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Mestre vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-80
27-18 22-20 15-23 17-19
Position#15
Record10-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#1
Record15-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game77.8
ItalySerie A2Round 25· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
73avg 66
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 66
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 66
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 66
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 66
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
55-83
55
83
-28
42avg 66
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 66
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 66
H24/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
14-22
24-18
24-24
21-20
15-26
16-16
22-10
20-13
19-21
15-19
25-22
15-15
26-16
15-23
18-15
16-20
14-22
21-18
12-17
22-18
9-21
13-30
11-14
15-18
23-19
26-18
21-35
19-31
15-17
16-30
22-12
15-18
21-14
34-20
15-25
27-19
22-24
19-15
6-20
154.3Avg total
74.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.080.7157.6-3.742%
Season at home (12)76.681.4158.0-4.842%
Season away (12)77.379.9157.2-2.642%
Last 10 (10)74.679.7154.3-5.140%
Last 5 (5)74.283.6157.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.982.7156.6-8.825%
vs Similar (10)80.779.5160.2+1.260%
vs Weaker (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
100-75
100
75
+25
87avg 70
A30/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
79-92
79
92
-13
67avg 70
H06/12
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 70
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
66avg 70
H21/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 70
A28/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
78-59
78
59
+19
73avg 70
H04/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
79-72
79
72
+7
68avg 70
A10/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H18/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
55avg 70
A21/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
78avg 70
H25/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
20-14
27-28
27-19
19-31
12-26
25-18
23-17
21-19
22-17
23-15
21-17
19-17
22-18
16-21
24-16
18-10
14-21
25-20
23-21
18-12
23-16
17-24
20-7
16-19
19-21
21-9
23-23
33-18
26-24
32-11
18-27
24-21
19-23
6-17
13-17
14-16
22-14
19-28
18-15
159.8Avg total
84.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.577.8160.2+4.762%
Season at home (13)85.877.5163.2+8.377%
Season away (11)78.578.2156.7+0.445%
Last 10 (10)84.575.3159.8+9.280%
Last 5 (5)83.674.8158.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.592.3169.8-14.80%
vs Similar (9)75.682.2157.8-6.722%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.675.1161.7+11.587%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
MestreScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
Serie A2
76.7Avg total
37.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)38.841.480.2-2.546%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.141.981.0-2.850%-
Last 30 away (12)38.640.879.4-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.676.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.342.980.2-5.633%-
vs Similar (10)40.140.680.7-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)41.536.077.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A30/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
31-57
31
57
-26
H06/12
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H04/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H18/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H25/01
Serie A2
77.8Avg total
40.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.580.2+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.139.282.3+3.875%-
Last 30 away (14)38.039.777.7-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.177.8+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.879.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.747.887.5-8.217%-
vs Similar (9)38.640.278.8-1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.435.778.1+6.780%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.916.7
44.1%
50.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.4
34.4%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.612.1
77.6%
74.4%12.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.9
53.1%
50.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.0
34.4%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.113.7
68.2%
74.4%13.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LWLLLLWWWL
Scafati
WLWWWWWWLW
#15
League position
#1
-2.5
Net rating
+10.7
98.6
Offensive rating
108.6
101.2
Defensive rating
97.9
47.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
34.4%
56.3%
Assist %
46.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 108.6Defence101.2 · 97.9Shooting47.2% · 52.4%3-point %34.4% · 34.4%Ball care14.2% · 14.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 34.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Mestre   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
1
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
21/09/25Scafati v Mestre76-61
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia74-78
21/01/26ARoseto85-77
17/01/26AFortitudo Bologna72-90
15/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo85-90
10/01/26HForli55-83
03/01/26ACividale63-77
27/12/25HBasket Torino74-69
19/12/25ALibertas Livorno79-75
13/12/25HVerona74-72
06/12/25AUrania Milano85-86
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HFortitudo Bologna90-85 OT
21/01/26ALibertas Livorno62-78
18/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia109-80
10/01/26AUrania Milano79-72
04/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo78-59
28/12/25AAvellino Basket80-72
21/12/25HJuVi Cremona81-72
14/12/25ARoseto87-68
06/12/25HRimini79-92
30/11/25ARuvo Di Puglia100-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWWLLL42%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%42%42%
Points / game77.076.677.3
Allowed / game80.781.479.9
Point differential-3.7-4.8-2.6
Avg total157.6158.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%77%45%
Points / game82.585.878.5
Allowed / game77.877.578.2
Point differential+4.7+8.3+0.4
Avg total160.2163.2156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%46%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2518772%82.178.0+4.1
2 Libertas Livorno2416867%79.973.0+6.9
3 Cividale2416867%77.775.9+1.8
4 Brindisi2516964%77.272.3+4.9
5 Scafati2415962%82.577.8+4.7
6 Rimini2415962%80.877.0+3.8
7 Verona2415962%77.573.9+3.6
8 Sebastiani Rieti2415962%80.277.0+3.2
9 Fortitudo Bologna24141058%76.573.2+3.3
10 Avellino Basket24131154%80.578.2+2.3
11 Basket Torino24121250%74.072.8+1.3
12 Blu Basket Bergamo24121250%80.080.9-0.9
13 JuVi Cremona24111346%74.677.8-3.1
14 Mestre24101442%77.080.7-3.7
15 Cento2491538%78.280.5-2.3
16 Forli2481633%76.680.9-4.3
17 Urania Milano2481633%77.582.9-5.4
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2481633%76.085.7-9.7
19 Pistoia2461825%77.983.0-5.1
20 Roseto2442017%78.884.6-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre2722151781
Scafati1820231980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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