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Merrimack Warriors vs Niagara Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-59
24-30 40-29
Position#164
Record12-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game64.6
vs
Position#315
Record8-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Niagara
18 Jan 2027
MERR v NIAG
upcoming
06 Feb 2025
MERR64
NIAG59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H12/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H18/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A26/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-32
42-41
38-24
29-30
39-28
27-37
32-28
37-34
34-41
42-40
37-32
27-26
24-27
24-10
47-23
28-31
22-37
36-29
37-38
29-26
127.1Avg total
65.7Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)64.364.6129.0-0.355%
Season at home (8)64.862.0126.8+2.862%
Season away (14)64.166.1130.2-2.150%
Last 10 (10)65.761.4127.1+4.370%
Last 5 (5)62.255.8118.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.768.0128.7-7.333%
vs Similar (17)63.466.2129.6-2.841%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)71.459.8131.2+11.6100%
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A05/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H12/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A18/01
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
65-67 OT
65
67
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-33
32-38
42-36
46-33
37-26
25-42
32-25
38-35
26-33
39-35
22-35
44-35
32-36
33-36
32-31
25-26
38-41
39-45
26-33
38-30
136.8Avg total
67.4Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.970.4138.2-2.538%
Season at home (10)73.069.1142.1+3.960%
Season away (11)63.271.5134.7-8.418%
Last 10 (10)67.469.4136.8-2.030%
Last 5 (5)67.471.6139.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.771.4136.1-6.833%
vs Similar (16)66.269.4135.6-3.231%
vs Weaker (5)75.067.2142.2+7.880%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +0.4+0.4
Merrimack WarriorsNiagara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H12/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A26/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H01/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.6Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.630.863.4+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.229.361.5+2.969%-
Last 30 away (17)32.931.964.8+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.064.6+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.464.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.734.062.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (17)31.631.863.4-0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)35.628.063.6+7.670%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H29/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A05/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H10/01
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H12/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A17/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Marist
#80
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Canisius
#369
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A01/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
30.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.432.463.7-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.433.465.8-1.031%-
Last 30 away (17)30.631.662.2-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)30.732.963.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)30.035.265.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.235.065.2-4.833%-
vs Similar (16)31.131.662.7-0.638%-
vs Weaker (5)34.430.064.4+4.460%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
0
Niagara wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Niagara v Merrimack Warriors62-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ARider66-64
01/02/25HMount St. Mary's58-66
26/01/25AFairfield75-54
24/01/25ASt. Peters48-37
18/01/25HSiena64-58
17/01/25AQuinnipiac76-81
12/01/25HManhattan69-62
10/01/25ASacred Heart66-65
03/01/25HFairfield67-54
20/12/24ASt. Marys (CA)68-73
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ACanisius64-63
25/01/25HSacred Heart77-86
23/01/25HMarist65-67 OT
18/01/25AManhattan65-72
17/01/25AFairfield66-70
12/01/25HRider65-68
10/01/25HSt. Peters70-60
05/01/25AMount St. Mary's62-68
29/12/24HLe Moyne88-69
21/12/24ASt. Bonaventure52-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22814
Win %55%62%50%
Points / game64.364.864.1
Allowed / game64.662.066.1
Point differential-0.3+2.8-2.1
Avg total129.0126.8130.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game67.973.063.2
Allowed / game70.469.171.5
Point differential-2.5+3.9-8.4
Avg total138.2142.1134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist1916384%68.663.7+4.9
2 Quinnipiac2213959%72.170.0+2.1
3 Mount St. Mary's23131057%69.973.2-3.3
4 Merrimack Warriors22121055%64.364.6-0.3
5 Manhattan20101050%75.575.6-0.1
6 Siena22101245%70.972.1-1.2
7 Sacred Heart2191243%75.775.7-0.0
8 Iona2291341%68.271.1-2.9
9 St. Peters1871139%64.964.2+0.8
10 Niagara2181338%67.970.4-2.5
11 Fairfield2281436%68.574.5-6.0
12 Rider2281436%65.171.8-6.6
13 Canisius2121910%64.378.6-14.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors244064
Niagara302959
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