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Merrimack Warriors vs Niagara Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#235
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#383
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game58.5
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Niagara
18 Jan 2027
MERR v NIAG
upcoming
06 Feb 2025
MERR64
NIAG59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#234
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
32-35
32-29
30-38
30-28
43-38
39-25
31-23
30-28
28-29
30-33
24-31
43-21
20-28
26-38
35-33
30-26
43-34
26-43
28-40
130.7Avg total
65.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.865.8128.5-3.050%
Season at home (2)62.060.0122.0+2.050%
Season away (2)63.571.5135.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)65.665.1130.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)61.065.4126.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.367.7127.0-8.333%
vs Similar (18)69.562.9132.4+6.678%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)70.762.6133.2+8.189%
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#296
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H01/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#8
L
46-91
46
91
-45
A03/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#81
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#70
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#98
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
42-41
34-30
36-38
31-31
32-45
28-27
34-40
31-32
37-36
28-30
38-43
30-43
16-48
34-42
33-31
31-44
45-44
–
–
139.6Avg total
64.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)58.579.5138.0-21.00%
Season at home (1)67.073.0140.0-6.00%
Season away (3)55.781.7137.3-26.00%
Last 10 (10)64.275.4139.6-11.220%
Last 5 (5)60.078.2138.2-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)61.674.7136.2-13.112%
vs Similar (4)65.866.2132.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (1)62.067.0129.0-5.00%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -5.9-5.9
Merrimack WarriorsNiagara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#234
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/11
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.763.5+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.565.3+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)31.730.061.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.462.6+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.734.065.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (18)33.328.962.2+4.472%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)35.330.065.3+5.389%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#296
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A03/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#81
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#70
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/11
NCAA
65.3Avg total
30.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)30.534.565.0-4.034%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.232.664.8-0.538%-
Last 30 away (16)29.236.165.2-6.931%-
Last 10 (9)30.434.965.3-4.422%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.269.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.535.765.3-6.222%-
vs Similar (4)34.233.067.2+1.275%-
vs Weaker (1)28.027.055.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Merrimack Warriors wins
0
Niagara wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFlorida54-83
08/11/26AAlbany Great Danes73-60
06/11/26HUMass Lowell61-71
02/11/26HAppalachian State63-49
11/03/26HSiena54-64
08/03/26HMarist58-57
06/03/26HSacred Heart70-48
01/03/26ANiagara73-66
28/02/26ACanisius62-67
22/02/26HIona88-86 OT
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AIowa State45-66
13/11/26ABowling Green76-88
07/11/26HMorgan State67-73
03/11/26AWest Virginia46-91
01/03/26HMerrimack Warriors66-73
27/02/26HQuinnipiac78-76 OT
22/02/26ARider62-67
21/02/26AMount St. Mary's63-76
15/02/26HIona70-68
13/02/26HManhattan69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game62.862.063.5
Allowed / game65.860.071.5
Point differential-3.0+2.0-8.0
Avg total128.5122.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game58.567.055.7
Allowed / game79.573.081.7
Point differential-21.0-6.0-26.0
Avg total138.0140.0137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Quinnipiac52340%68.274.8-6.6
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara4040%58.579.5-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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