3	+0.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	22.6	42.8	-2.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.2	41.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	25.9	45.4	-6.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	48%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	23.8	43.7	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.0	26.9	48.9	-4.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.2	20.9	41.2	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	33%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

29-47

-18

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

53-34

+19

H19/10

NBL

Townsville

36-46

-10

A25/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-38

H02/11

NBL

Perth

28-41

-13

A09/11

NBL

Cairns

39-45

-6

H12/11

NBL

Adelaide

58-40

+18

A15/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

35-52

-17

A21/11

NBL

Perth

47-38

H23/11

NBL

Adelaide

54-52

H27/11

NBL

85.5Avg total

42.2Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	43.5	84.8	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	42.7	84.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	44.2	84.9	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	43.3	85.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	45.4	92.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	44.2	82.4	-6.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	42.3	43.5	85.9	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	100%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

45-54

-9

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

46-36

+10

H25/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-42

-4

A31/10

NBL

Perth

52-49

H02/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-51

-10

H09/11

NBL

Perth

37-39

-2

A14/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

52-34

+18

H23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-50

-14

A28/11

NBL

Cairns

48-44

A30/11

NBL

Adelaide

37-41

-4

H05/12

NBL

87.2Avg total

43.2Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	45.6	88.2	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.2	43.5	87.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	47.7	88.7	-6.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	44.0	87.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	41.6	83.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.1	52.8	96.9	-8.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.6	43.0	84.6	-1.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.7	43.3	88.0	+1.3	33%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	17.2	41.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.9	20.8	41.6	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	13.0	41.0	+15.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.7	40.1	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.2	47.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	20.8	38.2	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.5	37%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	17.7	41.3	+6.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	19.4	41.2	+2.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	21.9	45.0	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	24.7	45.0	-4.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.8	81.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	39.7	82.4	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	39.8	80.8	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	36.6	80.6	+7.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	35.0	81.6	+11.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.8	37.6	75.4	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	43.1	40.7	83.8	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	37.0	82.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	42.2	84.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	41.6	85.1	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	42.9	83.9	-1.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	40.6	84.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	45.0	90.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.5	39.2	77.8	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	43.6	43.5	87.1	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	42.3	86.3	+1.7	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
25/10/14	Townsville v Melbourne United	92-81
01/03/14	Melbourne United v Townsville	106-109 OT
03/01/14	Townsville v Melbourne United	77-95
14/12/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	71-76
24/11/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	75-90
24/03/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	78-70
17/03/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	75-73
08/12/12	Townsville v Melbourne United	85-84
04/11/12	Melbourne United v Townsville	91-66
04/03/12	Townsville v Melbourne United	67-64

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/14	H	Adelaide	94-91
23/11/14	H	Perth	91-76
21/11/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	72-80
15/11/14	A	Adelaide	118-79
12/11/14	H	Cairns	91-76
09/11/14	A	Perth	59-68
02/11/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	88-75
25/10/14	A	Townsville	81-92
19/10/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	95-74
17/10/14	A	Cairns	73-88

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/12/14	H	Adelaide	96-84
30/11/14	A	Cairns	82-91
28/11/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	76-90
23/11/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	107-75
14/11/14	A	Perth	78-93
09/11/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	80-87
02/11/14	H	Perth	102-80
31/10/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	70-84
25/10/14	H	Melbourne United	92-81
17/10/14	A	Sydney	86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	55%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	83%	20%
Points / game	83.9	86.7	80.6
Allowed / game	80.7	80.2	81.4
Point differential	+3.2	+6.5	-0.8
Avg total	164.6	166.8	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	67%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Townsville

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	42%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	42%	67%	17%
Points / game	86.2	93.3	79.2
Allowed / game	86.2	84.0	88.5
Point differential	+0.0	+9.3	-9.3
Avg total	172.5	177.3	167.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	12	9	3	75%	79.6	71.4	+8.2
2	New Zealand Breakers	13	9	4	69%	82.5	78.9	+3.6
3	Cairns	13	9	4	69%	81.4	78.6	+2.8
4	Melbourne United	11	6	5	55%	83.9	80.7	+3.2
5	Sydney	11	6	5	55%	82.5	81.8	+0.7
6	Townsville	12	5	7	42%	86.2	86.2	+0.0
7	Adelaide	12	3	9	25%	86.8	92.8	-6.0
8	Illawarra Hawks	14	2	12	14%	71.8	82.6	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	21	28	16	18	83
Townsville	18	16	17	28	79

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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