Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 88-75

21-16 22-22 28-13 17-24

Position#5

Record1-3

FormLLLWL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game85.8

Melbourne United 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#8

Record1-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game83.6

NBLRound 4

Other2014-15

Meetings · Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

92-82

+10

H09/03

NBL

Cairns

73-66

A14/03

NBL

Adelaide

94-99

-5

A23/03

NBL

Adelaide

85-101

101

-16

A27/03

NBL

Adelaide

98-87

+11

H30/03

NBL

Adelaide

63-102

102

-39

A01/04

NBL

Cairns

61-89

-28

H12/10

NBL

Cairns

73-88

-15

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

95-74

+21

H19/10

NBL

Townsville

81-92

-11

A25/10

NBL

25-26

26-27

19-9

22-20

14-17

21-18

19-20

19-11

26-29

22-23

18-30

28-17

26-31

20-22

19-24

20-24

21-30

27-16

28-19

22-22

14-23

13-26

20-30

16-23

17-16

16-30

11-24

17-19

16-21

13-26

26-25

18-16

28-13

25-21

23-15

19-25

16-31

20-15

25-25

20-21

169.5Avg total

81.5Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	77.5	85.8	163.2	-8.2	25%
Season at home (2)	78.0	81.5	159.5	-3.5	50%
Season away (2)	77.0	90.0	167.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	88.0	169.5	-6.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	89.0	163.6	-14.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.0	83.2	157.2	-9.2	33%
vs Similar (24)	83.5	84.8	168.3	-1.2	54%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

65-86

-21

A23/03

NBL

Perth

79-91

-12

A28/03

NBL

Perth

61-80

-19

H30/03

NBL

Townsville

92-83

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

83-86

-3

A11/10

NBL

Perth

59-69

-10

A17/10

NBL

Cairns

89-91

-2

H19/10

NBL

Adelaide

73-94

-21

A23/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

77-79

-2

H26/10

NBL

Perth

64-83

-19

H31/10

NBL

22-21

18-22

6-23

19-20

26-27

12-22

25-22

16-20

16-13

17-26

11-26

17-15

24-26

22-20

13-21

33-16

21-17

21-22

20-24

21-23

19-18

11-21

12-10

17-20

25-23

18-22

16-23

30-23

31-29

13-18

12-30

17-17

21-28

15-13

15-23

26-15

23-23

13-24

15-15

13-21

158.4Avg total

74.2Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	76.7	83.6	160.3	-6.9	14%
Season at home (4)	80.5	84.0	164.5	-3.5	25%
Season away (3)	71.7	83.0	154.7	-11.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	84.2	158.4	-10.0	10%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	83.2	155.6	-10.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	79.4	84.6	164.0	-5.1	29%
vs Similar (16)	82.7	80.1	162.8	+2.6	56%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.9	41.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.9	43.3	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.7	44.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	21.2	23.1	44.3	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.9	43.9	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	23.2	22.1	45.3	+1.1	64%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	22.5	41.3	-3.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.6	41.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	25.8	45.7	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	19.6	33.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

51-53

-2

H09/03

NBL

Cairns

35-35

A14/03

NBL

Adelaide

48-52

-4

A23/03

NBL

Adelaide

46-53

-7

A27/03

NBL

Adelaide

48-46

H30/03

NBL

Adelaide

27-49

-22

A01/04

NBL

Cairns

33-46

-13

H12/10

NBL

Cairns

29-47

-18

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

53-34

+19

H19/10

NBL

Townsville

36-46

-10

A25/10

NBL

86.7Avg total

40.6Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	43.4	83.3	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	43.5	83.1	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	43.3	83.5	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	46.1	86.7	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	44.4	80.0	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.5	42.8	81.3	-4.3	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	40.3	43.5	83.8	-3.2	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

40-43

-3

A23/03

NBL

Perth

38-49

-11

A28/03

NBL

Perth

33-39

-6

H30/03

NBL

Townsville

46-46

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

42-39

A11/10

NBL

Perth

30-39

-9

A17/10

NBL

Cairns

43-45

-2

H19/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-47

-3

A23/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-41

-5

H26/10

NBL

Perth

36-47

-11

H31/10

NBL

82.3Avg total

38.8Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	41.8	82.5	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	40.3	82.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	43.4	82.0	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	43.5	82.3	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.8	81.6	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	41.4	42.9	84.3	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.1	40.8	80.9	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.8	39.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (24)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.4	37.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	21.7	36.2	-7.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	20.2	34.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.9	21.4	38.3	-4.4	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (24)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	40.3	80.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	38.9	80.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	41.6	81.8	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.9	82.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	44.6	83.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	40.3	75.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (24)	41.9	40.2	82.2	+1.7	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	39.9	79.3	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	38.9	78.6	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	40.7	76.1	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	39.4	74.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.2	41.3	78.5	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.7	37.8	79.4	+3.9	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/14	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	78-86
31/12/13	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	81-91 OT
27/12/13	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	74-67
10/11/13	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	81-76
02/03/13	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	82-88
08/02/13	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	70-77
31/12/12	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	72-80 OT
25/11/12	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	66-74
18/03/12	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	61-71
27/01/12	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	90-68

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/14	A	Townsville	81-92
19/10/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	95-74
17/10/14	A	Cairns	73-88
12/10/14	H	Cairns	61-89
01/04/14	A	Adelaide	63-102
30/03/14	H	Adelaide	98-87
27/03/14	A	Adelaide	85-101
23/03/14	A	Adelaide	94-99
14/03/14	A	Cairns	73-66
09/03/14	H	Sydney	92-82

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/14	H	Perth	64-83
26/10/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	77-79
23/10/14	A	Adelaide	73-94
19/10/14	H	Cairns	89-91
17/10/14	A	Perth	59-69
11/10/14	A	Sydney	83-86
10/10/14	H	Townsville	92-83
30/03/14	H	Perth	61-80
28/03/14	A	Perth	79-91
23/03/14	A	Perth	65-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWL	25%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	77.5	78.0	77.0
Allowed / game	85.8	81.5	90.0
Point differential	-8.2	-3.5	-13.0
Avg total	163.2	159.5	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	14%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	14%	25%	0%
Points / game	76.7	80.5	71.7
Allowed / game	83.6	84.0	83.0
Point differential	-6.9	-3.5	-11.3
Avg total	160.3	164.5	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cairns	6	6	0	100%	87.3	74.7	+12.7
2	Perth	4	3	1	75%	76.5	66.5	+10.0
3	New Zealand Breakers	6	4	2	67%	82.3	79.5	+2.8
4	Adelaide	4	2	2	50%	89.5	88.5	+1.0
5	Townsville	5	2	3	40%	82.8	87.0	-4.2
6	Melbourne United	4	1	3	25%	77.5	85.8	-8.2
7	Sydney	4	1	3	25%	73.0	81.8	-8.8
8	Illawarra Hawks	7	1	6	14%	76.7	83.6	-6.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	21	22	28	17	88
Illawarra Hawks	16	22	13	24	75

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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