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Western Carolina vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 76-73
30-35 46-38
Position#338
Record7-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#361
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Carolina v Citadel
05 Dec 2026
WEST v CITA
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
WEST87
CITA49
15 Feb 2025
WEST76
CITA73
07 Feb 2024
WEST71
CITA64
25 Jan 2023
WEST70
CITA81
05 Jan 2022
WEST94
CITA90
01 Feb 2021
WEST76
CITA75
22 Feb 2020
WEST96
CITA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A15/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
55-83
55
83
-28
H18/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A23/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
80-78 OT
80
78
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
A06/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A08/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-44
45-38
28-29
22-37
26-30
29-53
35-44
23-41
36-27
36-45
25-44
35-40
34-37
37-34
33-31
33-35
26-29
44-45
31-38
45-29
146.8Avg total
68.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)68.978.2147.1-9.229%
Season at home (12)76.176.3152.4-0.250%
Season away (12)61.880.0141.8-18.28%
Last 10 (10)68.578.3146.8-9.830%
Last 5 (5)71.477.8149.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)63.580.9144.4-17.411%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.272.0148.2+4.260%
vs Weaker (7)84.666.6151.1+18.086%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#130
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
46-80
46
80
-34
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
58-83
58
83
-25
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H06/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-36
30-34
29-34
28-36
36-41
34-34
26-52
42-27
27-36
45-36
18-34
28-46
29-47
29-36
32-34
29-42
31-41
39-41
31-32
35-34
140.0Avg total
63.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)67.874.9142.7-7.121%
Season at home (15)72.972.3145.2+0.733%
Season away (9)59.279.3138.6-20.10%
Last 10 (10)63.176.9140.0-13.80%
Last 5 (5)61.279.0140.2-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)62.579.1141.6-16.56%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.676.0147.6-4.412%
vs Weaker (4)89.062.2151.2+26.8100%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -10.6-10.62nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: -2.7-2.7
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -10.6-10.62nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: -2.7-2.7
Western CarolinaCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H12/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A15/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H18/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A25/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
31.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.736.769.5-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.437.571.9-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)31.135.967.0-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)31.435.366.7-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)29.835.865.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.439.568.9-10.16%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.032.269.2+4.860%-
vs Weaker (7)38.132.971.0+5.357%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#130
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
28.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.337.369.6-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.635.169.6-0.539%-
Last 30 away (12)28.840.769.5-11.80%-
Last 10 (10)28.138.766.8-10.60%-
Last 5 (5)28.237.665.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)27.939.367.2-11.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.036.869.8-3.825%-
vs Weaker (4)48.233.581.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Western Carolina wins
5
Citadel wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HEast Tennessee St76-67
08/02/25ANC Greensboro70-74
06/02/25AFurman75-84 OT
01/02/25HVMI76-80 OT
30/01/25HChattanooga Mocs60-84
25/01/25ACitadel80-78 OT
23/01/25AEast Tennessee St58-85
18/01/25HNC Greensboro55-83
15/01/25AVMI50-66
12/01/25HMercer85-82
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HWofford71-74 OT
08/02/25AVMI70-82
06/02/25HNC Greensboro61-76
01/02/25HSamford58-83
30/01/25AMercer46-80
25/01/25HWestern Carolina78-80 OT
23/01/25AWofford68-79
18/01/25HVMI70-75
16/01/25ANC Greensboro57-70
11/01/25AEast Tennessee St52-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%50%8%
Points / game68.976.161.8
Allowed / game78.276.380.0
Point differential-9.2-0.2-18.2
Avg total147.1152.4141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %21%33%0%
Points / game67.872.959.2
Allowed / game74.972.379.3
Point differential-7.1+0.7-20.1
Avg total142.7145.2138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2720774%82.672.9+9.7
2 Furman2719870%76.368.9+7.4
3 Chattanooga Mocs2618869%78.471.9+6.5
4 NC Greensboro2718967%73.264.0+9.3
5 East Tennessee St26151158%72.866.8+6.0
6 Wofford27141352%74.070.5+3.5
7 VMI26121446%74.771.9+2.8
8 Mercer26111542%78.877.1+1.7
9 Western Carolina2471729%68.978.2-9.2
10 Citadel2451921%67.874.9-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Carolina304676
Citadel353873
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