Townsville vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2014

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 92-81

31-16 15-20 25-25 21-20

Position#6

Record1-2

FormLWLLW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game90.0

Townsville 🏆

Melbourne United

Position#5

Record1-2

FormWLLLW

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game83.7

NBLRound 3

Other2014-15

Meetings · Townsville v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

90-83

H22/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

99-102

102

-3

A27/02

NBL

Melbourne United

109-106 OT

109

106

A01/03

NBL

Perth

69-81

-12

A07/03

NBL

Adelaide

70-102

102

-32

A08/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

85-94

-9

H14/03

NBL

Sydney

88-79

A22/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

83-92

-9

A10/10

NBL

Adelaide

83-97

-14

H12/10

NBL

Sydney

86-81

A17/10

NBL

26-19

23-20

16-17

25-27

25-22

25-23

25-25

24-32

28-22

14-15

29-33

27-28

21-24

16-21

21-19

11-17

20-28

17-37

16-27

17-10

31-24

23-17

19-22

12-31

20-26

11-16

28-18

29-19

26-24

20-22

21-13

16-33

18-24

25-18

15-25

25-30

22-27

23-27

22-13

19-14

177.9Avg total

86.2Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	84.0	90.0	174.0	-6.0	33%
Season at home (1)	83.0	97.0	180.0	-14.0	0%
Season away (2)	84.5	86.5	171.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	91.7	177.9	-5.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	88.6	173.6	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	84.6	92.4	177.0	-7.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	84.2	86.1	170.3	-1.9	43%
vs Weaker (1)	83.0	92.0	175.0	-9.0	0%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

97-84

+13

A07/03

NBL

Sydney

92-82

+10

H09/03

NBL

Cairns

73-66

A14/03

NBL

Adelaide

94-99

-5

A23/03

NBL

Adelaide

85-101

101

-16

A27/03

NBL

Adelaide

98-87

+11

H30/03

NBL

Adelaide

63-102

102

-39

A01/04

NBL

Cairns

61-89

-28

H12/10

NBL

Cairns

73-88

-15

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

95-74

+21

H19/10

NBL

20-18

21-28

12-21

44-17

25-26

26-27

19-9

22-20

14-17

21-18

19-20

19-11

26-29

22-23

18-30

28-17

26-31

20-22

19-24

20-24

21-30

27-16

28-19

22-22

14-23

13-26

20-30

16-23

17-16

16-30

11-24

17-19

16-21

13-26

26-25

18-16

28-13

25-21

23-15

19-25

170.3Avg total

83.1Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	76.3	83.7	160.0	-7.3	33%
Season at home (2)	78.0	81.5	159.5	-3.5	50%
Season away (1)	73.0	88.0	161.0	-15.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	87.2	170.3	-4.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	88.0	166.0	-10.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.0	83.2	157.2	-9.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	83.8	84.7	168.5	-0.9	54%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	22.3	45.2	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	23.6	44.9	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	24.0	47.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	25.0	48.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.1	26.4	49.5	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.5	21.7	43.1	-0.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.9	41.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.3	42.5	-2.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.1	22.8	43.8	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	23.2	43.3	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	22.2	43.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	24.1	43.3	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.0	27.2	48.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.8	21.7	41.5	-2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	22.5	41.3	-3.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.7	44.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.8	42.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	25.8	45.7	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-2.0	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

49-39

+10

H22/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-45

A27/02

NBL

Melbourne United

42-37

A01/03

NBL

Perth

37-45

-8

A07/03

NBL

Adelaide

37-65

-28

A08/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

54-41

+13

H14/03

NBL

Sydney

31-42

-11

A22/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-46

A10/10

NBL

Adelaide

43-42

H12/10

NBL

Sydney

45-54

-9

A17/10

NBL

89.0Avg total

43.4Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	46.2	88.4	-4.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	44.5	88.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	47.7	88.2	-7.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	45.6	89.0	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	45.0	88.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.1	53.6	97.8	-9.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	41.2	43.4	84.6	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	46.0	92.0	+0.0	0%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

41-46

-5

A07/03

NBL

Sydney

51-53

-2

H09/03

NBL

Cairns

35-35

A14/03

NBL

Adelaide

48-52

-4

A23/03

NBL

Adelaide

46-53

-7

A27/03

NBL

Adelaide

48-46

H30/03

NBL

Adelaide

27-49

-22

A01/04

NBL

Cairns

33-46

-13

H12/10

NBL

Cairns

29-47

-18

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

53-34

+19

H19/10

NBL

87.2Avg total

41.1Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	43.6	83.4	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	43.5	83.1	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	43.7	83.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	46.1	87.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	44.4	82.4	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.5	42.8	81.3	-4.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	40.2	43.8	84.0	-3.6	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.8	41.6	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.5	40.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.4	43.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.6	22.8	47.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	20.1	40.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	24.1	44.6	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	25.4	45.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.6	21.9	44.5	+0.7	52%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	33.0	49.0	-17.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.2	41.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.5	40.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.4	41.9	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	41.5	83.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	42.2	84.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.3	40.9	82.2	+0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	45.3	87.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	43.6	84.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.5	38.8	79.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	42.5	42.3	84.8	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	46.0	83.0	-9.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	38.9	80.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	41.1	83.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	43.6	83.6	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	40.3	75.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	42.3	39.9	82.2	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
01/03/14	Melbourne United v Townsville	106-109 OT
03/01/14	Townsville v Melbourne United	77-95
14/12/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	71-76
24/11/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	75-90
24/03/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	78-70
17/03/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	75-73
08/12/12	Townsville v Melbourne United	85-84
04/11/12	Melbourne United v Townsville	91-66
04/03/12	Townsville v Melbourne United	67-64
18/12/11	Melbourne United v Townsville	93-80

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/14	A	Sydney	86-81
12/10/14	H	Adelaide	83-97
10/10/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	83-92
22/03/14	A	Sydney	88-79
14/03/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	85-94
08/03/14	A	Adelaide	70-102
07/03/14	A	Perth	69-81
01/03/14	A	Melbourne United	109-106 OT
27/02/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	99-102
22/02/14	H	Sydney	90-83

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	95-74
17/10/14	A	Cairns	73-88
12/10/14	H	Cairns	61-89
01/04/14	A	Adelaide	63-102
30/03/14	H	Adelaide	98-87
27/03/14	A	Adelaide	85-101
23/03/14	A	Adelaide	94-99
14/03/14	A	Cairns	73-66
09/03/14	H	Sydney	92-82
07/03/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	97-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLW	33%
Home	L	0%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	33%	0%	50%
Points / game	84.0	83.0	84.5
Allowed / game	90.0	97.0	86.5
Point differential	-6.0	-14.0	-2.0
Avg total	174.0	180.0	171.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLW	33%
Home	LW	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	76.3	78.0	73.0
Allowed / game	83.7	81.5	88.0
Point differential	-7.3	-3.5	-15.0
Avg total	160.0	159.5	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cairns	5	5	0	100%	90.0	77.2	+12.8
2	Perth	3	2	1	67%	74.3	67.3	+7.0
3	Adelaide	4	2	2	50%	89.5	88.5	+1.0
4	New Zealand Breakers	4	2	2	50%	82.8	82.5	+0.2
5	Townsville	3	1	2	33%	84.0	90.0	-6.0
6	Melbourne United	3	1	2	33%	76.3	83.7	-7.3
7	Sydney	3	1	2	33%	76.7	84.3	-7.7
8	Illawarra Hawks	5	1	4	20%	79.2	84.6	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	31	15	25	21	92
Melbourne United	16	20	25	20	81

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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